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contrarian system thursday 15-8 ytd
- Thread starter Systat
- Start date
could you explain how this system works?
thx.
every ballpark has its own caracteristics and the books are well aware of that. they are extremely sharp with their totals for almost every game and it is for a reason that you'll see colorado totals anywhere from 8 to 12 or texas totals in that same range. there is a lot more to it than starting pitchers. however, the public is mostly betting on first impression, after seeing the total and the pitchers involved. I developped this system last year and it is based on fading public plays in some specific situations and it has made me thousands last year, and it is doing pretty well again this season. and when i say 'fading public' i don't necessairly mean to fade every big public play out there.
every ballpark has its own caracteristics and the books are well aware of that. they are extremely sharp with their totals for almost every game and it is for a reason that you'll see colorado totals anywhere from 8 to 12 or texas totals in that same range. there is a lot more to it than starting pitchers. however, the public is mostly betting on first impression, after seeing the total and the pitchers involved. I developped this system last year and it is based on fading public plays in some specific situations and it has made me thousands last year, and it is doing pretty well again this season. and when i say 'fading public' i don't necessairly mean to fade every big public play out there.
Systat, thanks for sharing. It sounds like if the 2 starting pitchers have a low ERA. and the public is on the UNDER. You take the over ?
Opposite- if starters ERA are high and public on the over you go UNDER..
:toast:
every ballpark has its own caracteristics and the books are well aware of that. they are extremely sharp with their totals for almost every game and it is for a reason that you'll see colorado totals anywhere from 8 to 12 or texas totals in that same range. there is a lot more to it than starting pitchers. however, the public is mostly betting on first impression, after seeing the total and the pitchers involved. I developped this system last year and it is based on fading public plays in some specific situations and it has made me thousands last year, and it is doing pretty well again this season. and when i say 'fading public' i don't necessairly mean to fade every big public play out there.
Systat, I do something on the same line with totals. I think the main basis for the line is the pitching match up. Based on when I played baseball it always seems like hitting is contagious, either everyone hits or no one hits. I base mine on how teams are hitting and not who is pitching, thinking I will take my chances with the other 16 players. A few years ago Colorado went under 21 or 22 straight games and I almost never played Colorado totals because of the park. I jumped on the Colorado under bandwagon about the 7th game. I kept increasing my plays and I had 5 or 6 dimes on Colorado under ingame 21 or 22. Two outs in the ninth under by 4 runs, fly ball, can of corn to the outfield and Darin Erstad drops it. You know the rest, guys scores from second to tie the game and 4 more runs score and it loses.
I liked KC under and Detroit under yesterday. I will have to try to post my matches and see how they do.
GL
Northern Star
