Service Plays Friday 4/4/08

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2-6 -15 units last 3 days

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Insider Sports Report!

04/04/08


4* Indiana -1 over Milwaukee (NBA)
Range +1 to -3
3* Boston (Wakefield)/Toronto (Marcum) OVER 9
Range 8.5 to 9.5
3* Cleveland (Byrd) -130 over Oakland (Duchscherer)
Range -115 to -145
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Armvin Sports


Mlb
4/4/2008 Toronto Blue Jays -105

VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Tulsa Golden Hurricane - 3.5 over Bradley Braves


Tulsa is 17-2 at home, including 9-1 ATS last ten home games. Including a 73-68 win over Bradley on March 31st, outrebounding the Braves 46-25.

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Chicago Cubs (Hill) - 1.5 (+130*) over Houston (Sampson)


Houston has opened 1-3 scoring a combined three runs in the losses. Fifth starter Sampson posted a 9.10 ERA in 18 innings this spring. Cubs are 6-1 last seven home meetings.

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Boston (Wakefield) - 105** over (at) Toronto (Marcum)


Boston is 8-3 in Wakefield's last 11 starts versus Toronto. Wakefield allowed a combined three runs over 20 innings in his first three 2007 starts.

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

N.Y. Mets (2-1) at Atlanta (1-3)
Tim Hudson (0-0, 2.57 ERA) makes his second start of the season as the Braves kick off a weekend series against the Mets and John Maine (15-10, 3.91 in 2007) in a battle of N.L. East rivals. The Mets kicked off the season by taking two of three from the Marlins in Florida, finishing up with Wednesday?s 13-0 whitewash. Meanwhile, the Braves have lost three of their first four games, with each loss coming by a single run and two in extra innings, including Thursday?s 4-3, 10-inning setback to the Pirates at home.
The Braves are still 7-3 in their last 10 home games dating to last year, while the Mets are 5-1 in their last six on the road (all against Florida). These teams split their 18 meetings last year, but New York won five of the final six, including a three-game sweep in Atlanta to start September. Hudson went seven innings on Sunday at Washington, giving up just two runs on three hits with no walks and seven strikeouts, failing to get a decision in Atlanta?s 3-2 loss. Going back to last season, the Braves are 2-6 in Hudson?s last eight outings, including 0-3 in the last three. Hudson was 8-6 with a 3.58 ERA in 17 home starts last year, with the Braves winning six of its final nine at Turner Field. He also faced the Mets four times, going 2-2 with a 3.33 ERA. The righthander has held the Mets to three earned runs or ewer in four of his last five starts against them, and he?s 7-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 12 career games against New York. Maine enjoyed a breakout season last year, but he struggled after the All-Star break, going 5-6 with a 5.53 ERA in 15 starts, compared with a 10-4 mark and a 2.71 ERA before the break. On the highway last year, the righthander was 9-4 with a 4.39 ERA. Maine faced the Braves three times last year. The first was a disaster ? he gave up six runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings in a 7-6 loss ? but he was outstanding in the next two, giving up just one run on three hits in each contest, pitching a total of 13 innings as New York won both games. The under is 5-0 in Hudson?s last five trips to the mound overall and 2-0 in his last two outings against the Mets after the over was 5-0 in his previous five starts against New York. Also, the under is 9-3 in the last 12 series meetings (5-1 in the last six) and 7-0 in the last seven battles at Turner Field. However, the over is 16-5-1 in the Mets? last 22 overall and 21-8-2 in their last 31 as a visitor.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (3-1) at Toronto (1-2)
The Red Sox visit their third country in a week when they open a weekend series in Toronto against the Blue Jays. Tim Wakefield (17-12, 4.76 in 2007) begins his 16th major-league season as he takes the ball for Boston, opposing Toronto youngster Shaun Marcum (12-6, 4.13 in 2007). Boston opened the 2008 season in Tokyo last week, splitting two games against the A?s. The teams then resumed their series in Oakland this week, with the Red Sox winning both contests by a combined tally of 7-1. The Blue Jays return home after losing two of three to the Yankees in New York, including Thursday?s 3-2 setback. Toronto gave up just eight runs in the series.
Toronto held its own against the world champs last year, winning half of the 18 meetings, including going 4-0 in the last four. The home team won five of the last six battles after the visitor went 9-3 in the first 12. Wakefield had a bloated 5.25 ERA after the All-Star break last year, but still managed to go 8-4 in 14 starts. The knuckleballer had a much better record at home (10-4) than on the road (7-8), but his ERA was a run better on the highway (4.26) than at Fenway Park (5.27). Finally, Boston went 12-5 in Wakefield?s last 17 outings. Wakefield is 15-10 with a 3.86 ERA in 45 career appearances (35 starts) against Toronto, going 6-4 with a 4.32 ERA in the Rogers Centre. Last year, he faced the Jays five times, going 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA (2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in Toronto). The Sox are 8-3 in his last 11 outings versus Toronto.
Like Wakefield, Marcum was very hittable in the second half of last season (4.68 ERA), but like Wakefield, it didn?t much matter as the young righthander went 8-3 in 14 starts. However, Marcum really had trouble at home last year, going 5-4 with a 5.66 ERA in 20 appearances (13 starts) as opposed to 7-2 with a 2.72 ERA on the highway. Marcum appeared in five games against Boston last year (two starts), going 1-1 with a 4.20 ERA. In his brief career, he?s 1-3 with a 6.39 ERA versus the BoSox in 10 games (eight starts).
The under was 7-2 in the nine head-to-head meetings in Canada last season. Also, the under is 8-1-1 in Wakefield?s last 10 starts against the Jays overall, 7-0 in his last seven in Toronto and 40-17-4 in his last 61 starts on the highway. Finally, the under is 3-0 for Toronto this year and 3-0 in Boston?s last three. However, each of Marcum?s final seven starts last year hurdled the total, and the over was 2-1 in his three starts against Boston.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER
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GATOR REPORT


NBA 70% Super Situations (Basketball Record 38-24 ATS +1160 Units)

NBA Friday: Play Under NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more against an opponent after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more
41-11 Under last 5 seasons (8-1 Under this season) (78.8%) PLAY: Charlotte / Toronto UNDER 202


MLB Friday: Play Under MLB home teams against the total first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season winning 54% to 62% of their games playing a team that had a winning record
33-9 Under since 1997 (78.6%) PLAY: Arizona / Colorado Under 10.5 (-120)


Gator's NBA "ANGLE" Game of the Day

NBA Friday: Play ON Seattle as an underdog of 10 or less points with rest seeking same-season revenge for an underdog SU loss in the last matchup versus an opponent with less than 3 days rest. 21-9-2 ATS since 2004 and 7-2-1 ATS since January 1st, 2008. PLAY: SEATTLE SONICS +9
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CAPPERS ACCESS

Fri (CBB) Bradley
Fri (MLB) Cubs
Fri (MLB) W. Sox

Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Apr 4 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Reason: Warriors currently in 9th place in the Western Conference really need this one tonight. The Warriors are 8-2 in their last 10 road games as a favorite of 5-10.5. Golden State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a SU loss. The Grizzlies are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home dog. In their last 26 games vs. a team with a SU winning record they are 6-10 ATS. In their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning road record they are 0-7 ATS. Warriors are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Golden State Warriors -.

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Friday: Take Golden St/Memphis UNDER the total of 231

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty was rained out with the Rays last night.

Today it's the 76ers. The surplus is 570 sirignanos.

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA


San Antonio (52-23, 35-38-2 ATS) at Utah (50-26, 41-35 ATS)
Two of the top teams in the Western Conference square off at EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake, where the Jazz look to continue their home dominance as they host the Spurs. San Antonio sits in second place in the Western Conference playoff standings, just a half-game behind division rival New Orleans, while Utah is three games back.
The Jazz are coming off consecutive blowout home wins over the Wizards (129-87 as a nine-point chalk) and Timberwolves (117-100 as a 16?-point favorite). Utah has won five of its last six, with all five wins coming at home, and Jerry Sloan?s squad is 4-1 ATS in its last five.
San Antonio has been idle since Tuesday?s 116-92 rout of the Warriors, covering easily as an 8?-point home favorite. The Spurs are riding an eight-game winning streak (7-1 ATS), going 3-0 SU and ATS on the highway during this stretch. The home team is 11-1 SU and ATS in the last 12 series meetings between these squads, including last year?s Western Conference finals series. The straight-up winner has covered the number in all 12 contests, including both meetings this year with San Antonio winning 104-98 in a pick-em contest on Dec. 7 and Utah prevailing 97-91 as a 2?-point chalk on Jan. 28. The favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last seven series battles. Utah owns the NBA?s best home record at 34-4 (26-12 ATS), going 24-1 in the last 25. Going back to last year, the Jazz are on a 34-13-1 ATS roll at home, including 9-2 ATS in the last 11. Additionally, Utah is on pointspread runs of 17-7 against the Western Conference, 7-1 against the Southwest Division, 13-3 against a winning team, 12-4 when coming off a double-digit win and 6-2 on one day of rest. Despite its current three-game road winning streak, the Spurs are just 20-17 on the highway (15-22 ATS). They?re also on negative ATS streaks of 2-5 on Fridays, 1-4 when playing on two days? rest and 2-8 ATS as an underdog of less than four points. However, San Antonio is 36-17-1 ATS in its last 54 against the Northwest Division. The Jazz have topped the total in five straight games (4-0 ?over? at home), and the over is 4-1 in San Antonio?s last five overall. Also, the over is 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings, though five of the last seven clashes in Utah have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH and OVER



Dallas (47-28, 32-39-4 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (51-24, 43-30-1 ATS)
The Mavericks resume their playoff push as they look to secure their grip on the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference when they travel to Hollywood to battle the Lakers. Dallas got Dirk Nowitzki back from injury on Wednesday, and the All-Star chipped in 18 points and five rebounds in 27 minutes as the Mavs crushed the Warriors 111-86 as a five-point home favorite. Dallas has won and covered two in a row after going 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in the previous six. The Lakers also welcomed back a key member to their squad on Wednesday, as Pau Gasol returned for a two-week injury absence and had 10 points, six rebounds and seven assists in a 104-91 win over Portland. However, Los Angeles failed to cover as a 13 ?-point home favorite, its fourth straight non-cover, all at home. Dallas won the first meeting against the Lakers this season 112-105, pushing as a seven-point home favorite. However, Los Angeles has come back and taken the last two, prevailing 108-104 as a 6?-point home chalk and 102-100 as a six-point road underdog. Despite the latter result, the home team is still 7-2 SU in the last nine battles, while the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13. Finally, the Mavs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at L.A. The Mavs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a spread-cover and 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine on Fridays. However, they?re just 8-17-3 ATS in their last 28 against the Pacific Division, 2-7 ATS in their last nine versus the Western Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last five when playing on one day of rest. L.A. is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 Friday contests. But other than that, the pointspread trends are all negative for Phil Jackson?s team, including 0-5 at home, 0-4 when playing on one day of rest and 1-6-1 against the Southwest Division. The over is 9-2 in the Lakers? last 11 games on Fridays and 5-2 in Dallas? last seven on the highway. However, the under is 7-2-1 in Dallas? last 10 Friday affairs.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
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BRIAN GABRIELLE

At this week?s Shell Houston Open, take Padraig Harrington (12-1), 1/6 unit: One of the commentators on the Golf Channel (I think it was Kelly Tilghman)noted recently that Harrington doesn?t have as wide a putting stance as usual. I noticed it, too. It doesn?tlook like he?s taking a dump when he putts anymore.Whatever the change, he?s No. 1 in putts per round and second in putts per hole. Take Aaron Baddeley (33-1), 1/6 unit: Let?s not forge tabout Bads. I think he deserves more credit for his success in recent years than he gives to Jesus Christ.Reminds me of what Will Clark once said in an SI article about born again Christians, referring to a home run he once hit off a born again: ?God didn?t hang that slider.? Anyway, Bads is the real deal after all, with or without divine support. He last played a couple weeks ago at the WGC ? CA Championship, where he finished T15. And speaking of putting, the best part of Bads?s game, he?s T19 in putts per round and 4th in putts per hole. Take Phil Mickelson (8-1), 1/6 unit: I reckon you have to take him to cover. It?s been a while since I?ve taken Lefty. Having won the week before The Masters and then going on to win The Masters in 2006 means something to Mickelson, psychologically. It?s generally dangerous territory trying to get into his head but you know that at the very least the tourney will have his undivided attention this week. Sometimes that?s not apparent with other players looking at this as a tune-up for Augusta.

NY Daily News

Benjamin Lee Eckstein

Detroit

YTD 1 - 3 (-4.6 units per 1 unit wager)

blackmagicsports:

Bonus Play for April 4th:

1 Unit on Mets/Braves UNDER 8.5
(Listing Maine and Hudson)<!-- / message -->

EZWINNERS:

MLB


1 STAR: (905) ARIZONA (+$121) over Colorado
(Listing Owings and Redman)
(Risking $100 to win $121)
3:05PM Central Time


1 STAR: (907) PITTSBURGH (+$112) over Florida
(Listing Morris and Olsen)
(Risking $100 to win $112)
6:10PM Central Time


1 STAR: (913) WASHINGTON (+$131) over St. Louis
(Listing Perez and Looper)
(Risking $100 to win $131)
7:15PM Central Time


1 STAR: (915) LA DODGERS (+$116) over San Diego
(Listing Kuroda and Germano)
(Risking $100 to win $116)
9:05PM Central Time


1 STAR: (930) OAKLAND (+$106) over Cleveland
(Risking Duchscherer and Byrd)
(Risking $100 to win $106)
9:05PM Central Time

Ethan Law:


CONFIRMED FRIDAY MLB SELECTIONS (UPDATE #1)
1* CLIENT PLAY (COMING SOON)
1* CLIENT PLAY (COMING SOON)
1/2* BOSTON -$105 (CONFIRMED)
1/2* BOSTON (-1.5) +$150 (CONFIRMED)
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NOTE: THIS SELECTION IS BROKEN DOWN INTO TWO (2) 1/2* UNIT PLAYS. ONE ON THE RUN LINE AND ONE ON THE MONEY LINE!
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BOS: RHP Tim Wakefield (17-12, 4.76 ERA in '07)

at

TOR: RHP Shaun Marcum (12-6, 4.13 ERA in '07)

Francona (like Ethan Law) excels on Friday nights as manager of Boston, indicated by his 70-38 mark +$2130 cements it!

Verdict: Boston 7, Toronto 2
PLAY 1/2* (1.5%) UNIT ON BOSTON -$105;
PLAY 1/2* (1.5%) UNIT ON BOSTON -1.5 +$150<!-- / message -->

4 Huge plays from The Source.....

This is usually when he gets it going a bit in bases... Play as follows.. ($100 a game normal wager size, as always)... Take Milwaukee -200, Phillies -105, Dodgers +108.. Strongest total of the day is Cubs/Astros to bat the ball all over the place, and score runs left and right.. Have not seen the total posted yet, but take the over. Play Milwaukee $450-w$225, Phillies $187-w$180, Dodgers $187-w$180, and Cubs/Astros over w$200. Gl..%^_

BURNS
BASEBALL

TWINS
Game: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Game Time: 4/4/2008 8:10:00 PM Prediction: Minnesota Twins

JAYS
Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Game Time: 4/4/2008 7:15:00 PM Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

MARLINS
Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Florida Marlins Game Time: 4/4/2008 7:10:00 PM Prediction: Florida Marlins


BURNS NBA

SONICS
Game: Houston Rockets vs. Seattle SuperSonics Game Time: 4/4/2008 10:35:00 PM Prediction: Seattle SuperSonics *Western Conference GOM

hey winner,

its been a while...how ya been...just stopping by to say hey...i been busy with school so havnt been able to do much of lately...hit me up man..be safe

The King Maker

King Maker Play of the Day
New York Mets +113 at Book Maker.com