Am I missing something here...O/U on SF/Wash

redatmosphere · Jul 23, 2008

Doesn't it seem like over 8 at -118 seems like close to a sure thing...

over 7.5 -135 seems like a welfare program...just sign up and here's your money.

What's going on here?

caseymcgillis · Jul 23, 2008

yeah both starters have ERA's close to 6.

there must be something going on here. maybe since both offenses are lame they think they wont max out the starters

and my book has it at 8.5, not 7.5

VenomousSanction · Jul 23, 2008

both offenses are lame PLUS their NOT in a hitters park

I_Need_Money · Jul 23, 2008

haha, don't know about the game but your commentary is funny.

OTK · Jul 23, 2008

I'm on the under. Balester isn't bad, and their ERA's would be much lower is they got to face lineups like they'll be facing tonight.

I'm thinking a 4-2 type of game, but GL with whatever you decide.

redatmosphere · Jul 23, 2008

caseymcgillis said:
yeah both starters have ERA's close to 6.

there must be something going on here. maybe since both offenses are lame they think they wont max out the starters

and my book has it at 8.5, not 7.5

yeah, 5 dimes has a lot of o/u lines for each games. I think for this game they had 7.5, 8, 8.5, 9, and 9.5. Fuck, even over 9.5 +157 seems like it should be even money.

caseymcgillis · Jul 23, 2008

over 9.5 is a stretch for 2 teams that rank 27th and 29th in runs scored. SF averages 4 runs per game, washington 3.8 so to win you need them to get 3 runs above their average hence the +157

redatmosphere · Jul 23, 2008

caseymcgillis said:
over 9.5 is a stretch for 2 teams that rank 27th and 29th in runs scored. SF averages 4 runs per game, washington 3.8 so to win you need them to get 3 runs above their average hence the +157

Right...but these pitchers are chump status. Throw a unit or two on over 9.5...you won't regret it.

bigtendominator · Jul 23, 2008

In San Francisco, some many night games stay under and day games go over even if Linecum and some other ace are pitching.

Not saying that it won't go over, but is far from a lock.

ProPokerPlayer · Jul 23, 2008

Neither team can hit RH worth a crap and if you ck both pitchers stats they are inflated both due to day games. At night both pitchers have been pretty good..
im on the under so it goes like this.. 1-0 till the top of the 9th, they bring in a releiver nobodys ever heard of , he gives up 12 runs on 15 hits, 9 walks and a HBP......

bigtendominator · Jul 23, 2008

ProPokerPlayer said:
1-0 till the top of the 9th, they bring in a releiver nobodys ever heard of , he gives up 12 runs on 15 hits, 9 walks and a HBP......

I see you have been following my plays in July.

redatmosphere · Jul 24, 2008

Hope you all played the over :103631605

:toast:

knucklecup · Jul 24, 2008

redatmosphere said:
Hope you all played the over :toast:

On it with you.

Well done, bud :103631605

Mr.C · Jul 24, 2008

play over on thurs, days games go over a high percentage of the time in San Fran.

Am I missing something here...O/U on SF/Wash

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