Service Plays Wednesday 4/9/08

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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Arizona (Owings) + 110* over Los Angeles Dodgers (Kuroda)


Owings is 1-0 winning at Colorado 8-1 allowing one run on two hits over seven innings posting a career high nine strike outs. Arizona on a five game win streak is 5-1 last six meetings.

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Philadelphia (Kendrick) + 130* over (at) New York Mets (Pelfrey)


Defending NL East champ Philadelphia has won the last nine meetings. The Phillies are 7-2 last nine Kendrick starts. Kendrick is 1-0 life vs. the Mets with a 2.70 ERA.

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St. Louis (Looper) - 105* over (at) Houston (Sampson)


St. Louis is 6-1 last seven games. The Cardinals went 3-1 in four Looper starts vs. Houston last season. Sampson was 1-1 vs. St. Louis last season allowing six runs over 13 innings.

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NBA

Boston (62-15, 48-27-2 ATS) at Washington (40-37, 43-34 ATS)
Boston, which has begun to rest its Big Three of Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen for the playoffs, travels to the Verizon Center to take on Washington, which is aiming to maintain ? if not improve ? on its spot as the fifth seed in the East. The Celtics, despite resting their stars, pounded Charlotte 101-78 Saturday as a 1?-point chalk, then went to Milwaukee on Tuesday night and edged Milwaukee 107-104 in overtime for their seventh straight win. However, Boston came up way short as an 9?-point road chalk, ending a 6-0 ATS roll. The Wizards dropped Chicago 99-87 Saturday as a seven-point road underdog for their second straight win after a three-game slide. Washington is 3-5 ATS in its last eight starts overall, though six of those games were played on the highway, including five in the Western Conference. The Wizards currently sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, just one game ahead of Philadelphia and two clear of Toronto. Washington has won two of three meetings against league-leading Boston this season, including an 88-83 road upset catching 11? points on Jan. 14. Just two nights earlier, the Wizards knocked off the Celtics 85-78 as a 6?-point home pup. The underdog is on a 10-3 ATS run in this series. Despite last night?s non-cover, the Celtics are on a 15-4 ATS tear in their last 19 starts and are on further positive ATS runs of 4-0 on Wednesday, 4-1 against the Eastern Conference, 5-1 against winning teams, 46-18-1 on the road and a sterling 27-9-1 when playing on back-to-back nights. The Wizards are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 starts against the Atlantic Division, but they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine on Wednesday and 1-5 ATS in their last six home starts. For Boston, the under is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 7-1 against the Eastern Conference, 7-2 against Southeast Division foes, 4-1 on Wednesdays and 4-1 when playing on no rest. On the flip side, for Washington, the over is on runs of 5-1 overall, 7-0 against Atlantic Division opponents, 8-1 in D.C., 4-1 when playing on three or more days of rest and 19-7 in Eastern Conference play. Finally, the over is 7-2 in the last nine matchups between these two in Washington.
ATS ADVANTAGE: WASHINGTON and OVER



Phoenix (52-26, 37-38-3 ATS) at San Antonio (53-24, 35-40-2 ATS)
Phoenix, playing for the second straight night on the road, heads to the AT&T Center to take on red-hot San Antonio in a battle of Western Conference powers. The Suns, who blew a big fourth-quarter lead in losing to Dallas 105-98 Sunday as a 4?-point home favorite, traveled to Memphis on Tuesday night and hammered the Grizzlies 127-113, barely getting the cover as a 12?-point favorite. Phoenix, which trails the Lakers by 1? games in the race for the Pacific Division title, has alternated ATS wins and losses over its last eight games and is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine.
The Spurs held off Portland 72-65 Sunday in a defensive battle, failing to cover as an 8?-point road chalk for its second straight ATS setback. However, San Antonio is on a 9-1 SU run, going 7-3 against the number during that stretch. Phoenix has taken two of three meetings with the Spurs this season, including a 94-87 home win a month ago as a 1?-point ?dog. The Suns also posted a 100-95 road win catching two points in December, but the Spurs won 84-81 at Phoenix in January as a 7?-point pup. So the underdog has cashed in all three clashes this season and is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six going back to last year?s contentious Western Conference semifinal playoff series, which San Antonio won 4-2 (3-2-1 ATS). The Suns are just 5-16-3 ATS in their last 24 Wednesday contests, and they are 2-4 ATS in their last six on the highway and 0-4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on back-to-back nights. But they are on positive ATS upticks of 9-2-1 against the Western Conference and 6-2 against the Southwest Division. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six when playing on two days rest, but they carry positive pointspread trends of 4-1 against winning teams, 4-1 at home and 7-3 on Wednesday.
For Phoenix, the over is on streaks of 8-1 on Wednesday, 7-2 against the Southwest Division, 5-2 on no rest and 16-5 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. For San Antonio, though, the under is on runs of 5-1 against winning teams, 6-2 on Wednesday and 4-1 when playing on two days? rest. Finally, the under is on a 5-1 tear in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (4-4) at N.Y. Mets (2-4)
The Phillies send second-year starter Kyle Kendrick (1-0, 7.20 ERA) to the mound at Shea Stadium to face another young right-hander in the Mets? Mike Pelfrey (3-8, 5.57 in 2007), who is making his first start of the season. Philadelphia was a key contributor to New York?s late-season swoon last year, taking eight straight games from the Mets, including a key three-game series at Shea in mid-September. On Tuesday, the Phillies picked up where they left off last year, rallying from a 2-0 deficit to win 5-2 for their ninth straight win in the series. They?re 13-6 in the last 19 meetings overall and 8-2 in their last 10 games at Shea New York has lost three straight overall and 10 of its last 11 at home. Meanwhile, Philly is 7-2 in its last nine as an underdog. Kendrick, who went a solid 10-4 with a 3.87 ERA in 20 starts last season, gave up four runs on five hits in five innings of work in his season debut Friday, an 8-4 victory at Cincinnati. In his only start against the Mets as a rookie, he gave up just two runs on six hits in 6 2/3 innings en route to a 5-3 home victory last July.
Pelfrey was the losing pitcher against Kendrick last July in his only start against the Mets, allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits in five innings. He was a wreck at home, too, going 1-5 with a 6.35 ERA in 10 games (eight starts). The under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 head-to-head meetings overall and 7-2 in the last nine clashes in New York. The under is also 9-4 in the Phillies? last 13 games against right-handed starters. On the flip side, the over is on streaks of 8-1 when Kendrick starts (1-0 this year), 6-2-1 for the Mets at Shea, 16-6 for the Mets overall, 17-6-1 for the Mets against division rivals and 4-0 for Pelfrey at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit (0-7) at Boston (4-4)
The Tigers, who remain the only winless team in baseball, look to finally get in the win column when they send righty Jeremy Bonderman (0-1, 5.68) to the mound against left-hander Jon Lester (1-1, 3.38) in the second game of a three-game set at Fenway Park. Detroit dropped all six games of its season-opening homestand, then went to Fenway yesterday afternoon and got blanked 5-0, managing just five hits in the defeat. The Tigers, who have the second-highest payroll in baseball, have been shutout twice already this season, and their potent offense has produced just 15 runs in seven games. The Red Sox, who returned home yesterday after a brutal four-city, three-country road trip that took them from Tokyo to Los Angeles to Oakland to Toronto, snapped a three-game slide with Tuesday?s victory. Including postseason games, Boston is 58-31 at home since the start of last season. The Tigers are now 5-18 in their last 23 games at Fenway Park, including going 1-3 in a four-game set last May before sweeping the Red Sox in a three-game July series at home.
Bonderman, who went 11-9 with a 5.01 ERA last season, allowed four runs on eight hits ? including two homers ? in 6 1/3 innings in a 4-1 home loss to Kansas City on Thursday. Against the Red Sox, he is 3-4 with a 4.58 ERA in nine career starts, with all three wins coming in the last three outings, all in Detroit. However, he?s 0-3 with a 5.73 ERA in four career starts at Fenway Park. Bonderman was 6-3 with a 4.70 ERA in 14 road starts last year, far better than his home numbers (5-6, 5.32 ERA). The Tigers have won eight of his last 11 on the highway. Lester, who was 4-0 with a 4.57 ERA in 11 starts last year, bounced back from a 5-1 loss to the A?s in Japan two weeks ago to lead a 5-0 win at Oakland on April 2. Lester allowed just three hits in 6 2/3 innings in the victory.
Not including the postseason, Lester is 5-1 with a 4.60 ERA in 14 career games (13 starts) at Fenway Park. Tonight marks his first ever start against the Tigers. For Detroit, the under is on runs of 16-7 on the highway, 5-1 against lefty starters and 4-1 with Bonderman on the mound. Also, the under is 4-2-1 in Boston?s last seven, 7-1 in Lester?s last eight starts (2-0 this year) and 7-2-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER
 
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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Reds Tuesday night.

Today it's the New York Rangers. The surplus is 500 sirignanos
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Wednesday, April 9th, 7:05 PM ET

Cubs did not fare well against left-handed starters last year, averaging just 2.6 runs per game vs. southpaws. Therefore, despite Monday's offensive outburst, they're probably not too happy to see the Pirates Zach Duke, who has a 2.10 ERA against them to begin with. At the same time, Chicago starter Ryan Dempster, a converted starter from the closer's role, has really struggled against Pittsburgh going 3-7 with a 6.04 ERA, including work out of the bullpen.

Play on: Pittsburgh
 
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Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: Seattle SuperSonics at Houston Rockets Apr 9 2008 8:35PM
Prediction: Seattle SuperSonics

Reason: Seattle is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The SuperSonics are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southwest opponents. The Rockets are coming home from a 7-day road trip and don't expect them to be very sharp. In their last 5 games in this situation they are 1-4 ATS. Houston has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between the clubs but they haven't done very well at the window. Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and they will cover this big line tonight. Play on the SuperSonics +.
 

Rx. Veteran
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Rocco went 0-2 yesterday, with the Hornets and Blue Jays.

Winners Inc. went 2-0, with the picks on the Dbacks and Suns.

The Consensus group went 0-1 with the Padres.

VegasRunner, hit his NBA POD with the Jazz, hit the 3* MLB POD on the Rockies. Missed the over on the Knicks game by 2points, the cover by the Mavs by 2 points, but still up unit-wise (correct me if Im wrong)
 

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Thanks CPW for the ats lock club baseball yesterday, the sweep of late games helped. if we can get those daily,that would be great.
 
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ROCKY WINNERS CIRCLE COMP
35-25 last 60
APR: 3-5...Lost last 4

APRIL 9
WHITE SOX DANKS -140 over Baker<!-- / message -->
 

Always Use Good Money Management
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Lets Kick Some Ass

and we need soem good tracking on these guys. I know I am working on it. Lets all participate.
 

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Priceless Free Pick for Wednesday (dave price)

NBA
1 Unit on Hornets/Timberwolves UNDER 203.5

The Under is 5-0 in the Hornets last 5 vs. the Western Conference, 11-4-1 in the Hornets last 16 vs. the NBA Northwest, and 4-1 in the Hornets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Under is 4-1 in the Timberwolves last 5 vs. the NBA Southwest and 5-2 in the Timberwolves last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Hornets are coming off a terrible performance last night and while I expect better tonight, I don't expect either team to be over the century mark. Take the UNDER.
 

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Thanks for the breakdown MonsterBuck.

EZ Winners was 1-2, hitting KC at +132, but losing Detroit and Tampa Bay.
 

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