mlb 4/23

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17-16 +2.5 units ytd

Indians (-142) 2 units....The bad news on Carmona: He's walking everyone...the good: he's not allowing many people to cross the plate and he only allowed one BoB last time out. He's been pounding the ball low and in to righties and low and away to lefties, probably too much, leading to walks. He's getting ground balls when he needs them at an alarming rate though, stranding 80+% of runners. That won't hold up, but he won't keep walking people either. He was 3-0 with a 20/5 BB/K ratio against the Royals last season. Royals are losers of 5 straight and nasty stuff from Carmona won't help.
 

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Phillies (-138) 1 unit....I don't know that I've ever bet on Hamels before, but I like him in this spot. Dave Bush gets knocked around pretty consistently, thinking Howard and Utley may feast off him tonight, which is a very bad sign for Milwaukee as their bullpen is running thin after four extra inning games in five days. Last night alone they used seven relievers and their manager admits to being worried if Bush can't go deep in this game.
 

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as much as i hate juice i hit Carmona last time out for the win ...
may tail or parlay the chalk ......either way thanks & bol
 

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absolutely douglas, the Indians line has moved over -150 at this point though and I can't really recommend playing it at that price...maybe a -1 play, the Royals got beat up pretty good last night, thinking it may carry over today.
 

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made a typo earlier...Phillies are for 2 units

Diamondbacks (+100) 1 unit....Should be a fun pitching matchup to watch. The Dodgers have scored just one run in four of their last five games, and if they can only put up one run on the likes of Will Ohman, Chuck James, and Jair Jurrjens, you can't expect them to hit Haren. 'Backs have only been held under four runs one time this season, early against Cueto, no shame there. Dodgers pathetic hitters gave me a gift of a push on the under in their game last night so I'll fade them again going with the better team.
 

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