Playing Favorites

skydog · Jun 11, 2008

This topic came up in the service thread a few days ago & I'm wondering what some of you guys think. The system I currently use is a dog system. How this works is you can end up having a poor percentage record, say 48% or so & still come out smelling like roses. However, the opposite is true for playing favorites. Playing favorites you must have a winning percentage much much higher to see a profit. Of course dogs don't bark all the time so it does get a little tricky. Sometimes throughout the season I need to change some paramaters & such, but a little tweak can really help the capper in the long run.

If you have any input I would like you to share. I am not saying my way is the only way, but I think playing the dog is the way to get ahead in bases. Just my .02

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 11, 2008

Dogs are generally better to play.

That said, I've made huge amounts of money playing favorites where I think the line isn't where it should be.

It's just risky to play games at -150 and such, if you win two out of three you are up $50 with risking $450 - Not a great ROI for hitting 66% of your bets IMO.

ELMO75 · Jun 11, 2008

setting limits and making good decisions

Besides luck I don't think there is any system you can follow that guarantees anything. Because anything that has happened is not guaranteed to happen again. Probally just best to watch the games notice tendencies and play your hunches. Limit losses by not chasing down games and rushing to quick decisions. That is what keeps me going at least. :103631605

skydog · Jun 11, 2008

ELMO75 said:
Besides luck I don't think there is any system you can follow that guarantees anything. Because anything that has happened is not guaranteed to happen again. Probally just best to watch the games notice tendencies and play your hunches. Limit losses by not chasing down games and rushing to quick decisions. That is what keeps me going at least.

I agree, nothing is for certain, but by playing games at even money or better you can have a bad day/week/month & not get killed. If you do get lucky & pick dogs at at 60-65% rate...cha ching!!

skydog · Jun 11, 2008

Nobody has a system/strategy to share?

PokertoSportsbettor · Jun 11, 2008

i tend to do four game parlays, which equates to roughly 10 to 1 odds on your money. i normally pic 3 favs and one dog per parlay and sometmes hedge by picking the fav as wel. system has worked well I am up 500% so far. slow this week but hoping for a good day - BOL:toast:

skydog · Jun 11, 2008

PokertoSportsbettor said:
i tend to do four game parlays, which equates to roughly 10 to 1 odds on your money. i normally pic 3 favs and one dog per parlay and sometmes hedge by picking the fav as wel. system has worked well I am up 500% so far. slow this week but hoping for a good day - BOL:toast:

That's interesting, thanks!

TigerquotABArefquotDenoy · Jun 11, 2008

Favs are good if you are very selective quality over quantity

skydog · Jun 13, 2008

Tiger "ABA ref" Denoy said:
Favs are good if you are very selective quality over quantity

I agree Tiger...sometimes the chalk is the way to go...hard to lay anything over 130/130 if you ask me.

ViewtheFuture · Jun 13, 2008

Quality is definately better than quantity, but everyone loves to have action on alot of games. I'm working on a study of runlines and will be sharing later so I can track it. I think it is the only way to go if you like to play favorites. It's not a system of how to pick favorites and win, but if you do play alot of favorites the runline is the best bet with more value and less risk.