Tuesday - 1st Inning - 23-8 +$842.50

colorado @ la dodgers (10:10 ET) - YES - $75.00/75.00

a run is scored in the 1st inning of colorado games 60.34% of the time
rockies score a run in the 1st inning in 31.03% of those
rockies allow a run in the 1st inning in 43.10% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of dodger games 49.12% of the time
dodgers score a run in the 1st inning in 31.58% of those
dodgers allow a run in the 1st inning in 29.82% of those

current league averages are 52.19%, 30.72%, & 30.95%

in francis' 11 starts, a run has been scored 7 times - he's allowed 6
in penny's 12 starts, a run has been scored 9 times - he's allowed 4

*helton has been solid against penny in his career, and both pierre and kent have owned francis.

leans:

houston @ pittsburgh - NO (-105) - this would be a play if houston's 1st inning stats weren't so strong (both for and against). both pitchers have given up only 1 run this season (in 5 and 6 starts) and houston's #1-4 have never faced dumatrait.

chicago @ san diego - YES (EV) - good value for the cubs offense and against marquis, who has been weak in the 1st and against the pads #1-4 hitters.

Current Leaders/Trends:

phillies - 72.88% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
angels - 37.29% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
giants - 44.83% of their games have been decided by 1 run
indians - 19.30% of their games have been decided by 1 run
rangers - score a run in the 1st inning 52.54% of games
phillies - allow a run in the 1st inning 45.76% of games
angels - score a run in the 1st innning 16.95% of games
blue jays - allow a run in the 1st inning 20.34% of games

YTD:

23-8 +$842.50

Current Streak:

2-0 +$100.00

ROI:

32.54%

whats your longest losing streek Lazz?

Thanks, Lazz.

Good luck!

Pepi said:

whats your longest losing streek Lazz?

Click to expand...

i believe.....

day #1 - went 1-2
day #2 - went 1-1
for a combined 2-3

since then i am 21 and 5 and have not lost on 2 consecutive days.

peace

lazzonya

very nice.... I'm thinking about chasing each of your plays... Keep it up man. Between you, shark, and deano... we'll be making bank!

lazzonya said:

i believe.....

day #1 - went 1-2
day #2 - went 1-1
for a combined 2-3

since then i am 21 and 5 and have not lost on 2 consecutive days.

peace

lazzonya

Click to expand...

KNOCK ON WOOD!!

Knockout said:

KNOCK ON WOOD!!

Click to expand...

exactly! i won yesterday, or i never would have written the 2 consecutive day comment.

peace

lazzonya

may follow on hous/pitt. hard for me to bet on the yes side of these 1st inn bets. gl to ya bra

XPike21X said:

may follow on hous/pitt. hard for me to bet on the yes side of these 1st inn bets. gl to ya bra

Click to expand...

there's a great post around from "totalguy" explaining why there tends to be more value in "YES" bets (mainly skewed odds based on game totals).

i hate "NO's", but i go where my numbers direct me.

peace

lazzonya

Gl !!

figures, that guy from the dodgers is a moron... Once i actually hop on I lose. screw that crap