Bet OVER in every Nationals game this year and come out on top

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GL in your endeavor..

however, Nats have 2 attributes that would favor more unders than overs.

1. A putrid offense
2. An above average bullpen.
 

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GL in your endeavor..

however, Nats have 2 attributes that would favor more unders than overs.

1. A putrid offense
2. An above average bullpen.

No. The Nats bullpen is below average with the potential to be very bad. Their injuries are already beginning.

Additionally, the offense is going to be better than many think. Milledge and co could surprise and Johnson is an excellent offensive force. Further, Zimmerman is really rounding into form also and will be very good.
 

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Assuming this does well over the first quarter of the season, do you still intend to keep with it if/when the books adjust?
 

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Assuming this does well over the first quarter of the season, do you still intend to keep with it if/when the books adjust?

I guess I'll evaluate it at that time. If there is a consistent major adjustment (I could possibly tell if the same pitchers match up in the same park and there is a material change in the line), then I might abandon it.

My basic premises are that the lineup isn't all that horrible, the balls really fly into the alleys of that park, people perceive them to be a low scoring good pitching team based solely on last year's park, and their pitching staff is an abortion.
 

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Excellent point about Nats in RFK vs Nats in their new stadium...

Time will tell how much difference there really is, but I can't imagine this new park being WORSE than RFK was.

God what a shithole that place was!
 

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I was thinking about doing the same thing with San Francisco and playing all their games under, but am also concerned about the books adjusting prices. I think the thing you can do is not bet the opposite of the teams tendancy and hammer the plays you like that fall into their tendancy
 

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I was thinking about doing the same thing with San Francisco and playing all their games under, but am also concerned about the books adjusting prices. I think the thing you can do is not bet the opposite of the teams tendancy and hammer the plays you like that fall into their tendancy

I can see doing that with San Fran. They will probably be the first team in a while to flirt with scoring under 625 runs. That ballpark really suppresses runs also, especially home runs.
 

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I guess I'll evaluate it at that time. If there is a consistent major adjustment (I could possibly tell if the same pitchers match up in the same park and there is a material change in the line), then I might abandon it.

My basic premises are that the lineup isn't all that horrible, the balls really fly into the alleys of that park, people perceive them to be a low scoring good pitching team based solely on last year's park, and their pitching staff is an abortion.

Although I generally don't like these kinds of systems, if you can call it that, I do think your general premises are correct. I just really don't know how much the books have or will adjust for it and was curious.
 

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Budworth.. You're totally clueless when it comes to the Nationals rotation and Pen.

You have some wild eyed theory about them moving from RFK yet it has failed to dawn on you that they pitch to get flyball outs in RFK.

You're going to get SMOKED this year with this strategy.
 

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Budworth.. You're totally clueless when it comes to the Nationals rotation and Pen.

You have some wild eyed theory about them moving from RFK yet it has failed to dawn on you that they pitch to get flyball outs in RFK.

You're going to get SMOKED this year with this strategy.

They aren't going to be able to change their pitching style in to all of a sudden not get flyball outs. Do you even read BP or any reputable publication?

Also, every single post you make is pro-nats. I would expect you to blast anyone who had anything negative to say about them. You have yet to disprove anything I have said about the Nats. Their pen also sucked last year.
 

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