Service Plays Thursday 7/3/08

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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FYI - 2 day games today:


2:05 pm
L.A. Dodgers
Houston

LAD: Billingsley (7-7, 3.38)
HOU: Backe (5-8, 5.12)


3:40 pm
Milwaukee
Arizona

MIL: Parra (8-2, 3.95)
ARI: Webb (12-4, 3.21)
 
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ARMVIN SPORTS

7/3/2008 KANSAS CITY ROYALS 125

7/3/2008 OAKLAND ATHLETICS (J.Duchsherer) at
CHICAGO WHITE SOX (J.Vazquez) Over 8
 

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Tigers yesterday.
Today it's the Red Sox. The deficit is 170 sirignanos
 

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SCOTT FERRALL

BASEBALL FREE B's FOR THURSDAY NEW YORK -130 over Boston--Pettitte has been on fire. He's won 4 straight and the Red Sox have been getting their asses kicked by the Rays in St.Pete. UNDER 9.5 RUNS--Lester is 6-3 and both pitchers have ERA's under 4.

Kansas City +120 over Baltimore--Davies is 3-1 and his ERA is 3.34. The Royals haven't been playing badly. The easy snag is Olson, but I bet everyone gets burned that takes him. Jump on the OVER 9.5 RUNS

OAKLAND +110 over CHISOX--Duchsherer has been amazing. He's got an ERA of 1.91 and I say he knocks off the favored Vazquez and keep it UNDER 8 RUNS

Seattle +125 over Detroit--Upset city here. Cross your fingers and hope SILVA doesn't blow as usual. Both he and Verlander are 4-9. POUND THE OVER 8.5 RUNS
 
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*** EZ WINNERS CFL ***


5 STAR: (404) EDMONTON (+2) over Calgary
(Risking $550 to win $500)
9PM Central Time



2 STAR: (402) TORONTO (-9.5) over Hamilton
(Risking $220 to win $200)
6PM Central Time
 
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JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants Jul 3 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

Reason: Prior to last night game the Cubs had lost 7 of their last 8 road games. The Cubs are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a dog of +110 to +150. Chicago has dropped 5 of their last 6 overall. The Cubs have lost Gallagher's last 4 starts overall. The Cubs have lost his last 5 road starts. The Giants have won 5 of their last 6 games where they have been the favorite. San Francisco has won 6 of Lincecums last 8 starts. The Giants have won 5 of his last 7 home starts. SF is 7-3 in his last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the San Francisco Giants
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (50-37) at N.Y. Yankees (45-40)
Fresh off getting swept in Tampa Bay, the Red Sox head north to the Bronx to battle their archrivals in the opener of a four-game series at Yankee Stadium. Boston, which will send left-hander Jon Lester (6-3, 3.48 ERA) to the mound tonight, blew a 4-1 lead in Tampa last night and fell 7-4. The Red Sox are in the midst of a five-game losing skid (all on the road), which matches their longest skid of the season
Boston is also mired in funks of 1-7 in series openers and 8-21 on the road against winning teams. On the bright side, Terry Francona?s squad is on hot streaks of 12-4 on the highway against left-handers, 22-7 overall against left-handers, 11-2 behind Lester against A.L. East foes and 36-17 in Thursday contests.
The Yankees dropped the first two games of a three-game home series against Texas, then blasted the Rangers 18-7 on Wednesday night o avoid the sweep. Still, New York is just 3-4 in its last seven games, 2-5 in its last seven at Yankee Stadium and 0-4 in its last four series openers. However, Joe Girardi?s squad is on lengthy runs 102-41 at home against lefties and 65-26 behind Pettitte at home.
Going back to last season, the Yankees have won five of the last six head-to-head battles with the Sox in New York. Also, the Yanks are 4-0 in Pettitte?s last four starts against Boston overall and 9-3 in his last 12 at home versus the Sox.
Lester, who has a no-hitter to his credit this season, hasn?t lost since May 25, going 3-0 with three no-decisions as the Red Sox put up a 5-1 mark in that stretch. The 24-year-old got pounded in his last start, though, allowing six runs on nine hits in five innings of an 11-10 loss at Houston on Saturday. That halted a four-start stretch in which he?d allowed just five earned runs over 27 2/3 innings (3-0, 1.67 ERA).
Lester is 2-2 with a 4.66 ERA and five no-decisions in nine road starts this year. He?s faced New York just once in his career, and that was back in 2006 when he got roughed up for eight runs (seven earned) in just 3 2/3 innings but got a no-decision in Boston?s 14-11 home loss.
The Yankees have won five in a row and seven of their last eight behind Pettitte, who has posted four straight wins and gone at least six innings in nine consecutive starts. Since getting shelled for 10 runs on 10 hits in 6 2/3 innings at Kansas City on June 7, Pettitte has allowed just three earned runs over 27 innings during his current four-game win streak, good for a stunning 1.00 ERA.
Pettitte is 3-3 with a 4.59 ERA in eight home starts this year, and this will be his first 2008 start against Boston. He is 15-6 with a 3.45 ERA in 29 career appearances (27 starts) against the Sox.
For New York, the under is on streaks of 5-1 overall, 6-2 at home, 12-4 in division play, 11-3 with Pettitte throwing at home and 23-8 behind Pettitte overall. The under is also 6-3-1 in Boston?s last 10 games overall and 15-7-2 in Lester?s last 24 starts. In this rivalry, though, the over is 6-1 with Pettitte starting against the Red Sox.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES



Oakland (45-39) at Chicago White Sox (49-35)
The streaking White Sox will hand the ball to right-hander Javier Vazquez (7-6, 4.49 ERA) to open a four-game set at U.S. Cellular Field against the Athletics, who will counter with stingy right-hander Justin Duchscherer (8-5, 1.91). Chicago wrapped up a three-game sweep of Cleveland with Wednesday?s dramatic 6-5, 10-inning victory courtesy of a walk-off homer by A.J. Pierzynski. The White Sox have won seven in a row and are 37-15 at home dating to last season (29-11 this year). They?re also 10-1 behind Vazquez in series openers and 14-3 in Vazquez?s last 17 home starts.
Oakland completed a three-game trip at the Los Angeles Angels with Wednesday?s 7-4 loss. The A?s have lost four of their last five games, but they have won six straight series openers, and they?re 6-0 in Duchscherer?s last six starts against winning teams.
Oakland is 42-18 in the last 60 meetings with the White Sox, including 5-1 in the last six. However, Chicago is 6-2 in its last eight home games against the Athletics, splitting a two-game series at U.S. Cellular in mid-April.
The White Sox have alternated wins and losses in Vazquez?s last seven starts, fending off the Cubs 6-5 Saturday at home. In that contest, Vazquez got a no-decision, allowing all five runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings. Vazquez is 2-3 with a no-decision in his last six starts, and in his last five outings, he?s allowed a combined 23 runs in 27 2/3 innings for a bloated 7.67 ERA.
Vazquez is 5-1 with a 4.68 ERA in eight home starts this year, and he?s 1-2 with a 6.60 ERA in five career starts against Oakland.
Duchscherer had his four-game winning streak snapped in his last outing Saturday, despite another sterling effort. The 30-year-old allowed just one run on two hits in eight innings, but he got no offensive support in a 1-0 home loss to San Francisco. The right-hander has given up just one earned run in each of his last four games and hasn?t yielded more than two since May 18 ? a stretch of seven starts. He?s thrown at least six innings in each of his last seven starts (eight innings three times), allowing a total of eight earned runs in 51 1/3 innings, for a minuscule 1.41 ERA.
Despite a 2.52 road ERA this year, Duchscherer is just 2-4 in six starts. He?s 3-1 with a 2.76 ERA in 13 relief appearances against Chicago, but this will be his first start.
For Oakland, the under is on streaks of 6-3 overall, 9-2 in series openers, 8-2 as an underdog and 5-1 versus right-handed starters. The under is also 5-1 in the last six in this rivalry. Conversely, the over is 7-2 in Chicago?s last nine at home, and 10 of Vazquez?s last 11 starts at U.S. Cellular have hurdled the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
 

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HONDO

Attention, HONDO Nation: Stay away from the Indians! Mr. Aitch dropped his second straight because of the Tribe's failure to cooperate last night, so the earnings plummeted to 520 batteys.

Tonight, he'll try the two heroic hurlers from Saturday night's epic duel in Oakland - Lincecum and Duchscherer (or Chsch, as he's known for short). Ten units apiece on the Giants and A's.
 

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Fraud "1st innings systems" Shark


(4* WAGER) Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Bet "YES" There will be a run scored in the 1st inning.


meaning you need to wager ~$718.56 to win $100 on philly/atl to score in the 1st to win that "series"

GL
 

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Nostridomus

Thursday's Selections

MLB-LA/Houst OVER 8.5 -110
MLB-Arizona -160
MLB-Atlanta +105
MLB-Cincinnati -150
MLB-Boston +120
MLB-Oakland +110
MLB-Det/Seat OVER 8.5 -115
 

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Vegas Experts

Oakland A's at Chicago White Sox

Oakland's Justin Duchscherer has posted some tremendous numbers this season, but most of the damage has come at home. In fact, he's just 2-4 on the road this season. This is a battle of two teams headed in opposite directions. The A's have lost four of five while the White Sox have won six straight. Starter Javier Vazquez loves pitching at home, as evidenced by a 10-1 team start record in the home favorite role.

Play on: Chicago White Sox
 

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Dunkel Index: Baseball

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at Houston
The Astros look to earn a split in the series and build on their 6-4 record as a home underdog listed between +100 and +125. Houston is the underdog pick according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored straight up by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115).
 

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Dunkel Index: Baseball

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at Houston
The Astros look to earn a split in the series and build on their 6-4 record as a home underdog listed between +100 and +125. Houston is the underdog pick according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored straight up by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115).

Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, JULY 3
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.679; Houston (Backe) 14.789
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 15.273; Arizona (Webb) 15.570
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-155); Under

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Gallagher) 14.174; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.934
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 13.097; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.088
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Under

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.446; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.805
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105); Under

Game 911-912: Florida at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Redman) 14.988; Colorado (Redman) 13.577
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over

Game 913-914: NY Mets at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.364; St. Louis (Boggs) 15.090
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Under

Game 915-916: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.819; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 14.829
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 16.162; Baltimore (Olson) 15.003
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125); Over

Game 919-920: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Duchscherer) 15.740; White Sox (Vazquez) 14.674
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.655; Seattle (Silva) 15.746
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Under
 

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