Friday - 1st Inning - 21-7 +$802.50

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Mila Kunis.... why I watch bad movies
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Nov 5, 2006
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NEW YORK @ MINNESOTA (8:10 ET) - NO - $60.00/50.00

a run is scored in the 1st inning of yankee games 47.17% of the time
yanks score a run in the 1st inning in 24.53% of those
yanks allow a run in the 1st inning in 26.42% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of minnesota games 47.17% of the time
twins score a run in the 1st inning in 30.19% of those
twins allow a run in the 1st inning in 32.08% of those

current league averages are 51.67%, 30.41%, & 30.66%

in mussina's 11 starts, a run has been scored 4 times - he's allowed 2
in perkins' 4 starts, a run has been scored 1 times - he's allowed 0

*mussina has fared well vs. #1 thru 4 of the twins. the yanks have never seen perkins.

leans:

oakland @ texas - NO (EV)
cleveland @ KC - NO (-135)

crazy stat today - florida @ philadelphia
hendrickson has allowed 0 1st inning runs in 11 starts
myers has allowed 8 1st inning runs in 11 starts

:think2:


Current Leaders/Trends:

phillies - 70.91% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
angels - 38.18% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
giants - 46.30% of their games have been decided by 1 run
indians - 18.87% of their games have been decided by 1 run
rangers - score a run in the 1st inning 52.73% of games
phillies - allow a run in the 1st inning 47.27% of games
pirates - score a run in the 1st innning 16.98% of games
blue jays - allow a run in the 1st inning 21.43% of games

YTD:

21-7 +$802.50

Current Streak:

11-1 +$555.00

ROI:

33.25%
 

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Sep 21, 2004
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Laz,

Thank you for sharing your sharp analyses and selections with us.

It is greatly appreciated.
 

Mila Kunis.... why I watch bad movies
Joined
Nov 5, 2006
Messages
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with the fla/phi stat, should be profitable to take Fla to score 1st.

like the thinking, let's look at the rest of the pitching stats:

hendrickson - 11 starts

inn 1 - 0
inn 2 - 5
inn 3 - 4
inn 4 - 5
inn 5 - 1

myers - 11 starts

inn 1 - 8
inn 2 - 1
inn 3 - 4
inn 4 - 5
inn 5 - 7

myers gives up nothing in the 2nd inning and it's hendrickson's worst.
by the stats, you're betting that the marlins will score in the 1st inning. the 1st inning YES is @ -155 and the marlins score 1st is at -125. i'd go with the marlins scoring first and pray it happens in the 1st inning.

btw: that -155 is the highest juice i've seen on one of these all year.

peace

lazzonya
 

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May 8, 2006
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very impressive year lazzonya and always great stats.I wish more posts were as intelligent and useful as yours.I love stats and no matter if someone wins or loses at least you can tell the person put some thought and effort into capping the game


great job

cheers
 

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