5D recently started putting up "alternate" O/U lines for boxing.
<table class="module" rgfloat="440,600" border="0" bordercolor="#111111" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="800"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#ffffff"><td colspan="8" nowrap="nowrap"><small>Cruiserweight 10 rounds - Aragon Ballroom, Chicago, Illinois - ESPN2</small></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#f6f6f6" valign="bottom"><td nowrap="nowrap">Fri 7/11</td><td nowrap="nowrap">101 </td><td nowrap="nowrap">Tomasz Adamek</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> -5000 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="L1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> Over 6½ +125 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#f6f6f6" valign="top"><td nowrap="nowrap">9:45PM (EST) </td><td nowrap="nowrap">102</td><td nowrap="nowrap">Gary Gomez</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> +2500 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="L2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> Under 6½ -145 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#e9eeee" valign="bottom"><td nowrap="nowrap">Fri 7/11</td><td nowrap="nowrap">103 </td><td nowrap="nowrap">Adamek/Gomez goes 1:30 round 5</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4" maxlength="5"> -180 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#e9eeee" valign="top"><td nowrap="nowrap">9:45PM (EST) </td><td nowrap="nowrap">104</td><td nowrap="nowrap">Fight won't go 1:30 round 5</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4" maxlength="5"> +150 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr></tbody></table>
Above is an example where under 5.5 is +150 and over 6.5 is +125, so, essentially if you take those two plays, you only lose on a KO in the last half of the 5th or first half of the 6th. It would seem to me that wouldn't happen enough for this to be a -EV proposition. I realize this is akin to the "polish middle" in baseball, but with a far lower likelihood of losing.
Am I retarded here?
<table class="module" rgfloat="440,600" border="0" bordercolor="#111111" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="800"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#ffffff"><td colspan="8" nowrap="nowrap"><small>Cruiserweight 10 rounds - Aragon Ballroom, Chicago, Illinois - ESPN2</small></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#f6f6f6" valign="bottom"><td nowrap="nowrap">Fri 7/11</td><td nowrap="nowrap">101 </td><td nowrap="nowrap">Tomasz Adamek</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> -5000 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="L1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> Over 6½ +125 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#f6f6f6" valign="top"><td nowrap="nowrap">9:45PM (EST) </td><td nowrap="nowrap">102</td><td nowrap="nowrap">Gary Gomez</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> +2500 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="L2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> Under 6½ -145 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#e9eeee" valign="bottom"><td nowrap="nowrap">Fri 7/11</td><td nowrap="nowrap">103 </td><td nowrap="nowrap">Adamek/Gomez goes 1:30 round 5</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4" maxlength="5"> -180 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr><tr style="height: 28px;" bgcolor="#e9eeee" valign="top"><td nowrap="nowrap">9:45PM (EST) </td><td nowrap="nowrap">104</td><td nowrap="nowrap">Fight won't go 1:30 round 5</td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td><td nowrap="nowrap"><input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4" maxlength="5"> +150 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"></td></tr></tbody></table>
Above is an example where under 5.5 is +150 and over 6.5 is +125, so, essentially if you take those two plays, you only lose on a KO in the last half of the 5th or first half of the 6th. It would seem to me that wouldn't happen enough for this to be a -EV proposition. I realize this is akin to the "polish middle" in baseball, but with a far lower likelihood of losing.
Am I retarded here?
