PittVipers Wednesday MLB (19-23 (-6.85u) )

pittviper · Apr 9, 2008

Finally a better day yesterday after going 1-11 -50.01u the three days prior.
Yesterday: 5-4 +17.46 UNITS
2008 MLB: 19-23 -6.85 units

Every day I usually find a bet that is really easy to make money off.. I bet it, and it usually wins... but then I fill that play with a bunch of other leans or plays I don't like nearly as much.. so for now on, if I find a play that I like alot, or two plays that I like alot.. I will just bet that play in a variety of methods (as I have done a few times this season).. I will post my other plays (leans) that I would have bet, but will not be.. good luck to all

6 unit plays:
Philadelphia Phillies +125
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +195
Philadelphia Phillies OVER 4 runs -125
Philly/NYM over 9.5 -105

LEANS - NOT BETTING
LAD/Arizona under 9 -110
LAD/Arizona under 5 -120 (first 5 innings under)
St. Louis/Houston under 9.5 +102
Toronto Blue Jays -150
Seattle/Tampa Bay under 9 -105

BOL
PV

Budworth22 · Apr 9, 2008

pittviper said:
Finally a better day yesterday after going 1-11 -50.01u the three days prior.
Yesterday: 5-4 +17.46 UNITS
2008 MLB: 19-23 -6.85 units

Every day I usually find a bet that is really easy to make money off.. I bet it, and it usually wins... but then I fill that play with a bunch of other leans or plays I don't like nearly as much.. so for now on, if I find a play that I like alot, or two plays that I like alot.. I will just bet that play in a variety of methods (as I have done a few times this season).. I will post my other plays (leans) that I would have bet, but will not be.. good luck to all

6 unit plays:
Philadelphia Phillies +125
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +195
Philadelphia Phillies OVER 4 runs -125
Philly/NYM over 9.5 -105

LEANS - NOT BETTING
LAD/Arizona under 9 -110
LAD/Arizona under 5 -120 (first 5 innings under)
St. Louis/Houston under 9.5 +102
Toronto Blue Jays -150
Seattle/Tampa Bay under 9 -105

BOL
PV

Pit, you seem like a nice guy. This however, will not work. Please, for the sake of your wallet, do not do this.

pittviper · Apr 9, 2008

Thanks for the advice, but I believe it will work. The plays i like the most seem to hit around 70%, while all my other plays hit around 40%.. and I believe this is the best method to produce the maximum R.O.I with my wagers..

If this plan does fail me, I will go back to my old methods, but life is too short to not give new ideas and methods a chance.

Philadelphia wins 12-4. Mike Pelfrey may be a decent number three pitcher in time, but he still belongs in the Minor Leagues for now. The quicker the Mets management understands this, the quicker he will bloom into an average, or above average pitcher.

Budworth22 · Apr 9, 2008

pittviper said:
Thanks for the advice, but I believe it will work. The plays i like the most seem to hit around 70%, while all my other plays hit around 40%.. and I believe this is the best method to produce the maximum R.O.I with my wagers..

If this plan does fail me, I will go back to my old methods, but life is too short to not give new ideas and methods a chance.

Philadelphia wins 12-4. Mike Pelfrey may be a decent number three pitcher in time, but he still belongs in the Minor Leagues for now. The quicker the Mets management understands this, the quicker he will bloom into an average, or above average pitcher.

If the Phils get shutout, or lose and score 3 or less, you lose 24 units right?

silver7 · Apr 9, 2008

I Learned A LONG Time Ago To NEVER

use the "all my eggs in one basket" system. Following this has saved me a lot of $$ over the yrs. Many guys use a "base" tm for parlays for example and play all sorts of combo plays off that one tm. If it goes down they all do. There are better ways to maximize your potential and minimize your exposure IMHO. BOL on all your plays. Yes, I too play tms I`m not sold on as much as some others on any given day. Restraint will help not look for "action" & just play the gms you really feel. This goes for me also. As Lem B said "they play everyday"!!

CADILLACJACK · Apr 9, 2008

GL today PV!!!! :103631605

pittviper · Apr 9, 2008

thanks guys.. well I'll try it for the week.. it is not usually the game I like alot that hurts me, and I feel I can profit fairly easy using this method... Having 4 plays a day with this method, I HONESTLY think in a 7 day week.. I can go 18-most weeks...

thanks for looking out for me, but i've been betting baseball for a few years now, and i've noticed this trend every year, and its taken me a year to muster up enough courage to finally do it..

If this plan goes to the shitter, I will resort to my other plan which entails each day betting by favourite ML/RL play, and my favourite total

Thanks guys.

BOL
PV

Budworth22 · Apr 9, 2008

Am I reading this right? It is a 24 unit loss, correct? How long will you stick with this. I sure hope this isn't real, or substantial cash.

dave11486 · Apr 9, 2008

Looks like 12 units to me. Game was 8-2.

Budworth22 · Apr 9, 2008

dave11486 said:
Looks like 12 units to me. Game was 8-2.

-13.5 (Juice). Split the difference.

pittviper · Apr 10, 2008

Budsworth
a) my unit is 50$
b) this is an experiment if it doesn't work well, I'll stop
c) yes I lost 12.3u yesterday, but won 24 units today (thursday)
d) If i am down 50 units at any point of the season I will stop, this is my rule for every sport
e) I can lose 50 units in the MLB and still be in the profit here are my tracked records from cappersmall

2008 Seasons: 62-51-2 +96.21u-55%
2008 MLB: 23-26-2 +4.85u-47%
Propositions: 0-1 -5u
March Madness Record - FINISHED: 20-13 +33.40u -61%
Play of the month/year: 4-1 +25.6u
2007/2008 wagers of 8+ units = 28-5 -85%

2007 Seasons: 58-30-2 +108u-66% (also +20u from MLB system.. total +128u)
Football plays of the week/year: 18-4 +71.3u -82%
Hockey plays of the month/year: 2-0 +16u - 100%
MLB System (unit being 1/5 of actual unit) = +100u