What are you going to do for the second half of the season?

redatmosphere · Jul 16, 2008

Come on, let's here 'em. Teams you're going to avoid. Teams you're going to hammer. Trends we might see. Things you're going to work on.

As for me, bankroll management. I took the all-star game as an opportunity to create a new little system that I'm going to play around with. What's been killing me is a lack of bankroll management.

How about you?

krk1030 · Jul 16, 2008

Bet the Rays and Red Sox at home, fade them on the road.

OTK · Jul 16, 2008

Fade Volquez, Lee and Dice-K against the right teams.

sdf · Jul 16, 2008

play texas and over every game.

only 5x since April 20th have they lost and gone under the total against AL teams.

redatmosphere · Jul 16, 2008

sdf said:
play texas and over every game.

only 5x since April 20th have they lost and gone under the total against AL teams.

That's a pretty good stat. Here's another one I was looking at..

the winning AT LEAST one game at home during a 3+ game series (not being swept) between the Red Sox, Cubs, Tampa Bay, CWS, Brewers and Twins was 85-1. Something to look at anyhow.

Nomad1951 · Jul 16, 2008

do what i've been doing all season: Use 6 game chases for the best home teams (Cubs, Brews, Zona, Tbay, Boston and Chisox) and against the worst teams on the road (O's, Reds, Seattle, Nats, Pitt, SD and Colo). Why not Atl? Scared sh*tless they'll eventually figure it out on road. 70+ series up to this point (other teams mixed in), and every series a winner. Will end on August 31 to avoid the BS that happens with September callups, teams collapsing during a pennant drive, etc. Hope to get somewhere over 100 series in by then.

In case you'r interested, Pitt and SD begin road chases tomorrow, Zona, Tbay and Chisox begin home chases Friday.

douglas · Jul 16, 2008

Wait for college football to start ..............

redatmosphere · Jul 16, 2008

Nomad1951 said:
do what i've been doing all season: Use 6 game chases for the best home teams (Cubs, Brews, Zona, Tbay, Boston and Chisox) and against the worst teams on the road (O's, Reds, Seattle, Nats, Pitt, SD and Colo). Why not Atl? Scared sh*tless they'll eventually figure it out on road. 70+ series up to this point (other teams mixed in), and every series a winner. Will end on August 31 to avoid the BS that happens with September callups, teams collapsing during a pennant drive, etc. Hope to get somewhere over 100 series in by then.

In case you'r interested, Pitt and SD begin road chases tomorrow, Zona, Tbay and Chisox begin home chases Friday.

I know you have a thread here. But how does your chase work again? Do you martingale the home team until they win?

Nomad1951 · Jul 16, 2008

Redat, I don't have a thread here, but someone did a year ago. The original idea, which has worked very well over the years, was to take the ten top home teams from the previous year, then bet a chase system with them anytime they had a homestand of 6 or more games. Cleveland was one of those teams a year ago, and believe it or not with the crappy year they've had, they've yet to lose a six game homestand under this system.

Yes, it is a Martingale. Bet to win one unit on the first game. If you lose, bet enough on the second game to make up your loss and a one unit profit. Continue until you win, or lose six straight games.

Small units are recommended, because by the time you get to a game five, which I have only twice this year, you are betting a tidy sum to make up your losses + 1 unit. So far this year, though, I've had only 7 series go to a fourth game, and just two to a fifth. I have not had to go to a sixth game all year.

GL whatever you do!

BillyHoyle · Jul 16, 2008

well my friend....let's just say

the second half is for all the marbles... I’m sitting in my house loading up the pump... I’m loading up the Uzi's :uzi: I’ve got a couple of M-16s :machinegu couple of nines... couple of joints with some silencers on them...couple of grenades... got a missile launcher :shoot3: I’m ready for the second half

enjoy it brother....peace!

billy h.

artiesliver · Jul 16, 2008

redatmosphere said:
I know you have a thread here. But how does your chase work again? Do you martingale the home team until they win?

I followed a similar system for the first two months of the season (through June 4th) and got my nuts kicked in by only losing two series, but as the chase grows exponentially it starts to be a staggering amount. Be careful.

EagleEye+ · Jul 16, 2008

Looking at something my wife has bee following for a few years no. Based on the Martindale system, wth some outstanding results. Any thoughts on a chase system if it works?

GLTA,

Eagleeye

redatmosphere · Jul 17, 2008

EagleEye said:
Looking at something my wife has bee following for a few years no. Based on the Martindale system, wth some outstanding results. Any thoughts on a chase system if it works?

GLTA,

Eagleeye

I was wondering that myself. I built a little chase and martingale system for myself and I'm going to see how it plays out over the second half of the season. It involves really good road teams playing middle of the pack/bad home teams. Maybe I'll start a thread on it if there's some interest.

prime21 · Jul 17, 2008

bet the under on 2day and tomorrow games

simonboy · Jul 17, 2008

play hold-em:grandmais

FairWarning · Jul 17, 2008

prime21 said:
bet the under on 2day and tomorrow games

Smart man.

Look for starting pitchers who have reached their career high in IP. Great 5-inning line fades here. I will start next week, since they have their rest this week. A couple that come to mind are Floyd and Wellemeyer.

What are you going to do for the second half of the season?

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