Service Plays Sunday 6/22/08

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

mlb +2163 (playing 1 unit on every game, 100.00 per game) +21.63 units

ncaa foots (27-11) bowl games (10-4)
nhl (51-37)
ncaa hoops (161-120)
nba (153-116)
wnba (6-8-1)

They are 112 wins over .500 this year not including baseball.

EARLY RELEASE MLB SUNDAY
DETROIT-125 Verlander
 
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HONDO
The Angels took HONDO under their wings last night as they flattened the Phillies, a victory of good over evil that boosted the bulging bankroll to 515 reichardts.

Tonight, he's sending his ace to the hill - 10 units on Lincecum and the Giants New York Giants to flush the Royals.
 
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ARMVIN SPORTS

MLB
6/22/2008 HOUSTON ASTROS (B.Backe) at TAMPA BAY RAYS (S.Kazmir) Over 8.5

MLB
6/22/2008 CHICAGO WHITE SOX 122
 
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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Mets Saturday night.

Sunday it's the Mets.

The deficit is 90 sirignanos.
 
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GINA

Sunday June 22, 2008 1:35 p.m. est.
Seattle Mariners at Atlanta Braves
(R) Carlos Silva (3-8, 5.79) vs. (R) Tim Hudson (7-5, 3.17)
Both Seattle and Atlanta are playing below par, but the Mariners' will send right-hander Carlos Silva to the hill. Silva is a nasty, 0-8 with an 8.49 ERA in his last nine starts and the Mariners have lost his last six. The Braves are 11-4 in Hudson's last 15 starts at home. Take the Braves!


Atlanta Braves -185

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Sunday June 22, 2008 2:05 p.m. est.
Baltimore Orioles at Milwaukee Brewers
(L) Garrett Olson (5-2, 4.80) vs. (L) Manny Parra (6-2, 4.22)
The Brewers have won five of their last six games, five of its last six in Milwaukee and will send Manny Parra to the hill. The lefty has won five straight decisiions, including four starts. He is 4-0 with a 2.49 ERA in his last four starts. The Orioles hasve dropped four of their laas six on the road and counters with Garrett Olson. The left-hander has strugglle in his last two starts and the Orioles are 2-5 in his last 7 starts on the road. Go with Milwaukee at Miller Park.

Milwaukee Brewer - 140
 
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MR A

Sunday, June 22, 2008 1:40 PM EST.
Houston Astros (34-41) at Tampa Bay Rays (44-30)
(R) Brandon Backe (4-8) vs. (L) Scott Kazmir (6-2)
The Astros have played poorly away from home, dropping ten of their last 12 road games and eight of right-hander Brandon Backe (4-8, 4.99) last 9 road starts. Meanwhile, the Rays have been strong at home. Tampa Bay has won nine of their last 11 games at home and will have Scott Kazmir (6-2, 1.76 ERA) on the mound. The southpaw is 4-0 with a 0.59 ERA in his five home starts. Take Tampa Bay Rays with Kazmir at the helm.

Tampa Bay Rays -210
 
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JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Philadelphia Phillies Jun 22 2008 1:35PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

Reason: Phillies send lefty Hamels to the mound who is on fire of late with a era of 1.5 in his last 3 starts(2-0) and is 7-4 on the year. Only thing not going right for the Angels thus far on the season is Weaver who is 6-7 on the year with a lofty ERA of nearly 5. Play on Philadelphia -.
 
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Computer Plays

1:40 p.m. Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Brandon Backe (4-8) vs. (L) Scott Kazmir (6-2)
Tampa Bay Rays -210 * * * (BEST BET)

205 p.m. Baltimore Orioles at Milwaukee Brewers
(L) Garrett Olson (5-2) vs. (L) Manny Parra (6-2)
Milwaukee Brewers -140

2:10 p.m. Arizona Diamondbacks at Minnesota Twins
(R) Brandon Webb (11-3) vs. (R) Livan Hernandez (7-4)
Arizona Diamondbacks -150

8:05 p.m. Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs
(R) Javier Vazquez (7-5) vs. (R) Ryan Dempster (8-2)
Chicago Cubs - 140
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


INTERLEAGUE

L.A. Angels (45-30) at Philadelphia (42-34)
The Angels look to complete a three-game sweep at Citizens Bank Park when they send Jered Weaver (6-7, 4.73 ERA) to the mound to face Phillies ace Cole Hamels (7-4, 3.23) in this series finale between first-place clubs. Los Angeles pounded out an 7-1 win on Friday, then broke open a 2-2 tie late on Saturday en route to a 6-2 victory. The Angels are 4-2 in their last six overall, and they?re on additional streaks of 22-9 in interleague action, 6-1 in interleague road games, 14-3 against left-handed starters and 8-2 against winning teams. Philadelphia has dropped four straight overall and six of its last seven. Also, Charlie Manuel?s club is 1-6 in interleague play, 6-20 in its last 26 against winning A.L. teams and 9-24 against A.L. right-handers. This is the first series between these two since 2003, and the Angels have now taken the last four in a row against the Phils. Weaver gave up six runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 9-6 home loss to the Mets on Monday. He?s allowed four or more runs in three of his last four outings. Also, the right-hander, who has never faced the Phillies, is 3-3 with a 5.98 ERA in seven road starts in 2008. Hamels has been on a roll lately, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last three starts and he?s 5-3 with a 2.73 ERA in front of the home fans. That includes Monday?s 8-2 rout of the Red Sox, as he held the defending champs to two runs on seven hits over seven innings as the Phillies won for the 10th time in Hamels? 15 outings this season. The Angels are 5-2 in Weaver?s last seven starts, but Philadelphia dominates when Hamels pitches, going 36-17 in his last 53 overall, 20-7 in his last 27 at home, 5-1 in his last six on Sundays and 8-0 in Hamels? last eight when pitching in the third game of a series. The over is 6-1 in Weaver?s last seven starts as an underdog, but the under is 7-3-1 in his last 11 Sunday outings. With Hamels pitching, the over streaks are 5-2 at home, 4-0 in interleague starts and 5-2 when he faces a team with a winning record. The first two games of this series have stayed under the total, and the Angels are now on under runs of 39-16-5 overall, 42-20-5 against southpaws, 11-4-2 as a road underdog, 16-5-2 on the road overall, 7-1-1 on the road against lefties and 10-3-1 against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Phillies are on under streaks of 14-4 overall, 8-0 against the A.L. West, 7-2 at home, 11-4 as a favorite and 9-4 against right-handed starters. However, the over is 11-4 in Philly?s last 15 interleague games and 6-2 in its last eight versus A.L. right-handers.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER



Chicago White Sox (41-33) at Chicago Cubs (47-28)
The Cubs look to finish off a three-game sweep of their crosstrown rivals and make it six in a row over the White Sox when they send Ryan Dempster (8-2, 2,76 ERA) to the mound to face Javier Vazquez (7-5, 4.12) at Wrigley Field. The Cubs scored an 11-7 victory on Saturday thanks to a nine-run fourth inning, a day after getting a 4-3 walk-off win. The Cubs have won the last five series clashes and seven of the last eight dating back to last season. Wrigley Field has been good to the Cubs, who are 40-13 in their last 53 in front of the faithful (31-8 this season). Lou Piniella?s club is also on runs of 18-7 overall, 7-2 in interleague home games, 8-1 against the A.L. Central and 41-19 at Wrigley against right-handed pitching. Meanwhile the White Sox are 11-7 in their last 18 overall and 7-4 in their last 11 in interleague play, but they have lost eight straight games on the highway. Vazquez is 2-1 in his last three outings but his ERA is a whopping 7.27 as he?s given up 14 earned runs over his last 17 1/3 innings. In eight outings on the highway this year, the right-hander is 2-4 with a 4.11 ERA, and the last time he pitched on the road he gave up five runs on 10 hits in six innings of a 5-1 loss in Detroit.
Vazquez is 3-3 with a 4.84 ERA in 14 career starts against the Cubs. He faced them twice last season, giving up a combined six runs on 10 hits in 14 innings but the White Sox lost both, 11-6 at Wrigley and 2-1 at home.
The Cubs have won 11 of Dempster?s 15 starts this season and he?s an amazing 8-0 at Wrigley with a 2.93 ERA. He threw a complete game against the Braves in his last home outing, giving up two runs on four hits and striking out 11 in a 7-2 win. With Dempster on the hill, the Cubs are on streaks of 10-1 at home, 9-0 when he?s a home favorite and 4-0 when he pitches at home against a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 6-2 in Vazquez?s last eight starts and 14-5 in his last 19 when going on four days? of rest, but they are just 2-10 when he pitches on Sunday, 1-4 in interleague starts and 0-4 as a road ?dog. With Vazquez on the hill for the White Sox, the over is on streaks of 14-5 overall, 6-2 in interleague starts, 5-1-1 on Sundays and 6-1 against the N.L. Central, but the under is 13-6 in his last 19 when he pitches as an underdog. For Dempster, the under is on runs of 4-0 at home, 6-1 overall and 5-0 as a favorite. For the White Sox, the under trends include 41-18 as an underdog, 20-8 as a road ?dog, 21-9 on the road, 11-3 against teams with a winning record and 16-6 on the road against right-handed pitching, but the over is 7-2 in their last nine as an interleague ?dog. The ?under? runs for the Cubs include 10-5-1 in interleague games, 5-2 at Wrigley, 7-2 against right-handed starters and 4-1 against the A.L. Central. Finally, the over is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head matchups at Wrigley, but the teams had stayed under the total in four straight meetings overall before Saturday?s game flew over posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS and UNDER
 
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Brian Gabrielle

Toyota SaveMart 350: Right-Hand Turns

Last Week: Stupid fuel-mileage race. We had Matt Kenseth at +1000 for last week's race at Michigan, and by the end of the day, Kenseth clearly had the best car. However, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Kasey Kahne were able to finish a green-white-checkers caution lap running on fumes, and thus finished one-two, while the rest of the field had needed to stop for fuel. It was bad, bad luck. I supposed we've had our share of good luck this season, but considering we also had Kyle Busch beating Kahne in our head-to-head pick, that qualifies as a true kick in the butt. So let's call it even, shall we, gambling gods? For the week, we lost 1.5 units; for the season, we've profited 4.7 units on 21.5 units wagered, a return of 21.9%, and we've given you winning weeks in 12 of 15 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have lost four units; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 10.74 units on 59 units wagered, a return of 18.2%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)

Take Tony Stewart (+450), 1/6th unit. This weekend, the Smokeless Set heads to the road course at Sonoma, where the drivers will make right-hand turns and try not to spin around hairpins, or leave the ground while rumbling down hills. Stewart is one of the current unquestioned kings of the roadies, having won six times in 18 career road-course events in Sprint Cup, including twice at Sonoma. Now, Smoke is definitely better-suited to winning at the series' other road course, in Watkins Glen. But last year, he led the most laps in this race and was positioned to post a third Sonoma win when five cars were able to make it to the finish without an extra pit stop. (Fuel mileage! Why must you vex us!?!) Anyway, I'll take Smoke to win Sunday.

Take Jeff Gordon (+450), 1/6th unit. Gordon is the other NASCAR superstar who's also an unbelievably good road-course driver. He's won five times at this track in 15 starts, and has finished in the top 10 on 11 occasions. He's also won four times at Watkins Glen. Stewart and Gordon are clear favorites when the stock cars turn right, and I'll take each of them.

Take Robby Gordon (+1000), 1/6th unit. The other Gordon has wins at both Sonoma and Watkins Glen, but is also a perennial tease at these road courses. He's perhaps the most accomplished regular NASCAR driver on road courses, and always looks like he's got a chance to win, but something always seems to happen to him, especially at Sonoma. It's been five years since his win here, and in that four-race span, he's finished 16th twice, 34th and 40th. Nevertheless, I'm buying the hype again. Robby Gordon Motorsports essentially exists to compete on two weekends a year. And this is one of them.
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Pittsburgh (Snell) +105* over Toronto (McGowan)


Texas (Padilla) -110** over Washington (Lannan)


San Diego (Wolf) +110* over Detroit (Verlander)


Chicago Cubs (Dempster) -130** over Chicago White Sox (Vazquez)


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TOM FREESE

Cleveland vs. Los Angeles (4:10pm)

Cleveland is 13-3 with Paul Byrd on the mound if they scored 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 15-7 overall after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. The Indians are 17-5 vs. NL West teams. Los Angeles is 14-38 their last 52 Interleague games and they are 5-16 vs. NL Central teams. The Dodgers 0-7 their last 7 Interleague games vs. losing teams and they are 1-4 in the last 5 starts made by Chad Billingsley. PLAY ON CLEVELAND + (Byrd vs. Billingsley)
 
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Carlo Campanella

Game: Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres Jun 22 2008 4:05PM

Prediction: San Diego Padres

Reason: EXCLUSIVE 16-0 Key Angles backing ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball!!! Watch and Win as Carlo Campanella brings a 6-2 Winning Streak into Sunday night's ESPN Telecast.

ATTACK DOG ON SUNDAY-
Padres find themselves in the home Dog role on Sunday afternoon as they host Detroit starting Verlander. At 3-9, Verlander is NOT pitching like he was last year and the better pitcher is "hidden" in this match-up...SD sends Randy Wolf to the mound and at first glance he's not much better at 5-5. However, he's an AWESOME 4-1 at home this season and we find him at a PERFECT 9-0 at home when facing a team playing below the .500 Win Percentage the past 2 seasons.

7* Play On San Diego
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Jeff Scott Sports


Off my second losing day in a row and not happy. I hope for a stronger showing today. The good news is that I am 5-0 the last 4 days in my top plays (1-0 in 4 unit plays and 4-0 in 3 units plays). I hope to keep that streak alive today as well. I may post more later. Sundays are sometimes hard cause I have to work early and it's always a day I never know when I'm getting out.

3 UNIT PLAY
MILWAUKEE -136 over Baltimore: The Orioles are 4-20 in their last 24 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter and 3-12 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, while the Brewers are 25-10 in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 11-4 in their last 15 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Brewer are looking to take the rubber match of this 3 game series and the have a solid hurler on the mound to do just that. Marry Parra is 6-2 with a 4.22 ERA overall, including a very nice 4-0 record with a 2.47 ERA at home. His last 3 home starts have been amazing as he is 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA, allowing no more than 4 hits in each start, while striking out 19 in the 3 games. The Orioles really vs lefty starters, going 8-23 in their last 31 games against them, including a 7-11 mark this year, scoring just 4.6 rpg in the process. The O's really have problems in day games also, going just 8-17, while hitting just .230 and scoring only 3.5 rpg. Baltimore sends Garrett Olson to the mound and he is 5-2 with a 4.48 ERA overall, but just 2-2 with a 6.23 ERA on the road, including a 1-2 mark with a 8.79 ERA in his last 3 road starts. Milwaukee is 18-12 in day games, scoring 5.3 rpg and hitting .269, plus they are 13-7 vs lefty starters, hitting .272 and scoring 4.5 rpg. Milwaukee is simply the better team here and playing at home with Manny on the mound they will take game 3 of this series in a tight one.



2 UNIT PLAYS
Tampa Bay/ Houston Under 8.5: The 14-2 in Backes last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 11-2 in his last 13 starts as a road underdog, while the Under 13-3 in Rays last 16 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record and 13-3-1 in Kazmirs last 17 starts on field turf. Scott Kazmir has been awesome at home, posting an 0.59 ERA, with a 0.91 WHIP. His home games this year have averaged just 5.2 rpg, while his starts overall have averaged just 7 rpg. Brandon Backe struggles on the road posting a 5.81 ERA, but those games have averaged just 7.2 rpg. Houston Scores just 2.4 rpg for him in his road starts and 2.5 rpg for him in his day starts. Houston scores just 4 rpg on the road this year and come in having scored just 2.9 rpg in their last 8 games overall. The Rays have had their own problems scoring as they average just 4.4 rpg at home and 4.3 rpg in day games. Tampa's home games have averaged just 7.7 rpg, while their day games have averaged 8.1 rpg. Neither team has been scoring much lately so look for the pitching to take over and keep the score down. I'd say about 5 or 6 runs in this one.



Seattle/ Atlanta Under 9.5

BOSTON -1.5 (+109) over St Louis
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