Do any of you folow the "just bet underdogs rule" when betting bases

Iceman · Apr 17, 2008

I know a few baseball bettors that no matter what will not bet a favorite when betting baseball. If there is one sport I do not bet many favorites that would be baseball.

Not saying I dont but would say less than 15% of my plays are on favorites over -110. To be honset with you I am not sure if I should keep this up as betting on sides is my worst area of betting when I bet baseball, I have done much better on totals and other stuff. It is my favorite thing to do "trying to pick winners" but something I have never beat consistently in baseball, made my money with other odds and ends stuff.

degengambler · Apr 17, 2008

underdog systems

I Know There Are Underdog Systems
Would Some Our Fellow Posters Share Them, Please

I Think There Is One Where When A Series Starts
You Bet The Game 1 Game 1. Loses You Bet Dog In Game 2.
That Loses Dog In Game 3, Etc--what I Cannot Remember
Is If The Units Change Or Always Use The Same Unit. Point
Being Dog Will Win One Game Of A Series....

patswin · Apr 17, 2008

No I always look to play a live dog at + odds but do not exclusively bet dogs. You will go broke with that type of stategy. I try not to bet favs over -200, will look to play those on the run line

TomGshotput · Apr 17, 2008

better team, better pitching matchup, at home, healthier, up to -160, find these a lot more often than the +120 dog that should be favored. . .

MrJ · Apr 17, 2008

I hold the view that in a volatile market there's a good chance that either side could produce a profitable bet and this leads me to betting a lot of favourites, although I'm not necessarily holding a position.

than the +120 dog that should be favored.

A +120 dog that should be favoured is not a common bet as it has a 10% edge.

No I always look to play a live dog at + odds

There is a lot of +ev outside of that category.

Moon88 · Apr 17, 2008

degengambler said:
I Know There Are Underdog Systems
Would Some Our Fellow Posters Share Them, Please

I Think There Is One Where When A Series Starts
You Bet The Game 1 Game 1. Loses You Bet Dog In Game 2.
That Loses Dog In Game 3, Etc--what I Cannot Remember
Is If The Units Change Or Always Use The Same Unit. Point
Being Dog Will Win One Game Of A Series....

Degen teams do get swept. :103631605

Moon88 · Apr 17, 2008

patswin said:
No I always look to play a live dog at + odds but do not exclusively bet dogs. You will go broke with that type of stategy. I try not to bet favs over -200, will look to play those on the run line

Pats go broke betting dogs? Can you elaborate. Thanks.

Moon88 · Apr 17, 2008

I play just dogs and do fine...some +1.5-140 max run lines at times. Not many. I've started posting my stuff here this season (all dogs so far...no rl yet) and will keep doing it every year given the time.

Moon88 · Apr 17, 2008

Iceman said:
I know a few baseball bettors that no matter what will not bet a favorite when betting baseball. If there is one sport I do not bet many favorites that would be baseball.

Not saying I dont but would say less than 15% of my plays are on favorites over -110. To be honset with you I am not sure if I should keep this up as betting on sides is my worst area of betting when I bet baseball, I have done much better on totals and other stuff. It is my favorite thing to do "trying to pick winners" but something I have never beat consistently in baseball, made my money with other odds and ends stuff.

Ice the hardest part of betting is finding the winner be it a fave or dog. I prefer dogs. As we all know you can hit 50% of your games and make a profit.