Service Plays Friday 4/25/08

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

New Orleans Hornets + 5 over (at) Dallas Mavericks


New Orleans has won the first two games of this series 231-195, despite getting outscored by 24 at the free throw line. The Hornets are an NBA fourth best 26-15 on the road.


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Phoenix Suns - 6 over San Antonio Spurs


SA is 4-12 ATS last 16 games as a road dog. Suns are in "need to" win mode off losing the first two games of this series, at SA, by a combined eight points, blowing double digit leads both games.

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St. Louis (Looper) -130** over Houston (Chacon)


St. Louis is 8-3 last 11 home games. Looper is 2-0 at home this season allowing two runs over 11 innings. He's 7-3 life vs. the Astros with a 2.74 ERA.

Armvin Sports

Mlb
4/25/2008 Colorado Rockies

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">ETHAN LAW

958 MIL (-145) vs 957 FLA

NOTE: THIS SELECTION IS BROKEN DOWN INTO TWO WAGERS. 1/2* UNIT ON THE MONEY LINE AND 1/2* UNIT ON THE RUN LINE.
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FLA: LHP Scott Olsen (3-0, 2.60 ERA)

at

MIL: RHP Yovani Gallardo (0-0, 1.29 ERA)

Verdict: Florida 2, Milwaukee 7

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON MILWAUKEE -$145;
PLAY 1/2* ON MILWAUKEE (-1.5) +$130
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers
Friday, April 25th, 7:30 PM ET

The Pistons still have not forgotten their Game One meltdown. Keep in mind that they've outscored the Sixers by 30 points in the first half of Games One and Two, so Philly is lucky to be even at this point. Detroit has won five of six here in the City of Brotherly Love and can hang its hat on a 16-7 pointspread mark if coming off a double-digit win at home.

Play on: Detroit

Lance's Lock


Overall record: 591-493-22

Current streak: 1 win

Todays play: The 76er's +4
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ARTHUR RALPH COMP

Phoenix Suns

JEFFERSONSPORTS

NBA 131?95 (58%)
NHL 49-37 (57%)
MLB 27?23 +3.20 units


NBA EARLY RELEASE
PHOENIX-6.5

BRIAN GABRIELLE

Take Bart Bryant (40-1), 1/6 unit: OK, he?s a Texan. OK, he?s got the best moustache on Tour, at least the best one wielded by an American. Maybe the ONLY one wielded by an American. Texas and moustaches are forces to be reckoned with, but the pick is about Bryant?s play: In his last three tourneys he?s gone 2,T11 and MC. The MC last week wasn?t horrendous (he shot 70 and 74). What would be more concerning is that he?s missed his last two Nelson cuts. Again, all bets are off with a completely overhauled course. It?s supposedly in great shape and more attractive to the eye, which might help a guy who?s missed the cut his last two tries. Take Daniel Chopra (100-1), 1/6 unit: It?s been a mixed bag since he opened the year with a win at Kapalua. In recent years, Chopra?s saved up for the last month or so of the season. He?s a good bet for late season events, especially Vegas. I?m taking him this week because he?s really good and can win any week. Who knows what?s in his head? Sometimes he sounds like a mature golfer, other times we see him make a mess of things. He?s in a grouping of guys who can win any time out but hasn?t really broken through.At 100-1, I don?t mind taking the chance his head is in the game this week. Take Kevin Na (100-1), 1/6 unit: Na had two rounds in the 60s last week and finished T17. He has two top-10s this year. He would be in the Chopra category except he?s not as talented. Still, he can play for a young guy. He just needs to figure out how to win. And that could happen any time.

CAPPERS ACCESS

Fri (NBA) Hornets
Fri (MLB) Cubs
Fri (MLB) Royals

Jimmy The Moose

Game: New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians Apr 25 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: New York Yankees

Reason: Prior to last night game the Yankees had won 3 straight. New York is 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite. In their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record the Yankees are 13-3. New York sends Pettite to the mound and he's 3-1 on the year with a 2.45 ERA. The Yankees are 9-1 in his last 10 road starts. Cleveland counters with 0-2 Paul Byrd. The Indians are 0-4 in his 4 starts this season. Cleveland has lost 6 of their last 8 home games. The Yankees are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the clubs. Play on the New York Yankees -.

Play By Play Inc

NBA
4/25/2008 DETROIT at PHILADELPHIA Over 180

NBA
4/25/2008 NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS Over 195.5

Carlo Campanella

Game: Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers Apr 25 2008 7:00PM

Prediction: under

Reason: This series is tied up 1-1 after Detroit split their two home games with Philadelphia. The Total also split, 1 Over and 1 Under, as they head to Philadelphia for Game # 3 on Friday. With this being a pivotal tie breaking game that both teams need to gain a series advantage, expect a slow paced, defensive battle, especially as we find DETROIT going Under in 10 STRAIGHT road games when a Playoff series is tied.

7* Play On UNDER

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Winners Edge

NBA

Detroit Pistons - 4 , 2 units
N.O Hornets + 5 , 2 units


MLB

NY Mets - 130 , 2 units
Boston Redsox - 115 , 2 units
Reds/Giants under 7.5 ,1 unit (-115 )
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(2) Detroit (60-24, 46-37-1 ATS) at (7) Philadelphia (41-43, 43-38-3 ATS)
The Pistons, who bounced back in Game 2 after a stunning Game 1 upset loss at home, will try to regain home-court advantage when they travel to the Wachovia Center for Game 3 against the 76ers. Detroit, which blew a 15-point, third-quarter lead to Philadelphia in Game 1, posted a resounding 105-88 victory Wednesday night to square the best-of-7 series and easily cover as a 10?-point home chalk. The Pistons moved to 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six starts, and the straight-up winner has cashed in each of Detroit?s last 10 games. The Sixers, on the other hand, dropped to 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six outings. Despite the blowout loss on Wednesday, Philly is still 4-2 ATS against the Pistons this season (3-3 SU), including 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four clashes. The favorite in this series is on a 13-6-1 ATS roll, and the road team ? again, despite Wednesday?s outcome ? is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 matchups. Finally, while Detroit is 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings overall, it is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to the Wachovia Center.
Wednesday?s victory snapped an 0-5 SU and 0-6 ATS slide in the postseason for the Pistons. Additionally, Detroit is still in the midst of negative ATS trends of 6-11-1 in the playoffs since the start of the 2007 postseason, 6-16-1 as a playoff chalk (1-7 the last eight as a playoff favorite), 3-7 against the Atlantic Division, 4-10 as a road favorite and 2-7 overall on the highway. On the positive side, Flip Saunders? team is 10-3 SU in its last 13 overall (8-5 ATS) and has positive pointspread trends of 5-1 as a chalk, 5-1 on one day of rest, 15-6 as a road favorite of less than five points and 15-6-3 in first-round playoff games. Philadelphia remains on positive ATS runs of 14-7-1 as a pup, 8-3 against the Central Division, 6-1 as a home ?dog of less than five and 10-4-1 after a SU loss. However, the Sixers are just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog, 5-11-3 ATS in their last 19 in conference quarterfinal games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when catching less than five points and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home.
Although Wednesday?s meeting sailed over the 178?-point posted price, the under for Detroit is still on streaks of 10-4 overall, 9-3 as a favorite, 12-3 against the East, 4-0 as a road chalk and 6-1 on the highway. Philadelphia, meanwhile, has seen the over-under alternate in its last nine contests overall, and the under is 4-1 in its last five at home, but the over is 11-5-1 in the 76ers? last 17 games on Friday.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT


WESTERN CONFERENCE


(2) New Orleans (58-26, 51-31-2 ATS) at (7) Dallas (51-33, 35-45-4 ATS)
The Hornets, who continued to prove their worth as one of the best bets in the league by winning and covering in Games 1 and 2 at home, head west to the American Airlines Center for Game 3 against the Mavericks, who are in a must-win situation. New Orleans followed up a 104-92 Game 1 win over the Mavs by running Dallas out of the gym Tuesday night in a 127-103 rout laying 3? points. The Hornets are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four starts going back to the regular season, and the straight-up winner has gotten the cash in eight of New Orleans? last nine contest. Dallas, meanwhile, is 1-6 ATS in its last six starts (3-4 SU). With New Orleans? win Tuesday, the home team is now 6-0 SU and ATS this season in this series, and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven clashes overall (5-0 ATS in the past five). Finally, Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five battles with the Hornets at the American Airlines Center. The Hornets, who sported the league?s third-best ATS mark in the regular season, are on a multitude of positive pointspread streaks, including 40-19-1 overall, 36-16-1 on two days? rest, 6-1 in conference quarterfinal games, 9-3 against the Western Conference, 20-9 as an underdog and 31-15-2 as a visitor. On the downside, they are on ATS slides of 3-7-1 as a playoff underdog, 2-5 as a road pup of any price, 1-5 as a road ?dog of five to 10? points and 2-5-1 after a pointspread win.
Despite winning and covering against New Orleans at home in the regular-season finale nine days ago, Dallas is still on negative pointspread runs of 1-5 on two days? rest, 2-9 following a non-cover, 4-10 against winning teams, 2-6 at home and 0-6 in first-round playoff games. On the positive side, the Mavericks are 37-17-1 in their last 55 against Southwest Division rivals and 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven on Friday. The ?over? trends run particularly heavy for New Orleans, including 4-0 overall, 7-1 as a road ?dog of any price, 5-1 catching 5 to 10? points on the road, 26-8 on two days? rest and 8-3-1 in Friday contests. For Dallas, the over is on streaks of a 4-1 overall, 4-0 on two days? rest and 5-1 against the Southwest Division, but the under is on runs of 9-3 for the Mavs as a favorite, 8-2 for the Mavs as a playoff favorite and 6-2 for the Mavs at home. Finally, the under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 clashes between these rivals and is 7-1 the last eight contests in Dallas, but the over has cashed in four straight matchups, including the first two games of this series.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS


(3) San Antonio (58-26, 38-44-2) at (6) Phoenix (55-29, 40-41-3 ATS)
The defending NBA champion Spurs carry a 2-0 series lead into U.S. Airways Center, where the Suns must find a way to win Game 3 or face the all-but-certain prospect of being knocked out of the playoffs by San Antonio for the second straight year. For the second straight game in this best-of-7 series, Phoenix got out to a great start in building a 14-point lead on Tuesday, but San Antonio outscored the Suns 27-11 in the third quarter and held on down the stretch for a 102-96 win as a 1?-point favorite. The Spurs have won four in a row (2-2 ATS), though they are still just 3-6 ATS in their last nine overall. Meanwhile, the Suns, who have dropped two straight Western Conference games for the first time since March 7, have alternated spread-covers over the last six games, including cashing in Game 1 in San Antonio. Phoenix is 4-2 ATS this season in the heated rivalry against San Antonio, and the underdog has taken the cash in five of the six meetings. Meanwhile, San Antonio, which took out Phoenix in last year?s conference semis by winning the series 4-2 (3-2-1 ATS), is 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 visits to the U.S. Airways Center. The Spurs are in the midst of ATS funks of 1-4 against the Pacific Division, 2-7 on two days? rest, 3-8 as an underdog, 4-12 as a road pup and 0-4 on the highway. One positive for San Antonio is its 5-1 ATS run in first-round playoff games. The Suns are on positive pointspread trends of 8-2 at home, 12-5-1 against the Western Conference, 6-0 after a non-cover, 6-1 on two days? rest, 4-1 after a SU loss, 7-2 as a home favorite and 10-4-1 overall as a chalk.
The under cashed in all four regular-season meetings between these squads, but the over took the money in the first two in this playoff series, with Tuesday?s clash eclipsing the 191-point posted price.
For Phoenix, the over is on runs of 4-0 in conference quarterfinal games, 4-1 on two days? rest, 10-4 as a playoff favorite and 11-5 as a home chalk. For San Antonio, the over streaks are 5-0 overall, 5-0 against the West, 4-0 following a SU win, 6-1 against the Pacific Division (including a current 4-0 run) and 7-2 with the Spurs catching points in the playoffs.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHOENIX and OVER
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

MLB

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Atlanta (11-11) at N.Y. Mets (11-10)
The Braves send young right-hander Jair Jurrjens (2-2, 3.20 ERA) to the hill at Shea Stadium to open a three-game set against the Mets, who will counter with righty Mike Pelfrey (2-0, 3.18). Atlanta snapped a modest two-game losing skid with Thursday?s 7-4 home win over the Marlins. Going back to April 17, the Braves are on a 6-2 run, as they?ve reached .500 for the first time since the opening week of the season. However, Bobby Cox?s club is just 3-7 on the highway this year, including 1-3 in the last four. New York has followed up a five-game winning streak by losing three of its last four, including Thursday?s 10-5 setback at Washington. On the bright side, the Mets return home, where they are 6-3 this season, including three straight wins. These two teams have already seen each other once this season, with Atlanta sweeping a two-game series April 4 and 5 at home, posting wins of 11-5 and 3-1, though neither of today?s starters were involved in those decisions. Last year, the teams split their 18 meetings, though New York won five of the last six. The 22-year-old Jurrjens has had four solid starts, even in his two losses, but his best outing came Sunday in a 6-1 home win over the Los Angeles Dodgers, as he allowed one run ? a solo homer -- on three hits in seven innings, with three walks and eight strikeouts. In his first major-league experience last year, Jurrjens went 3-1 with a 4.70 ERA in seven starts for Detroit. Pelfrey notched wins in his first two starts before getting a no-decision in a 5-4 loss at Philadelphia on Sunday. In that contest, he got beat up a bit, allowing four runs on 10 hits in five innings. But in two home starts prior to that, he allowed just two runs on 10 hits in 12 innings, including tossing seven shutout innings in a 6-0 win over Washington on April 15. Pelfrey is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts (three appearances) against Atlanta, all last season. The over is 5-1 in Pelfrey?s last six starts at Shea, but the under is 3-1 in Jurrrjens? four outings this year. Furthermore, the ?under? trends are heavy for both these teams, with the total staying low in six of the Braves? last eight overall and four of the Mets? last six overall. For Atlanta, the under is also 7-0 on the road against right-handed starters, 23-8 overall against righties and 5-1 in series openers. For New York, the under is 8-1 against losing teams, 6-2 against the N.L. East, 5-2 at home and 39-19-4 in Friday outings. Finally, the under is 6-2 in the last eight series clashes between these rivals and 3-1 in the past four meetings at Shea Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS and UNDER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (12-11) at Cleveland (10-12)
After a long night in the Windy City, the Yankees, head east to Cleveland to kick off a weekend series against the Indians in a rematch of last year?s American League Divisional Series. New York left-hander Andy Pettitte (3-1, 2.45 ERA) is set to toe the rubber at Progressive Field against Indians right-hander Paul Byrd (0-2, 4.43) in a battle of veteran hurlers.
New York jumped out to a 3-0 lead at the White Sox last night, then endured a lengthy rain delay. Shortly after play resumed, the Yankees fell behind 6-3 and battled back to the tie the game at 6 before eventually losing 7-6 in the bottom of the ninth to halt a three-game winning streak. Despite the loss, Joe Girardi?s club is still 5-3 in its last eight on the highway. Cleveland is coming off Thursday?s doubleheader sweep at Kansas City, winning by scores of 9-6 and 3-0. That completed the Tribe?s three-game sweep of the Royals after Monday?s 15-1 rout. Returning home may not prove all that comfortable for the Indians, who are 2-6 in their last eight at Progressive since opening the season with two home wins. This is the first meeting between these A.L. rivals since last year?s best-of-5 divisional playoff series, won by Cleveland 3-1. Prior to that, New York won all six regular-season meetings in 2007, outscoring the Indians 49-17. The Yanks are on an 8-0 regular-season run in this rivalry dating to 2006. Pettitte struggled in his season debut at Tampa Bay, taking the loss after allowing five runs on eight hits in five innings in a 6-3 setback. But he?s rebounded to go 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA in his past three starts, most recently throwing seven scoreless innings in Sunday?s 7-1 rout at Baltimore, allowing just four hits, with no walks and five strikeouts. In his career against Cleveland, Pettitte is 6-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 16 starts, incluing 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA in Cleveland (1-0 last year).
The Indians are 0-4 with Byrd on the mound this season, despite the fact he has held his last two opponents (Boston and Minnesota) to a combined two runs (one earned) on 12 hits with no walks and nine strikeouts in 13 innings. In his only home start of the season on April 15, Byrd held the Red Sox to an unearned run over six innings, with Cleveland?s bullpen imploding in a 5-3 defeat. Byrd is 1-4 with a 4.44 ERA in eight starts against New York, getting blitzed for seven runs on seven hits in just two innings in his lone outing against the Yanks last year. The Yankees are on tears of 9-1 in Pettitte?s last 10 road starts, 24-7 in Pettitte?s last 31 starts against the A.L. Central, 37-14 in Pettitte?s last 51 starts in a series opener and 44-20 in Pettitte?s last 64 starts overall. The lone negative for New York: a 1-5 mark in its last six Friday outings. The Indians are 21-9 in Byrd?s last 30 starts at Progressive Field. On the flip side, Cleveland is 2-5 in its last seven series openers, 1-5 overall in its last six against lefties and 0-5 in its last five against the A.L. East. For the Yankees, the under is on streaks of 15-8 overall, 10-5 on the road and 5-0 when Pettitte starts. However, for Cleveland, the over is on runs of 9-1 in series openers, 10-4-3 against winning teams and 7-2-1 when Byrd starts at home. Finally, the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings between these squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER

Ladies on NESS'S Thurs. play

he had a 15* on Toronto.... I dont remember where I got it..... was it a NBA or MLB play???? just wonering but either way he seem to be as solid as anybody with his 15 & 20* plays....... the few he missed this year in bases always missed by 1 run.... hes always right there, never seen one of his picks blown out..... hope he keeps it up........:toast:

Teddy Covers was $$$$$$$$$$$ again last night! 14-0 run on NBA totals. he has a play up already. anybody got it?

Straley

Rocco Spacamuro

50* Suns -6.5