MLB Futures Preview – Mets, Rays end first half on different notes

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The RX MLB Brief – July 15

MLB Futures Preview – Mets, Rays end first half on different notes

At the beginning of the first half of the 2008 MLB season, the surging Tampa Bay Rays and slumping New York Mets were two of the biggest surprises in the league. However, both teams turned it around by the All-Star break, which was not good for the young Rays. Both teams are still solid bets for the World Series.

Tampa Bay Rays (55-39)
The Rays stormed out of the gate, and had built up a 2.5-game lead over the defending World Series champion Boston Red Sox in the American League East as of July 1st. But a seven-game losing streak, including six straight on the road, has left the Rays a half-game behind the Red Sox as they prepare for the second half. The theory on the Rays is that they are young and they may have expended their energy. The Rays have gotten over by their pitching, which is fourth in the American League in ERA at 3.79. Their rotation averages just over 24 years of age, and they could all have 11 or 12 wins at least by the end of the season. Rookie Evan Longoria has been a revelation with 16 homers, but the offense will have to step up their production over the second half to compete with Boston and the New York Yankees. Still, the Rays are a solid +600 bet to win the World Series.

New York Mets (51-44)
The Mets were two games under .500 and 6.5 games behind Philadelphia in the National League East as on June 17th. The next day, they fired manager Willie Randolph, replaced him with interim boss Jerry Manuel and promptly went into the break on a nine-game winning streak. The Mets are now only a half-game behind the Phillies, and they have done it with balance. New York has produced the fourth-most runs in the National League, and they also have the sixth-best ERA in the league. With Randolph gone, the Mets are now able to shake off last year's historic collapse and move forward, and they have been far more relaxed. Johan Santana is happy to see some run production, as his 2.84 ERA warrants a much better record than his current 8-7 slate. The Mets would be a solid value pick at +1000.

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Mets have a much better shot then the Rays, for on ething they play in a bad division so getting to the playoffs will be much easier for them.
 

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