I can try to give you the mathematical version of why this is a terrible bet, but I will save the time and explain this way:
This bet has a better chance of winning than 50/50, that is true. But what you are risking as opposed to what you will get in return is not anywhere near what you should get. $385 or $440 should be more like $600 or $650, at least. And that assumes that the Cubs and Pirates stay like they have been so far this season.
I wish you luck, I really do, and this may work a few times, but overall, this system gets you closer to the outhouse than the penthouse.
HW
This bet has a better chance of winning than 50/50, that is true. But what you are risking as opposed to what you will get in return is not anywhere near what you should get. $385 or $440 should be more like $600 or $650, at least. And that assumes that the Cubs and Pirates stay like they have been so far this season.
I wish you luck, I really do, and this may work a few times, but overall, this system gets you closer to the outhouse than the penthouse.
HW
A profit can be scratched out doing this but it requires a large amount of understanding of the math and a book like Matchbook with low juice on the RL to make it work. 99% of the people that try this fail because they don't understand the math. Basically, because the home team wins by 1 17.4% of the time from a database of over 30000 games, you're consistently playing -475 plays over and over again, trying to scratch out those winners and avoiding the occasional big loser. There are usually 2 to 3 positive expectation plays a day using this system but again, most have no clue on the math to figure them out.
Very interesting idea, looking at yesterday's scoreboard it would of won every game except two (Tor/Minn and CWS/LAA). If you're averaging(laying 1k both ways on each game), let's say $300 a win, but lose ~$2000 for the one scenario, you would of won 10 games for $3000 but lost 2 games for -$4000 for a net loss, so I guess it kind of really does eliminate the reward factor laying that much.
What about the strategy of doubling your bet plus a unit after every loss, I would think you could do this as long as you don't have a horrible losing streak (which everyone has) and also limit per game would affect it.
&1 COUNT IT! :lolBIG:
What about the strategy of doubling your bet plus a unit after every loss, I would think you could do this as long as you don't have a horrible losing streak (which everyone has) and also limit per game would affect it.
&1 COUNT IT! :lolBIG:
