Service Plays Monday 4/14/08

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****Please note we can post Picks ONLY for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!

Recap of Sunday (not all the services posted are reviewed of course)

Winners Inc. 1-1

2-Minute Warning 1-0 on the Angels

Nickie 'Bookie Killer' 0-1 on the Bulls, and is now 7-1 on these plays

Teddy Covers AFL 1-0 on the Dragons

JeffersonSports 2-1 NBA (lost his small play on the LAL U) MLB 2-0 Overall 4-1

ATS Lock Club NBA 3-0 NHL 0-2 Caps & Sharks MLB 1-2 OVERALL 4-4

B Lang 3-3 (Free picks incl.) 2-1 10 Dime plays

EZ Winners 3-3

Ethan Law 0-2

Big Al hits his 5* on the Nuggets, loses 3* Angels Under

M Cannon 20* Houston W, 10* ATL L, 5* Mets L

Savannah Sports 0-1 on the Reds, YTD 11-6

KBHoopsFanatic 5-0, this guy is fire with a 31-10 record on his 4* plays

Akmens NHL 0-1 on MTL

Will Sykes 0-1 on the Rockets

Burns MLB 4-0, NBA 1-0, NHL 1-0, a perfect 6-0 SWEEP

Larry Ness 2-1 hitting his GOW 15* Indians

Red Dog Sports AFL 3-0, is now on a 20-6 record. FIRE!

Seabass 10-1!!! Hit the 3 50*, 7 20*, and missed the win on the 20* Reds. FIRE!

King Maker 1-0 KC

VegasRunner 4-2 plays-wise, 9-4 +5units

Thats it for yesterdays picks. I'll try to do this every day, and sum up the records of the days to see in what trends the cappers are, hot or cold. GL :toast:

Thanks for that Monster Buck. That's awesome of you.

CPAW, is it too much trouble, or has anyone ever suggested keeping all the picks and writeups in the one post?

Let people post stuff, but keep all the picks on the front page, first or second post.

It will save some of these lunatics searching 8 pages and asking for Ness, or Sea Bass, or Purple Dragon's Milk Game of 25th Century, only for someone else to point out it was half way down page 4.

I love all of your work, you all make this such a great place. Congrats.

Kewell said:

Thanks for that Monster Buck. That's awesome of you.

CPAW, is it too much trouble, or has anyone ever suggested keeping all the picks and writeups in the one post?

Let people post stuff, but keep all the picks on the front page, first or second post.

It will save some of these lunatics searching 8 pages and asking for Ness, or Sea Bass, or Purple Dragon's Milk Game of 25th Century, only for someone else to point out it was half way down page 4.

I love all of your work, you all make this such a great place. Congrats.

Click to expand...

No problem, man. If one day I couldnt post the updates records, it'll be great if someone else could jump in for me. Its hard to keep all the posted picks on the frontpage. A.they are all posted at different times and by different users. B. Not only picks are posted in this thread, but also other stuff, like questions, props etc. C. Its not hard to find a pick by searching this thread, if you want it, you'll get it. GL :toast:

MonsterBuck said:

No problem, man. If one day I couldnt post the updates records, it'll be great if someone else could jump in for me. Its hard to keep all the posted picks on the frontpage. A.they are all posted at different times and by different users. B. Not only picks are posted in this thread, but also other stuff, like questions, props etc. C. Its not hard to find a pick by searching this thread, if you want it, you'll get it. GL :toast:

Click to expand...

Cheers. It was just an idea. Good luck today everyone!

MonsterBuck said:

Recap of Sunday (not all the services posted are reviewed of course)

Winners Inc. 1-1

2-Minute Warning 1-0 on the Angels

Nickie 'Bookie Killer' 0-1 on the Bulls, and is now 7-1 on these plays

Teddy Covers AFL 1-0 on the Dragons

JeffersonSports 2-1 NBA (lost his small play on the LAL U) MLB 2-0 Overall 4-1

ATS Lock Club NBA 3-0 NHL 0-2 Caps & Sharks MLB 1-2 OVERALL 4-4

B Lang 3-3 (Free picks incl.) 2-1 10 Dime plays

EZ Winners 3-3

Ethan Law 0-2

Big Al hits his 5* on the Nuggets, loses 3* Angels Under

M Cannon 20* Houston W, 10* ATL L, 5* Mets L

Savannah Sports 0-1 on the Reds, YTD 11-6

KBHoopsFanatic 5-0, this guy is fire with a 31-10 record on his 4* plays

Akmens NHL 0-1 on MTL

Will Sykes 0-1 on the Rockets

Burns MLB 4-0, NBA 1-0, NHL 1-0, a perfect 6-0 SWEEP

Larry Ness 2-1 hitting his GOW 15* Indians

Red Dog Sports AFL 3-0, is now on a 20-6 record. FIRE!

Seabass 10-1!!! Hit the 3 50*, 7 20*, and missed the win on the 20* Reds. FIRE!

King Maker 1-0 KC

VegasRunner 4-2 plays-wise, 9-4 +5units

Thats it for yesterdays picks. I'll try to do this every day, and sum up the records of the days to see in what trends the cappers are, hot or cold. GL :toast:

Click to expand...

KBHoops went 4-1 yesterday, he lost with Los Angeles. +10.36 units, 4* plays are an incredible 30-11. This guy is legit.

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Lakers (-5) Sunday.

Today it's the Jazz. The surplus is 600 sirignanos.

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Take Boston/New York UNDER the total of 201

ARMVIN SPORTS

NHL
4/14/2008 DETROIT at NASHVILLE Over 5


MLB
4/14/2008 OAKLAND ATHLETICS 140

VEGAS SPORTS PICS

LA Angels (Santana) - 105** over Texas (Jennings)

PHILLY CONNECTION COMP

Utah/Houston Under 192

JEFFERSONSPORTS

NBA EARLY RELEASE
TORONTO-17.5

This overnight line opened at 19 and has quickly been bet down to 17.5. The early action is coming in on Miami at a huge rate. 75% to 84% of the early bets are coming in for Miami. I think this opening line was right. You may even be able to get this line even smaller by tomorrow. Toronto has serious concern with the way they are playing right now. Miami could not be in a worse spot. First of all they played a really tight game most of the way with Cleveland yesterday before they ended up losing by 8. Toronto has pounded the Heat all year by an average of 33 points per game. Usually I would lay off this high line with revenge but the motivation and focus for the Raptors should be at a peak level. The Heat do not match up well with the Raptors at all. Bosh is averaging over 30 points a game vs the Heat. Riley is known for not liking to double team and Toronto will make you pay with their 3 point shooters if you do. The Raptors were emberrassed as the Piston bench played the last quarter basically and won the game yesterday. Toronto knows they matchup better vs Orlando than they do Detroit in the first round of the playoffs so the motivation to be the 6th seed and not the 7th seed in the East will be big. I think we get a pissed off and motivated bunch of Raptors tomorrow.

TORONTO-17.5

Incredible odds! I would set them totally contrariwise. The reason is that this tournament is being played on a clay!

Vicente went through a qualification here: he has beaten Thomas Jim (USA) (1294) (6-3,6-2) and Wettengel Chris (USA) (679) (6-3,6-3). So he is already on fire.

On the other hand, Young played his last match on a clay a year ago. And there have been just a few matches on a clay in his whole career.

The 18-year old Young will have a lot of time in the furure to get used to a clay. This match is gonna be one of the good lessons to achieve that.

To sum it up, the odds around 2,25 are really valueable in my eyes.

this is an atp play!

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA

Houston (54-26, 46-32-2 ATS) at Utah (53-27, 45-35 ATS)
In a likely preview of a first-round Western Conference playoff series for the second straight year, the Rockets visit the Jazz inside EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake City.
Houston appears locked into the No. 5 spot in the playoffs while Utah will likely end up with the fourth spot. These two played a memorable seven-game first-round series last year (Utah won 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS) with the home team winning every game except Game 7, when the Jazz went to Houston and prevailed 97-89 as 5?-point ?dogs.
The road team has won and covered both meetings between these teams this season. The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall, including 5-1 ATS in the last six in Salt Lake, and the straight-up winner has cashed in nine of the last 10 series clashes.
Rick Adelman?s Rockets come into this one off Sunday?s 111-94 loss at Denver, falling well short as 6?-point pups and ending a five-game SU and ATS winning streak. Despite that setback, Houston is 37-17-1 ATS in its last 55 games overall and 16-7 ATS in its last 22 on the highway.
Utah has won eight of its last 10 SU and ATS, including Saturday?s 124-97 blowout of Denver as a six-point favorite. Jerry Sloan?s squad is on ATS runs of 6-0 overall, 10-1 against Southwest Division opponents, 21-7 against the Western Conference and 36-15-1 at home.
The under is 4-1 in the last five series clashes in Utah, 4-0 in Utah?s last four overall, 9-1-1 in Utah?s last 11 against the Southwest Division, 4-1 in the Rockets? last five overall, 9-1 for the Rockets against the Northwest Division and 15-7 for the Rockets on back-to-back nights.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH and UNDER




Golden State (48-32, 34-46 ATS) at Phoenix (53-27, 38-39-3 ATS)
No longer in control of their own playoff destiny, the Warriors are still in a must-win situation when they visit the Suns inside US Airways Center.
Golden State must win tonight and on Wednesday at home against the Sonics and hope the Nuggets fall to the Grizzlies on Wednesday to earn a spot in the Western Conference playoffs. A Denver win Wednesday renders the Warriors? game that night against the Sonics meaningless.
Don Nelson?s Warriors just haven?t had the late-season magic of a year ago, as they?ve lost five of their last nine (3-6 ATS). They did beat the Clippers 122-116 at home Saturday but came up well short as 16-point favorites.
Phoenix has won six of its last nine (5-4 ATS) and seems destined for the No. 6 spot in the playoffs and a likely first-round matchup with the Spurs. The Suns have been off since Friday?s 101-90 road loss in Houston, failing as a three-point road chalk.
The home team has won six straight series matchups and eight of the last nine, with the Suns 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with the Warriors in the desert. These two squared off in Phoenix a month ago with the Suns scoring a 123-115 victory and narrowly covering as 7?-point favorites. Finally, the straight-up winner is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 series clashes.
Golden State is in ATS ruts of 9-30 following a SU victory, 2-9 against Pacific Division foes and 1-4 as an underdog. On the flip side, Mike D?Antoni?s Suns are on ATS runs of 10-3-1 against the Western Conference, 7-1 at home and 9-3-1 as a favorite.
The over is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings between this division rivals, 39-12 in the Warriors? last 51 Monday tip-offs and 10-4 in the Suns? last 14 as a home favorite. However, the under is on streaks of 4-1 for the Suns overall, 8-3 for the Suns as a favorite and 7-1 for Golden State on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHOENIX

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">THE SPORTS ADVISORS

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (7-6) at Cleveland (4-7)
The Red Sox and lefty Jon Lester (1-2, 4.50 ERA) visit the Indians and Jake Westbrook (1-1, 2.76) in a rematch of last season?s American League Championship Series at Progressive Field.
Boston rallied from a 3-1 deficit to beat Cleveland in the ALCS, and then went on to sweep the Rockies and win their second World Series crown in four years.
The Red Sox come into this series after taking two of three against the rival Yankees over the weekend, including Sunday night?s 8-5 victory. After registering just two hits in losing Friday?s series opener 4-1, Boston rallied to win both weekend games, scoring 15 runs in the process.
Cleveland snapped a three-game losing streak with Sunday?s 7-1 home victory over Oakland, the Indians first home win in three tries this season.
Lester got roughed up in his last start, giving up four runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 7-2 home loss to the Tigers. In his two road starts this season he?s allowed four runs on eight hits in 10 2/3 innings against the A?s, first in Japan (5-1 loss) and then in Oakland (5-0 win).
Last July, Lester went to Cleveland and gave up two runs on five hits in six innings as Boston got a 6-2 victory. The Red Sox are 12-4 in Lester?s last 16 starts overall, 8-3 in his last 11 on the highway and 9-2 in his last 11 against a team with a losing record.
Westbrook went the distance Tuesday at the Angels, allowing three runs on seven hits in a 4-3 win in Anaheim. In two starts this season, the veteran right-hander has allowed five runs on 13 his in 16 1/3 innings. The Tribe has struggled with Westbrook as a favorite, though, going just 1-4 in his last five as a chalk.
Westbrook saw the Red Sox twice in the ALCS, including the deciding Game 7. In Boston, he allowed three runs on nine hits in six innings of work but the Red Sox went on to blow out the Indians 11-2. Earlier in the series he held them to two runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 4-2 Cleveland win.
The Red Sox are just 2-9 in their last 11 games as a ?dog and 1-5 in their last six against right-handed starters. Conversely, Cleveland is on runs of 22-7 at home, 17-6 as a home favorite and 9-2 against a southpaw.
The over is 5-1-2 in the last eight series meetings, however the under is 4-1-2 in the last seven matchups in Cleveland, 4-1 in Westbrook?s last five at home against the Red Sox and 17-4 in Westbrook?s last 21 as a home favorite. The under is also 20-7-1 in Boston?s last 28 games on Monday and 6-2-1 in its last nine when they face a right-handed starter.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER



L.A. Angels (7-6) at Texas (5-7)
After taking two of three in Anaheim in the opening week of the season, the Rangers and starter Jason Jennings (0-2, 7.45 ERA) welcome the Angels and Ervin Santana (1-0, 3.00) to the Ballpark at Arlington for a brief two-game set.
Texas got swept at home against the Blue Jays over the weekend, concluding with a 5-4 10-inning loss Sunday. The Rangers are 7-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings with Los Angeles, including 5-1 in Texas. They?re also 4-1 in their last five matchups against Santana and 4-0 when they Santana in Texas.
The Angels salvaged the final game of a three-game set in Seattle Sunday, cruising to 10-5 win.
Jennings has been beaten up in his first two starts as a Ranger, giving up four runs on five hits in five innings of a 4-1 loss in Seattle on April 2 and then yielding four runs on seven hits in 7 2/3 innings in Tuesday?s 8-1 home loss to the Orioles.
While with the Astros last season, Jennings faced the Angels once and gave up five runs (four earned) in 5 2/3 innings of a 9-5 Houston victory.
Santana has allowed just four runs on 10 hits in 12 innings of work this season as the Angels are 1-1 in his two starts. He faced the Rangers four times last season and got beaten up in the final three, allowing 17 runs (15 earned) in 16 1/3 innings as the Rangers won all three, all in Arlington.
The Angels are 15-5 when Santana pitches against division rivals and 13-5 with him favored, but just 4-11 in his last 15 starts on the road.
The Rangers are 17-7 in their last 24 home games but just 6-16 in their last 22 as an underdog and 1-4 in their last five Monday starts. Meanwhile the Angels are 6-2 in their last eight Monday games, but they?re mired in slumps of 1-4 in the opener of a series and 1-5 against A.L. West foes.
The over is 22-7-3 in Santana?s last 32 road starts, 6-1 in his last seven road outings in Texas, 5-1 in the Angels? last six overall, 10-4 in the Angels? last 14 series openers and 8-2-1 the last 11 times these teams have met.
Conversely, the Rangers have stayed under the total in seven of their last eight as a home pup, and the under is 24-7 in their last 31 at home and 24-8-1 in their last 33 against a right-handed starter.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
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Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators Apr 14 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: over

Reason: The over is 1-1 in the two games played so far in the series. The Penguins are doing their part on offense averaging 4.5 GPG. The Senators have to start scoring goals if they hope to get back in this series. Gerber has played well for Ottawa between the pipes but the Senators offense needs to wake up and expect that to happen at home tonight. The team's have played over the total in 3 of the last 4 meetings overall. The over is 4-1 in the Penguins last 5 trips to Ottawa. Play the over.

Today's Free Selection is Provided by: Teddy Covers
Game Date: April 14, 2008
Sport: NBA
Game: Sacramento v. San Antonio
Selection: Sacramento +4
Sacramento continues to play stellar basketball down the stretch despite a serious run of injuries, pulling off the outright upset win over New Orleans yesterday. The Kings have now won six of their last eight games overall, and eight of their last ten at Arco Arena. They’ve earned wins over playoff bound squads like the Nuggets, Warriors, Lakers, Rockets and Hornets during that span. Head coach Reggie Theus: “We’re mucking it up. You can’t do anything but smile about it. We haven’t given up. Our effort (has been) phenomenal.” With Ron Artest back in the lineup and Kevin Martin potentially healthy enough to return tonight, don’t expect the Kings to lay down here against San Antonio. The Spurs got blown out against the Lakers yesterday, and there’s little reason to expect San Antonio to bounce back with a stellar showing here on the second night of back-2-backs. The Spurs are just 5-12 ATS playing on the second night of back-2-backs this year. They are in the midst of a 3-7 ATS slide on the highway, and have lost three of their last five overall. Playing without leading scorer Manu Ginobili, the Spurs offense has been nothing short of atrocious. Tim Duncan: “We haven’t played well in about three, four, five games now. We’ve just have got to find a way to make some shots.” Head coach Greg Popovich: “We’re better off to be a lower seed with a healthy Manu than a higher seed without a healthy Manu. Come playoff time, we’ll have as good a chance as anybody to do well.” Playoff time doesn’t begin tonight.

Big Al

paid plays

Angels

76ers
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Paul Leiner

25* NBA Under 199 NYK/Bos
10* MLB Blue Jays -130
10* MLB Over 10 NYY/TB
5* MLB Indians -125
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ANALYSIS:

This Monday night match up doesnt provide us with any postseason drama but it may well provide an opportunity for a successful investment. The Celtics have already secured home-court throughout the playoffs but they are playing for the season sweep against the Knicks. This is something that hasnt been accomplished by a Celtics team since 2002 when they were able to win all four contests that season. For the Knicks this only means they are possibly one game closer to getting rid of their Coach, if you can call him that? The Knicks had a rare winning streak snapped on Friday night when they lost to the Atlanta Hawks 116 to 104. The Knicks do need one more win this season to keep from tying a team record of 59 losses; this mark was set by Coach Larry Browns only Knicks team two seasons ago. Although the Celtics are the wrong team to need a win against since they have averaged defeating this Knicks team by 23 points per game this season. They have proven also they can beat teams handily even when their starters only play part of the game. The Celtics Big 3 played less than 25 minutes each in their 1-2 to 86 win over Milwaukee on Friday night. The next night they played the Hawks and the Big 3 played only 3 of the 4 quarters and they got the win by 10, 99 to 89. Also Coach Doc Rivers is not one to lie down at any point and this has been a part of the Celtics success this season along with the obvious. Lay the short price here as the men in Green put an exclamation mark on their meetings with the Knicks this season.