accuscore

DeezNuts · May 2, 2008

Does anyone use this website's projections? or any other information on it?

I just started looking yesterday, but saw that underdogs with at least a 40% chance of winning according to accuscore were 5-2 withMilwaukee, Toronto, TB, Detroit, and Oakland winning and San Diego and Pittsburgh losing. Thought if someone already used this site I wouldn't bother trying to track their success, but otherwise I might keep an eye on this.

Gator627 · May 2, 2008

Im interested to know their success rate as well. I remember I followed them one weekend in football just for shits and giggles. I think I broke even.

I would think there is a record available somewhere.

DeezNuts · May 2, 2008

I just looked at ones that would be plays tonight and depending on how you want to look at it. The underdogs would be CHC, SEA, CWS, COL, NYM, BAL, and TEX. Yes, Cubs -107, White Sox -101 and Rockies -110 and not plus money, but are either underdogs or in the case of Colorado have a higher percent and it's a pick at -110.

DeezNuts · May 3, 2008

If all had been played last night. Record would have been 3-4 for -.55 units. I don't have units from May 1. If you exclude the Colorado game because at the time I looked they were both -110, would have been a 3-3 night and +1.45 units. I'll be back later with the plays that would qualify. Any thoughts or suggestions would be appreciated. Just giving info and trying to help.

DeezNuts · May 3, 2008

Just looked at the numbers and I will keep trying to track it both ways, but I think since I am looking at taking only the dogs, I will eliminate the games where both teams are -110. There are a lot of games that qualify today so bear with me. Again, right now this is simply for record keeping purposes. I am not betting these games just looking to see if it's worth it and also see if others have ideas for tweaking what I'm thinking. Enough rambling, here are the games:
Record from May 2 3-3 +1.45 units
San Fran +145
Florida +137
Cincy +120
White Sox +100
Baltimore +110
Tampa Bay +135
Minnesota +105
Texas +150

Here are the -110 games that I think will be eliminated soon. What I looked at last night in the LAD/COL game was to take the team with the higher %, so here are those for today:
Record from May 2 (includes above) 3-4 -0.55
Pittsburgh
Houston
LA Dodgers
NY Yankees

mtomto · May 3, 2008

Of course its only using numbers, so its good when the stat disparity is the widest--but at that point you probably know about that game already. Definitly dont use it as a guide for totals...almost always calculates 9 or 10 runs no matter what.

DeezNuts · May 3, 2008

Cool. thanks for the input. Right now, I'm only taking underdogs with 40% chance of winning or better. No clue why I picked that just wanted to find a place to start.

$4nothing · May 3, 2008

interesting to watch awhile.
luv MLB dogs !

good find (xx fingers crossed xx)

tatehill2000 · May 3, 2008

it sucks

DeezNuts · May 3, 2008

have you looked at it before tate?

DeezNuts · May 3, 2008

not so good today, but not awful either. 3-5 on the dogs for -1 unit and 6-7 if you include those that were pick making that -0.2 units on the day.

tatehill2000 · May 4, 2008

DEEZ,, I used them the first year they were out, (a bit less $$than statfox) UGH,,, not just did I not find value in their power stats, but their software was NOT helpful to ME as capper,

I dont know if this is true or not but it really seemd as if the site was a fantasy footbally site, and they made it into a capping site? I could be wrong, anyway, heres what was so frustrateing, I sent them a few suggestions on how to change things, to make it more handicapper friendly,

my suggestions were not outrageous,

and they just brushed me off,,, anyway, the diagrams are honestly the only thing that seporates it from statfox, it is the poormans statfox, they have a decent product, they just werent flexible, and I wasent able to make it work for me.

You know whats kindof funny, all the godam business in the world have those fukn boxes in the front of them,

HEY IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS ON HOW WE CAN SERVE YOU BETTER PLEASE TELL US WE CAREEEE

hno:

lol but ya know no one cares,

to tell ya the truth Deez, I did subscribe to it the first year it came out, sooooo it oculd of been my bad timeing, Im sure alot has changed since I subscribed.

If its not too much to ask, would you share with the boards how yOU are useing them and the success you are haveing???
thanks man,,,

I wish you luck with em though,,, :103631605

tater

DeezNuts · May 4, 2008

Right now I'm simply tracking underdogs that are projected to win 40% of the time or better according to accuscore. I am not wagering on these games. Simply tracking and giving the information. Sorry this is late in case anyone is wanting to play them, but here are today's games.
Cincinnati +110
Houston +115
LA Dodgers +105
KC +150
Seattle +106
TB -105

Teams at -110 with a greater than 50% chance of winning according to accuscore:
San Diego
Washington
NY Mets
Minnesota

tatehill2000 · May 4, 2008

Deez, I beleive in footbal when I subscribed their dog picks were poor, (their ATS was decent) and I had asked if there was some way of putting in a screener that tracked thier %s of covering the spread. or straight up Just so we could see immediately how well their screeners worked,

they said no go jump in a lake,lol

instead they jsut posted theri Coverd spread % over every single football game, lol well Im not going to play 70 dam games to take advantage of a 56% win rate,,, lol,,

gl, and if it pays off hey,,,,, thats what its all about USEING information to exploit a weakenss,,,
tater

DeezNuts · May 5, 2008

well, another losing day yesterday -1.4 units unless you're including the -110 games as well in which case would have won 0.6 units. It's still early but true dogs since May 2 are -0.95 and if you include the pick 'em games a little better at -0.15. I'll post today's games a little later on. I plan to keep tracking for the rest of the month and then decide if it's worth following any longer. I know that's still a very small sample but we'll see.

DeezNuts · May 5, 2008

sorry guys, I left the numbers at work. I'll post the update in the morning since some of the games have started already.

DeezNuts · May 6, 2008

Only 3 dogs qualified yesterday going 1-2 with STL winning and Detroit and KC losing -0.99 units. 5 games for the overall Cincy and Toronto won making all games +1.01 on the day. So since May 2, dogs are 9-14 -1.94 units and overall games are 17-18 +0.86 units.

DeezNuts · May 6, 2008

Several games qualify today
Dogs:
San Fran -105
Washington +102
Colorado -105
NY Mets +115
Boston -105
Cleveland +110
Tampa Bay +130
Minnesota +107
Texas +125

Even:
Florida -110

Heatwave · May 6, 2008

How do they determine that the dog has a x% of winning. By some statistical formula?

If you get to the bottom of how they get that number, and it makes sense, you probably have something. But their method of determining is by dogs eating out of food bowls or something like that, will probably do no better than break-even over time.

HW

DeezNuts · May 7, 2008

thought the doggies were going to have a winning day, but the Mets couldn't hold on. Since May 2 record is 13-19 for -2.39 units. I'm starting it's a good thing to include the teams that are -110 as those are 22-23 and +1.41 units. Back shortly with todays games.

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