PLAY AGAINST road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher like Chacon with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's a start) against opponent with a starting pitcher like Looper, whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL).
This unique system is sterling 37-10, 78.7 percent the last five seasons. This system has been even slightly better since 2006, with 26-6 mark, including 3-0 this year. Why it works is the home team faces a starter with control issues, putting more runners on the base paths for the home team to take advantage of. Though Looper has not been exceptional at home to date, pitchers in his ERA range, usually pitch better at home. The average margin of victory for the home team is 1.9 runs per game.
Adding further support is the fact the Cardinals are 19-6 against the money line after having won two of their last three games this season and 44-16 in home games after allowing four runs or less five straight games. The Astros have not provided a challenge after a game where the bullpen was rocked for five or more runs, with 0-10 record.
Although the money line is a bit over extended for this trend I will get on the home team tonight
BOL to all ...........an comments are always welcomed..............
Douglas
51-56 +25 bucks posted
Baseball - 962 St Louis Cardinals -130 for Game
This unique system is sterling 37-10, 78.7 percent the last five seasons. This system has been even slightly better since 2006, with 26-6 mark, including 3-0 this year. Why it works is the home team faces a starter with control issues, putting more runners on the base paths for the home team to take advantage of. Though Looper has not been exceptional at home to date, pitchers in his ERA range, usually pitch better at home. The average margin of victory for the home team is 1.9 runs per game.
Adding further support is the fact the Cardinals are 19-6 against the money line after having won two of their last three games this season and 44-16 in home games after allowing four runs or less five straight games. The Astros have not provided a challenge after a game where the bullpen was rocked for five or more runs, with 0-10 record.
Although the money line is a bit over extended for this trend I will get on the home team tonight
BOL to all ...........an comments are always welcomed..............
Douglas
51-56 +25 bucks posted
Baseball - 962 St Louis Cardinals -130 for Game
I think I will tail this one.
