mlb 4/25

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19-18 +1.44 units ytd

KC/TOR Under 8 Runs (-120) 1 unit.....KC is losers of seven straight, Toronto of four straight after being swept by Tampa Bay. KC coming off the double header, so thinking there could be a small letdown in their bats today. Really like Greinke on the mound and if Burnett can just find his control he shouldn't have too many problems vs a team that has scored 0 or 1 runs in 5 out of 9 of their home games this season.
 

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I thought about it briefly but it was 7.5 at my book at -115 so I passed. Burnett scares me a little bit. He's one of the top pitchers in the game when he's right but he's always hurt.
 

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under lost, I won't even explain the BS that happened, who cares.

For Saturday some stuff is jumping out at me...

Diamondbacks (-105) 3 units at BJ.....Owings is the real deal and I'm hoping to ride him to 5-0. He was 2-0 at Petco last season. Germano is no where near the pitcher that Owings is and he'll face a better offense than the one that is backing him. He actually pitched well against AZ last year and also well in day games, but he has to have a good K/BB ratio to succeed and so far hasn't shown that this season. Pads scoring something like 2.38 runs per game at home. AZ sat Drew, Byrnes, and Snyder tonight I'm guessing so that they'll be ready to play in the noon game tomorrow. This should be closer to -140 it seems.
 

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record after last night....19-19 +0.24 units ytd

Cubs (-159) 1 unit.....I'm just trusting Zambrano to bring his 'A' game following the loss last night. He's got 27 K's to 5 BB's this season and only way I can see him getting beat up tonight is if he loses his control all of a sudden. At this price I'm going to guess that it won't happen. Chico hasn't shown us his best stuff yet this season and I'm not sure why, but his best stuff isn't good enough to beat Zambrano's.

good luck to everyone today
 

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