I'm on Pittsburgh. Maholm has consistently pitched much better at home than he has on the road. Last year his era was a full 2 runs lower at home. In his only start at home this year, he didn't give up a run. Also, while Florida has been playing good, they have struggled against lefties hitting only .200, compared to .292 against righties.
On the other side, Nabalsco has shown me nothing in his 2 starts.
Pitt -118 is my play.