By Ron Raymond
Now that parity is the handicappers and bettors worst nightmare, bettors and cappers are now forced to find a way to compliment the percentages into their handicapping. The fundamental of handicapping games will always play a role into your make picks process, but you need to find a tool that includes parity. Let’s face it, with parity in each sport, it’s getting harder to be a consistent winner on a daily basis and baseball is one of those sports that will eat you alive if you don’t include the percentages.
When I refer to the “percentages”, I mean its important now to have data that goes back 10 years or more and find angles, systems and trends that back your original pick. Stats and trends are your friends, but they shouldn’t be your only source of doing picks, but consider the past mistakes for current profits.
Here’s today’s Baseball Stats and Trends for Thursday, May 1, 2008:
When BOSTON team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - Last 5 years - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent: 7-4 SU and 8-2-1 O/U/P
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Home team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a night game: 11-1 SU and 8-4-0 O/U/P
When CLEVELAND team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - During the month of May - Coming off a 1 game win - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game: 9-2 SU and 5-6-0 O/U/P
When CLEVELAND team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a 1 game win - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game: 8-2 SU and 4-5-1 O/U/P
When TEXAS team played as a Home team - Playing on Thursday - After a non division game - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Home win: 6-5 SU and 1-9-1 O/U/P
When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - After a division game - During a day game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a 1 game win: 7-8 SU and 12-3-0 O/U/P
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Road team - Playing on Thursday - Before a division game - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a 1 game loss: 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 O/U/P
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - During the month of May - Vs. Right handed pitchers: 15-3 SU and 9-9-0 O/U/P
When TORONTO team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Playing on Thursday: 7-4 SU and 2-9-0 O/U/P
When TEXAS team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on Thursday - During a day game: 11-2 SU and 5-8-0 O/U/P
When KANSAS CITY team played as a -120 to -140 Road Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs Non Division Opponent: 3-10 SU and 2-11-0 O/U/P
When FLORIDA team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Vs. Right handed pitchers: 7-10 SU and 2-15-0 O/U/P
When FLORIDA team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Vs Non Division Opponent: 6-13 SU and 3-15-1 O/U/P
When FLORIDA team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Total is 9.5 - Vs NL WEST opponent: 8-6 SU and 2-12-0 O/U/P
OAKLAND: When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - 4th game of a series - Coming off a 5 run lost: 8-7 SU and 3-12-0 O/U/P
TORONTO: When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team - During a night game - Last 3 years - Before a non division game - Allowed 2 runs AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 run lost - Coming off a 2 game losing streak: 12-6 SU and 3-14-1 O/U/P
Now that parity is the handicappers and bettors worst nightmare, bettors and cappers are now forced to find a way to compliment the percentages into their handicapping. The fundamental of handicapping games will always play a role into your make picks process, but you need to find a tool that includes parity. Let’s face it, with parity in each sport, it’s getting harder to be a consistent winner on a daily basis and baseball is one of those sports that will eat you alive if you don’t include the percentages.
When I refer to the “percentages”, I mean its important now to have data that goes back 10 years or more and find angles, systems and trends that back your original pick. Stats and trends are your friends, but they shouldn’t be your only source of doing picks, but consider the past mistakes for current profits.
Here’s today’s Baseball Stats and Trends for Thursday, May 1, 2008:
When BOSTON team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - Last 5 years - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent: 7-4 SU and 8-2-1 O/U/P
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Home team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a night game: 11-1 SU and 8-4-0 O/U/P
When CLEVELAND team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - During the month of May - Coming off a 1 game win - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game: 9-2 SU and 5-6-0 O/U/P
When CLEVELAND team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a 1 game win - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game: 8-2 SU and 4-5-1 O/U/P
When TEXAS team played as a Home team - Playing on Thursday - After a non division game - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Home win: 6-5 SU and 1-9-1 O/U/P
When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - After a division game - During a day game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a 1 game win: 7-8 SU and 12-3-0 O/U/P
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Road team - Playing on Thursday - Before a division game - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a 1 game loss: 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 O/U/P
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - During the month of May - Vs. Right handed pitchers: 15-3 SU and 9-9-0 O/U/P
When TORONTO team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Playing on Thursday: 7-4 SU and 2-9-0 O/U/P
When TEXAS team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on Thursday - During a day game: 11-2 SU and 5-8-0 O/U/P
When KANSAS CITY team played as a -120 to -140 Road Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs Non Division Opponent: 3-10 SU and 2-11-0 O/U/P
When FLORIDA team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Vs. Right handed pitchers: 7-10 SU and 2-15-0 O/U/P
When FLORIDA team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Vs Non Division Opponent: 6-13 SU and 3-15-1 O/U/P
When FLORIDA team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Total is 9.5 - Vs NL WEST opponent: 8-6 SU and 2-12-0 O/U/P
OAKLAND: When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - 4th game of a series - Coming off a 5 run lost: 8-7 SU and 3-12-0 O/U/P
TORONTO: When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team - During a night game - Last 3 years - Before a non division game - Allowed 2 runs AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 run lost - Coming off a 2 game losing streak: 12-6 SU and 3-14-1 O/U/P
