Mismatch at Even Money? (Chi/Det) What am I missing?

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Don't get it at all. The hottest offense (Chi) with their best pitcher going against the worst offense (Det) and their worst pitcher. I've looked at all the splits and this line makes no sense. Are there injuries I don't know about?

Dying to unload but it looks too good to be true...
 

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Don't get it at all. The hottest offense (Chi) with their best pitcher going against the worst offense (Det) and their worst pitcher. I've looked at all the splits and this line makes no sense. Are there injuries I don't know about?

Dying to unload but it looks too good to be true...


Funny .......Sitting here thinking the same thing ...would love some more thoughts .........

.............J CONTRERAS is 39-14
against the money line in Road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997.
 

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Every variable I look it is flashing GREEN.

Maybe Vegas is just factoring in the emotional letdown of Chicago leaving home after having it in high gear for a solid week after Guillen's rant. Wonder what the trends say for teams first game on the road after sweeping a homestand?

I bet the $ is pouring in on Chicago. (They got some of mine.)
 

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From a poster on another site:

92% of the public on CWS
rofl.gif


Little fact about Contreras.....

The right-hander is 8-7 with a 4.49 ERA in 21 starts versus Detroit, but 0-1 with a 6.17 ERA in two outings against the Tigers in 2008.

Might help explain the line.
 

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From a poster on another site:

92% of the public on CWS
rofl.gif


Little fact about Contreras.....

The right-hander is 8-7 with a 4.49 ERA in 21 starts versus Detroit, but 0-1 with a 6.17 ERA in two outings against the Tigers in 2008.

Might help explain the line.
  • Tigers are 1-6 in Robertsons last 7 starts vs. White Sox.
  • Tigers are 0-5 in Robertsons last 5 home starts vs. White Sox.
on the other hand ...............
 

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Robertson is such a gas can....i'm on CWS for a unit.
 

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I think he had the misfortune of catching Detroit twice in the first week of the season when they were hitting and he was struggling. Since then he has given up 7 earned runs in 6 games. Opponents have a .295 slugging pct. against Contreras compared to Robertson's .488! There's no home/away, or lefty/righty advantage for Robertson or disadvantage for Contreras. Not to mention that these offenses are polar opposites in the White Sox favor.

I'll take my chances.
 

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I think he had the misfortune of catching Detroit twice in the first week of the season when they were hitting and he was struggling. Since then he has given up 7 earned runs in 6 games. Opponents have a .295 slugging pct. against Contreras compared to Robertson's .488! There's no home/away, or lefty/righty advantage for Robertson or disadvantage for Contreras. Not to mention that these offenses are polar opposites in the White Sox favor.

I'll take my chances.


Love Sox. Line moved to -120 on my site as well. Perfect line for my liking.
 

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I'm rolling with:
"put it on the board" YES!
:nohead:

ps
yup
cws DUE for a loss
 

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CWS last 10 games vs. right-hander .346, but only .212 vs left-handers could be a factor
 

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One of those lefties was a shutout courtesy of Kazmir who is unconsicous right now so the #'s are a little skewed.

Robertson has equally horrific #'s vs. lefties and righties. Individually the entire Chicago lineup rakes against him except for Crede and Swisher for some reason.
 

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w/o looking into the numbers Chicago is obvious choice

.500 on the Road 7 wins since Ozzie's tyrade, Detroit under .500 at Home
If Detroit doesn't have one their 10 run explosions they have 1 every 15 games or so Chicago wins this easy.
 

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White Sox
White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
White Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
White Sox are 17-4 in their last 21 games following a win.
White Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. American League Central.
White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a favorite.
White Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.
White Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
White Sox are 38-17 in their last 55 games on grass.
White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
White Sox are 6-0 in Contreras' last 6 starts on grass.
White Sox are 4-0 in Contreras' last 4 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
White Sox are 5-1 in Contreras' last 6 starts.
White Sox are 5-1 in Contreras' last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
White Sox are 5-1 in Contreras' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
White Sox are 6-2 in Contreras' last 8 road starts.
White Sox are 11-5 in Contreras' last 16 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
White Sox are 1-5 in Contreras' last 6 Tuesday starts.


Detroit
Tigers are 17-5 in their last 22 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.
Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Tigers are 19-41 in their last 60 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Tigers are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. American League Central.
Tigers are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 6-1 in Robertsons last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Tigers are 13-27 in Robertsons last 40 starts.
Tigers are 9-20 in Robertsons last 29 starts on grass.
Tigers are 16-36 in Robertsons last 52 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 15-36 in Robertsons last 51 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-5 in Robertsons last 7 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150.
Tigers are 11-28 in Robertsons last 39 starts as an underdog.
Tigers are 7-19 in Robertsons last 26 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 14-38 in Robertsons last 52 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-14 in Robertsons last 19 starts vs. American League Central.
Tigers are 13-38 in Robertsons last 51 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 1-4 in Robertsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Tigers are 1-4 in Robertsons last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 0-5 in Robertsons last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.


OU TrendsChi. White Sox
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games following a win.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League Central.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games.
Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 10-3 in White Sox last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 19-7-1 in White Sox last 27 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-3 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 11-5 in White Sox last 16 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-0 in Contreras' last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Contreras' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-0 in Contreras' last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Contreras' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Contreras' last 5 road starts.
Under is 5-0 in Contreras' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Contreras' last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Contreras' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0 in Contreras' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 10-1 in Contreras' last 11 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 Tuesday starts.
Under is 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.


Detroit
Under is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a loss.
Under is 4-1-2 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games as an underdog.
Under is 19-7-2 in Tigers last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 5-2-2 in Tigers last 9 games as a home underdog.
Under is 55-23-3 in Tigers last 81 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 15-7-1 in Tigers last 23 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.
Over is 5-0 in Robertsons last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Robertsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Robertsons last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 7-2 in Robertsons last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-4-1 in Robertsons last 17 Tuesday starts.
Under is 8-3 in Robertsons last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 16-6-2 in Robertsons last 24 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-2 in Robertsons last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Robertsons last 10 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 7-3 in Robertsons last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.


Head to HeadOver is 4-0 in Robertsons last 4 starts vs. White Sox.
Over is 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 starts vs. Tigers.
White Sox are 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Detroit.
Under is 38-16-3 in the last 57 meetings in Detroit.
White Sox are 43-20 in the last 63 meetings.
Under is 41-20 in the last 61 meetings.
Tigers are 1-6 in Robertsons last 7 starts vs. White Sox.
Tigers are 0-5 in Robertsons last 5 home starts vs. White Sox.
 

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never bet against a streak. im on cws till they lose.. and tonight wont be that night. this is going to be my second biggest bet of the year. :toast:
 

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