Service Plays Wednesday 4/2/08

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LAS VEGAS SPORTS PICS
Tulsa Golden Hurricane + 5 over (at) Bradley Braves


Tulsa is 7-1 this postseason off posting a 73-68 home win over Bradley on Monday, outrebounding the Braves 46-25, while getting outshot 44.3 % to 41.8 %, missing 15 free throws.
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Milwaukee (Suppan) + 130* over (at) Chicago Cubs (Lilly)


Milwaukee went 5-2 first seven Suppan starts last season including a 4-1 win at Cubs, where Suppan allowed no runs over eight innings. Brewers are 7-2 last nine games vs. NL Central.
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Arizona (Haren) + 105* over (at) Cincinnati (Arroyo)


Cincinnati is 1-8 last nine games off losing to Arizona 4-2 on Monday. Haren makes his debut for defending NL West champ Arizona off ranking third in the AL in ERA last season.

GATOR REPORT

NBA 70% Super Situations

NBA Wednesday: Play Against NBA underdogs with a team that averages 98-102 points per game against a team that allows 98-102 points per game after 42+ games, after a win by 6 points or less
26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons (81.2%) PLAY: Atlanta -2


MLB 70% Super Situations

MLB Wednesday: Play Over MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 first 12 games of the season, playoff team from prior season who lost their last 3 games, a team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games
45-17 Over since 1997 (72.6%) PLAY: Arizona / Cincinnati OVER 8.5 (-115)

Cajun-Sports

NBA Super Situation Winner

Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Charlotte Bobcats

Time: 7:05 PM EST

Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -3

Rating: THREE-Star (rated 1 to 6 units)

Selection: CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +3

Analysis: The Bobcats recent road trip saw them raise their playoff hopes posting a record of 3-1 only to return home and lose a tough game to Toronto 104 to 100 on Monday night. Their recent play even if they feel they have lost a chance at the playoffs has been solid and we look for them to give Cleveland all they can stand on Wednesday night in Charlotte. If the Cavaliers want to snap a six game road losing streak they will have to defeat the Bobcats in Charlotte which is something they have not done in two years. Cleveland is holding onto the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference but it has been slipping due to their poor play on the road. The Cav?s lead Washington by 3 games but they haven?t won away from home since a win over the awful New York Knicks back on March 5th, 119 to 105. Seems as though all the talk is always about Lebron James who some call King for some reason but the Bobcats Jason Richardson continues to play extremely well. He is coming off a 26 point performance against the Raptors after being selected the NBA?s Eastern Conference player of the week. In fact Richardson has captured this award twice in four weeks averaging 26.8 points per game and 6.8 rebounds in four games last week. He also had 33 points in their most recent loss to this Cav?s team back on March 16th in Cleveland. Not only has Richardson been playing well but Gerald Wallace who is second on the team with 19.6 points per game and Emeka Okafor who averaged better than 17 points in three of their recent road games have increased their level of play. The combination of those three players all playing well at the same time will give the weary Cav?s trouble in Carolina tonight. Our data base research has uncovered technical support for our selection we found that the Bobcats are 44-25 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons, 101-80 ATS after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons, 35-23 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons, 22-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and a perfect 8-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte is also 74-51-7 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if they are installed as an underdog in their next game they are 65-44-6 ATS. Now looking at the Bobcats when facing conference opponents we see they are 28-14-2 ATS off a SU loss and installed as a home underdog. If the Bobcats are off an ATS now a conference underdog they are 44-23-1 ATS. Finally for the Bobcats we note that when they are coming in off a SU/ATS loss at home and are now a conference underdog they are 27-12-1 ATS. Cleveland coming off an ATS loss and going Under in their last two games with a price range of 2 to 4 points are 3-13-1 ATS if they are installed as a favorite under those same situations they are 1-8-1 ATS. Our final technical set is a system that tells us to Play Against NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against an opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, 87-46 ATS since 2002. Lets take the points here with the host as the Bobcats take another home victory from the road weary Cavaliers.
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA

Toronto (38-36, 37-36-1 ATS) at Atlanta (34-40, 34-39-1 ATS
The Hawks continue their pursuit of their first playoff berth since 1999 when they host the Raptors in a key Eastern Conference clash for both teams.
Atlanta, which is coming off Monday?s 116-99 rout of the Grizzlies as a three-point favorite, has won four straight games and eight of its last 10, with three of the last four victories coming by double digits. With about two weeks remaining in the regular season, the Hawks have a firm grip on the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, three games ahead of Indiana and 3? games behind Philadelphia for the No. 7 seed.
Toronto held off the Bobcats in Charlotte on Monday, prevailing 104-100 as a 2?-point road chalk. The Raptors have followed up a 3-11 slump by winning three of their last four. However, they?re only 4-13 ATS in their last 17 outings, including 3-7 ATS on the road. The Raptors have a four-game SU and ATS winning streak against Atlanta, taking the first two meetings this year by scores of 100-88 as a three-point road chalk and 89-78 as a six-point home favorite. The SU winner has cashed in each of the last 10 series meetings, with the Raptors going 7-3 during this stretch, including 5-1 in Atlanta. Finally, the road team is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 head-to-head clashes. Despite its spread-cover against Memphis on Monday, the Hawks are just 3-4 ATS in their last seven and 6-10 ATS in their last 16 overall, including 3-6 ATS at home. Atlanta is also on pointspread slumps of 3-8 on Wednesdays and 2-7 when playing on one day of rest. The Raptors are 29-9 ATS in their last 38 Wednesday contests and 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 versus Southeast Division foes. On the downside, Toronto has failed to get the cash in five straight road games and four straight contests when playing on one days? rest Atlanta has topped the total in four straight games and eight of the last 10. Also, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 Hawks-Raptors battles, including 5-1 in the last six in Atlanta. However, Toronto has stayed under the number in six of its last eight outings overall and four of its last five on the road.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO and OVER

Golden State (45-29, 33-41 ATS) at Dallas (46-28, 31-39-4 ATS)
The Warriors and Mavericks hook up for the second time this week, this time at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, as the two squads continue their quest for the playoffs. Dallas currently occupies the seventh spot in the Western Conference playoff standings, a half-game ahead of Denver for the eighth and final berth and one game ahead of the Warriors, who currently sit on the outside looking in. Golden State pulled away from the Mavs late in the fourth quarter on Sunday en route to a 114-104 victory as a five-point home favorite. However, the Warriors followed that with last night?s 116-92 loss at San Antonio as an 8?-point underdog ? ending a 37-game streak in which Golden State had scored at least 100 points. Don Nelson?s team has alternated SU wins and losses in its last 12 contests, but it has rebounded from a 2-5 ATS slump by going 3-1 ATS in its last four. Dallas bounced back from Sunday?s loss at Golden State and held off the Clippers 93-86 on Monday, barely cashing as a 6?-point road chalk to halt an 0-6 ATS slide. Despite the win, the Mavericks are just 2-5 SU in their last seven, including 1-3 at home. The Warriors, who pulled off one of the most stunning upsets in NBA playoff history last year in knocking out top-seeded Dallas in six games, are now 22-5-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings with the Mavs, including 11-3 ATS in Texas. However, Dallas had won the first two series clashes this year prior to Sunday?s loss in Golden State. Additionally in this rivalry, the home team has cashed in four straight battles, and the underdog is 20-7-1 ATS in the past 28 meetings. Despite last night?s blowout loss in San Antonio, the Warriors remain on pointspread streaks of 13-6 against the Southwest Division, 6-4 on the road and 9-4 when playing on back-to-back nights.
The Mavs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven on Wednesdays. Aside from that, however, they are mired in ATS funks of 2-6-2 against the Pacific Division, 0-7 against winning teams, 0-4 at home and 0-4 when playing on one day of rest. The over is 20-8 in the last 28 series meetings (3-0 in the last three), including 8-1 in the last nine clashes at American Airlines Center. Also, the over is on runs of 9-3 for Golden State against the Southwest Division, 9-2 for Golden State when playing on back-to-back nights, 39-19-1 for Golden State on Wednesdays and 9-2 for Dallas against the Pacific Division. On the flip side, the Warriors have stayed low in nine of their last 13 outings overall and five straight on the road.
ATS ADVANTAGE: GOLDEN STATE and OVER

THE SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL INVITATIONAL

Tulsa (24-13, 19-12 ATS) at Bradley (20-16, 19-14-1 ATS)
Tulsa took Game 1 of the inaugural best-of-three College Basketball Invitational championship series Monday night, holding off Bradley 73-68 but narrowly failing to cover as a 5?-point home chalk. The Golden Hurricane are on a 14-3 SU run (13-3 ATS in lined contests), including 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in this tournament. Bradley had its three-game CBI winning streak halted Monday, but the cover gave the Braves a 7-3 ATS mark in their last 10 games, including 3-1 ATS in this event. Also, Bradley is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games (1-1 ATS in the CBI). Despite Monday?s outcome, the straight-up winner has been a spread-covering machine in both teams? games lately, going 10-1 ATS in Tulsa?s last 11 matchups and 13-3 ATS in Bradley?s last 16contests. The Golden Hurricane are on positive ATS runs of 5-1 in non-conference play and 3-1 on the highway. However, they are 1-6 SU (3-4 ATS) in their last seven true road games and 4-8 ATS in their last 12 as an underdog. In addition to their 7-3 ATS spree at home, the Braves have won eight of their last nine as a host. They?re also on spread-covering streaks of 14-6 overall, 6-3 as a favorite and 7-4-1 outside the Missouri Valley Conference. Bradley, which had averaged 85 points per game in its five contests prior to Monday?s loss, is on an 18-5 ?over? tear, including topping the total in 12 of its last 13. Also, the over is 19-8-1 in the Braves? last 28 non-conference games and 7-1 in their past eight at home. For Tulsa, the over is on runs of 8-2 as an underdog and 7-3-1 in non-conference play. Finally, Monday?s contest at Tulsa barely eclipsed the 140?-point posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BRADLEY and OVER

Armvin Sports

Mlb
4/2/2008 New York Mets -162

Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils Apr 2 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Boston Bruins

Reason: The Bruins have won 3 of their last 4 games and have gotten points in 5 straight games. Boston has won 8 of their lst 9 games vs. Atlantic Division opponents. The Devils have lost 5 of their last 7 games overall. New Jersey is 2-6 in their last 8 conference games. The Devils have dominated the Bruins but tonight they'll dish out some payback and leave the NJ with 2 points. Play on the Boston Bruins +.

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Wednesday: Take LA Clippers +3 over Seattle

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty split with UMass ( 4) and Ole Miss ( 2) Tuesday night.

Today it's Bradley. The surplus is 520 sirignanos.

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE
San Francisco (0-2) at L.A. Dodgers (2-0)
Two of the top young pitchers in the National League square off as the Giants? Tim Lincecum (7-5, 4.00) opposes Chad Billingsley (12-5, 3.31) in the finale of this season-opening series at Dodger Stadium. After blanking San Francisco 5-0 in Monday?s season opener, Los Angeles got a run in the bottom of the ninth Tuesday to pull out a 3-2 victory in improving to 2-0 for the first time since 2000. The Giants lost six of their last seven going back to last year and they?re 3-12 in their last 15 road outings. The Dodgers have won 21 of the last 30 meetings in this rivalry. Also, the home team has taken five of the last six clashes after the visitor had been on an amazing 14-2 run.
Lincecum made 24 starts as a rookie last year, with 12 of the final 15 being quality starts (three earned runs or fewer in at least six innings of work). However, the hard-throwing righthander closed the campaign by going 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA in his final three outings. Lincecum was 4-2 with a 3.86 ERA in 12 road starts last year, with the Giants going 3-7 in the final 10. Also, in his lone start against Los Angeles, he yielded just two runs (one earned) on two hits and five walks over six innings, failing to get a decision in the Giants? 6-4 loss at Dodger Stadium. Billingsley began 2007 in the Dodgers? bullpen before entering the rotation in mid-June, and he went 8-5 in 20 starts, giving up three earned runs or fewer in eight of his final nine outings, with Los Angeles winning six of his last eight starts. Billingsley went 4-2 with a 4.24 ERA in 19 games (nine starts) at Dodger Stadium last year, a sharp contrast from his road numbers (8-3, 2.59 ERA in 24 games, including 11 starts). Also, the righthander is 2-0 with a 4.98 ERA in six games (four starts) against the Giants, including 1-0 with a 9.60 ERA in two home starts.
The under is 9-3 in Billingsley?s last 12 starts, but the over is 4-0 in his four career starts against San Francisco. Also, the over is 7-2 in the Giants? last nine overall (all versus the N.L. West), 4-2 in their last six on the road and 4-2 in the Dodgers? last six overall (all at home). However, the first two games of this season stayed way under the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS

AMERICAN LEAGUE
Toronto (0-1) at N.Y. Yankees (1-0)
Mike Mussina (11-10, 5.15) looks to rebound from a disappointing 2007 campaign when he leads the Yankees against A.J. Burnett (10-8, 3.75) and the Blue Jays in the middle game of this three-game set at Yankee Stadium.
After Monday?s season opener was washed out, the two teams finally opened the season on Tuesday, with New York rallying for a 3-2 victory. The Yankees are on runs of 20-9 overall and 42-17 in the Bronx, and they?re 40-14 in their last 54 games on Wednesdays. The Yankees have now won 11 of the final 16 meetings against the Blue Jays last year. Also, the road team is 7-5 in the last 12 battles between these division rivals. Mussina struggled to the point that he was pulled briefly from the Yankees? rotation last year, but he ended up having a solid September, going 3-0 with a 3.49 ERA in five appearances (four starts). He finished 7-5 with a 4.88 ERA at home in 2007, and for his career, he?s 61-35 with a 3.65 ERA at Yankee Stadium.
Mussina handled the Blue Jays with ease last year, going 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts, improving to 23-11 with a 3.32 ERA in 41 lifetime starts versus Toronto. Burnett had a sensational eight-start stretch toward the end of the season when he went 4-1 with a 2.28 ERA, pitching at least seven innings in all but one of those outings. However, he blew up in his final two starts, giving up 11 runs on 18 hits in 12 1/3 innings (8.03 ERA), though he split the two games. Burnett was just 4-5 with a 4.33 ERA in 13 road starts last year. On the bright side, the veteran righthander was phenomenal in two outings against the Yankees, giving up just one run on eight hits in 15 innings (0.60 ERA), winning 6-0 in Yankee Stadium and getting a no-decision in Toronto?s 2-1 home win. Not including a quality start in the 2003 World Series when with Florida, Burnett is 3-2 with a 3.20 ERA in his career against New York.
The Yankees are 9-2 in Mussina?s last 11 home starts against the Blue Jays and 5-1 in his last six outings against Toronto overall. Meanwhile, Toronto closed out last season going 8-3 in Burnett?s last 11 starts against divisional rivals and 5-2 in his last seven outings overall. The over is 7-4 in the Blue Jays? last 11 overall and 8-3-1 in New York?s last 12 at home. However, with last night?s game staying low, the under is now 23-10-2 in the last 35 head-to-head battles at Yankee Stadium, Also, the under is 13-5-1 in Burnett?s last 19 starts overall and 10-4-2 in Toronto?s last 16 Wednesday outings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

BRIAN GABRIELLE

NCAAB
Tulsa vs. Bradley

Take Tulsa Golden Hurricane

This is a simple case of 'false chalk' as the BGS Power Ratings clearly shows this game as a pick em on the Braves home court. Considering the Tulsa win in game 1 of the College Basketball Invitational Bewst of three finals, I make them a basket better in this game. Take Tulsa in a buzzer beater. Tulsa 71, Bradley 69


PGA
At this week?s Shell Houston Open, take Padraig Harrington (12-1), 1/6 unit: One of the commentators on the Golf Channel (I think it was Kelly Tilghman)noted recently that Harrington doesn?t have as wide a putting stance as usual. I noticed it, too. It doesn?tlook like he?s taking a dump when he putts anymore.Whatever the change, he?s No. 1 in putts per round and second in putts per hole. Take Aaron Baddeley (33-1), 1/6 unit: Let?s not forge tabout Bads. I think he deserves more credit for his success in recent years than he gives to Jesus Christ.Reminds me of what Will Clark once said in an SI article about born again Christians, referring to a home run he once hit off a born again: ?God didn?t hang that slider.? Anyway, Bads is the real deal after all, with or without divine support. He last played a couple weeks ago at the WGC ? CA Championship, where he finished T15. And speaking of putting, the best part of Bads?s game, he?s T19 in putts per round and 4th in putts per hole. Take Phil Mickelson (8-1), 1/6 unit: I reckon you have to take him to cover. It?s been a while since I?ve taken Lefty. Having won the week before The Masters and then going on to win The Masters in 2006 means something to Mickelson, psychologically. It?s generally dangerous territory trying to get into his head but you know that at the very least the tourney will have his undivided attention this week. Sometimes that?s not apparent with other players looking at this as a tune-up for Augusta.

Insider Sports Report!

1-2
MINUS 4.7 units yesterday!!!


Premier Picks® For 04/02/08


4* Tampa Bay (Garza) -110 over Baltimore (Cabrera)
Range +110 to -130
3* Oakland (Harden) -130 over Boston (Lester)
Range -120 to -150
3* Colorado (Cook)/St. Louis (Wellemeyer) UNDER 9
Range 9.5 to 8.5
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Special thanks to sixers76 :aktion033


yesterday's MLB records

-----yesterday------------------ytd record
css----1-0---------------------- 2-0 +.40
strike point sports 2-0-----------2-0
bobby ringo--2-3 -.10------------4-13 -1.22
scott spreitzer--0-1 -.30---------0-2 -.72
ben burns 1-0--------------------1-1
l ness 0-1------------------------0-1
winners inc 0-1-------------------1-1 -.81
teddy june 1-1-------------------3-1 +.45
seabass 1-4 --------------------2-5 -1.20
jefferson 0-2---------------------1-2 -.10
akmens 0-2 -3.57---------------0-2 -3.57
delaney 0-1 ---------------------0-1
bob bafle 1-0---------------------1-1 -.40
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Benjamin Lee Eckstein

Philadelphia Phillies

LT's Lock


Overall record: 580-481-22
Current streak: 6 losses
Todays play: The A's -135
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Winners Edge - 4/2/08


NBA:

Atlanta Hawks _3 , 2 units

LA Clippers + 4.5 , 2 units


CBB:

Bradley -5 , 2 units


MLB:

Pittsburgh Pirates + 110 , 1 units

Vegas Runner Went 4-0 Yesterday He Is All I'm Playing For Now.

PSYCHIC

NCAAB

2 units Tulsa +5

NBA

2 units Atlanta -2

MLB

1 unit Baltimore -100
1 unit Atlanta -110

DA STICK

NHL

5 units Boston +135

MLB

5 units Chicago Cubs -125
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thank God he had orlando i would have unloaded on new orleans