Jake's Picks - MLB April 16th (plus my favorite highlight video)

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Record: 29-28 +.79 Units
2 Unit Plays: 3-0

0-6 last night.

NL Lines:

Arizona -140, U8-120
Phil Pk, O10 -125
Atl -145, U8 -113
NYM -220, 9 Pk
StL -140, U9 -112
SD -130, U8.5 -111
LAD -140, O8.5 -120

NL Bets:

SF Giants +161
Pitchers: Zito/Webb

Webb is an excellent pitcher and all but I think SF will have a chance in this one. Arizona's offense is very overrated right now and Zito has had success against them in the past. Zito looked much more comfortable pitching at home and dominated the DBacks in SF last year. At +161 on the home team where the pitcher has a chance to dominate, there is no way I'm laying off.

Houston/Philly Over 9.5 -110
Pitchers: Oswalt/Kendrick

Oswalt is not pitching like he used to be able to and he should get crushed in Philly, where he hasn't had alot of success even when his velocity was normal. Kendrick doesn't have great stuff but is a good pitcher when he finds his command. So far he hasn't found his command at all and Houston has some hitters who can fully take advantage of a misplaced pitch.

Atlanta/Florida Under 9 -110
Pitchers: Hudson/Hendrickson

Hudson should dominate here. Florida hasn't had success against him in the past and I see no reason why the guys they have in their lineup will hit him this year. Hendrickson isn't the best lefty in the world but he's pretty crafty and pretty good about not getting rocked too hard. He'll give up a run here or there but shouldn't have a total breakdown. I see this being a 3-1 or 3-2 type game.

Washington/NYM Over 8.5 +100
Pitchers: Chico/Maine

The Mets crush lefties and Chico doesn't impress me. That right there could be all we need to get over this total. Maine is having some issues with his control right now as well which only helps.

Pittsburgh Pirates +170
Pitchers: Maholm/Penny

This isn't really a bet where I think Maholm will throw shutout ball or anything... it's just I looked at how hittable Penny has been this season and don't think he should be -200 over anyone at this point. Maholm has pitched pretty good ball this year and Penny has given up runs to the Pirates in his outings last year. Value play.
 

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jake -are you telling me you think that sf can hit web? I am leaning towards az but must admit +160 is tempting-- cant talk myself into putting dough on the giants this so far this season.:toast:
 

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AL Lines:

Cle -135, O10.5 -120
Bal -130, 9.5 Pk
NYY -120, U9 -112
Tor -150, O9.5 -112
Min -115, U9 -115
LAA -165, U8.5 -115
Sea -115, U8 -122

AL Bets:

Detroit Tigers +142
Detroit/Cleveland Over 10 -110

Pitchers: Gallaraga/Sabathia

Sabathia just isn't throwing good. His velocity is just fine but he's extremely hittable for whatever reason. Gallaraga shouldn't do anything special but if Sabathia throws like he has the first few starts, this one is anyone's game with a high total. Detroit seems to finally be hitting as well.

Boston Red Sox +134
Pitchers: Wang/Buchholz

This is the second time that NYY has seen Buchholz which is a little scary but Wang doesn't have that great of a history against Boston and if Clay deals once again which I think he has a chance to, this is a nice value.
 

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jake -are you telling me you think that sf can hit web? I am leaning towards az but must admit +160 is tempting-- cant talk myself into putting dough on the giants this so far this season.:toast:

It's not really that I think they are going to dominate him, but they are good enough to put up 2-4 runs. Zito can pitch lights out at times and I think SF can win a 4-3 or 3-2 type game. I really am not sold on the DBacks offense being for real. I don't think they'll even be at the league average offensively when all is said and done.
 

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It's not really that I think they are going to dominate him, but they are good enough to put up 2-4 runs. Zito can pitch lights out at times and I think SF can win a 4-3 or 3-2 type game. I really am not sold on the DBacks offense being for real. I don't think they'll even be at the league average offensively when all is said and done.
went ahead and took sf on the rl-104--hoping you are on your game today. dont usually tail anyone but was unsure as to how this one would go--your logic looks solid also took sf first 5 +160---lets cash!!!
 

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Keep plugging away Jake; some people don't realize how hard the working conditions are under a bridge.

Good luck,

Mack Donald
 

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Keep plugging away Jake; some people don't realize how hard the working conditions are under a bridge.

Good luck,

Mack Donald

Wifi brother wifi.
 

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