Service Plays Saturday 5/31/08

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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There Is Only One Thing We Need To Day My Friend Rdsmith And The Hockey It A Winner.....11-1-1 You Do The Math.
 

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Gator

MLB 70% Super Situations

MLB (16-11 +472) Saturday: Play Against MLB (NL) road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season.
66-16 since 1997 (80.5%) PLAY: *** San Francisco -110
 

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Play: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) COMPLIMENTARY SELECTION: REDWINGS / PENGUINS OVER 5 (NHL)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) COMPLIMENTARY SELECTION: REDWINGS / PENGUINS OVER 5 (NHL) ^^^SELECTION 3 OF 3 IN TODAY'S TRIPLE PACK^^^ We pushed our last time out on the total but we have yet to lose a NHL play - off selection. We'll stick with the same reasoning as the last game played for this over. Detroit has basically owned Pittsburgh other than the last game out which not for a mental error, Detroit could have won. We know Detroit can score on Pittsburgh. The Penguins did win last time out but nothing changes the fact they will be down 3-1 tonight if they lose. That's not a good position to be in as history is not on your side going down by that number. It's of the most extreme importance that Pittsburgh gets this win tonight to even this series up to 2-2. As we have stated in the past, this type of situation brings a sense of desperation and that equates to elevated play or a bulk of mistakes. Either situation leads to elevated scoring production by either team. With a line of 5, we figure at worst we see a push. It keeps value on the game and helps to lower your at risk. Pitt should be in a comfort zone on home ice and Detroit just continues to plow as the big red machine. Take the Over 5 as your LVTR complimentary play on Saturday
 
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HONDO

May 31, 2008 -- Sizzling Hondo made two glorious appearances in the winner's circle last night, collecting with the Reds and Rays to enlarge the bankroll to 605 mizes.

Today, 10 units on the Dodgers over the disap pointing Mike PelfreyMike Pelfrey out at the Lame Duck Dump.
 
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Gold Medal Club

Atlanta @ Cincinnati
Jurrjens vs Fogg (LP)

PLAY OVER 9.5

Fogg has been serving up batting practice, with an era of 9, and 13.09 in his last 3 starts, failing to get out of the 4th inning.
The Reds are the sultans of swat in the NL, and for this game to be close they are going to have to go deep several times today!
 
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The Prez

ROBBIE LAWLER (-240) 1*unit

Only hours away from what many feel could be MMA?s platform to mainstream success it?s hard to believe a potential barn burner for the Middleweight Championship has gone under the radar.

With all the attention and media focusing on Elite-Xc?s poster fighters; Gina Carano, Phil Baroni and Kimbo Slice, Middleweight Champion and MMA veteran ?Ruthless? Robbie Lawler finds himself in a rare advantage of defending a title without the customary exterior responsibilities or pressures. Lawler (15-4 overall) since his departure from the UFC accumulated a 6-2 record and is 4-0 LT4. Robbie has fought some really quality fighters and his last defeat was against the always tough Jason Miller in the 3rd by submission.

Scott Smith walks into this fight with a 13-4 overall record and is riding a solid 3-1 LT4. Smith is extremely heavy handed with 11 of his 13 wins by TKO. Smith much like Lawler has enjoyed some success after his 3 fight stints with the UFC where he fell 0-3. Smith has good hands and decent counter striking. Smith at any point can connect and hurt an opponent from any angle. He?s very dangerous and has the greatest opportunity of his career Saturday night. Many including myself feel Smith hasn?t earned a title shot and is lacking the overall skill set and big fight experience to win versus a savvy powerful striker such as Lawler.

Lawler over the last few years has matured in the ring and is utilizing an all around skill set that is setting the bar in his division. I have seen great improvement in his ring presence, Lawler?s run and gun striking style years ago has developed into a methodical and patience stand-up that allows him to dictate the fight and be in complete control. Combine this with his ground training and takedown defence in his new camp which he has a big part in with Matt Hughes, I cannot see how Smith can bring anything to the ring that will allow him to win beyond 1 lucky punch. Normally in a situation like this where 2 heavy hands are pitted against each other we would take the dog value but not tonight.

Lawler successfully defends his title against an opponent who isn?t quite ready for the title pressure, skill set and maturity of a new and improved relaxed Robbie Lawler.

1 UNIT Play on Lawler
 
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Gamblers World

TIP OF THE DAY

Sport: MLB

Game: 7:05PM, Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Current Line: -160
Over/Under: 8.5

Reason: If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty
on Saturday when the Houston Astros and the Milwaukee Brewers meet at
Miller Park.
The Astros will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Brian
Moehler in this game. Moehler has a 2-1 record and a 3.43 ERA this season.
Meanwhile, it'll be ace Ben Sheets who starts for the Brewers. Righthande
Sheets is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 180-moneyline favorite
versus the Astros, while the game's total is sitting at 8½.
Ryan Braun went 4-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs on Friday, as the
Brewers defeated the Astros 5-1. The Brewers won the game as -135
favorites, while the six runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (9.5).
Prince Fielder belted a two-run homer and Mike Cameron also went deep for
the Brewers. Manny Parra allowed just one run off four hits over six
innings to post the victory.
J.R. Towles drove in the only run for the Astros, who were +125 underdogs.
Brandon Backe was tagged with the loss after giving up five runs off six
hits in five innings of work.
Current streak:
Houston has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Houston: 30-26 SU
Milwaukee: 27-28 SU

Houston most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Milwaukee are 4-6
After playing Milwaukee are 6-4
After a loss are 7-3

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Houston are 6-4
After playing Houston are 3-7
After a win are 5-5


A few trends to consider:
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Houston is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Milwaukee
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Houston
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
 
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SportsKingz

MLB:

BOSTON -130 (1300 TO WIN 1000)
ATLANTA -135 (1350 TO WIN 1000)
PHILLY R/L -115 (1150 TO WIN 1000)
GIANTS -120 (1200 TO WIN 1000)
 
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ATS Arena Football Lock Club

5 units on Dallas (-3) over Cleveland, 7:00
3 units on Arizona (+10) over Orlando, 7:30
 

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Indian Cowboy

(POD) Minnesota Lynx -3
(Reg) LA Angels UNDER 7.5
 

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