Fade Material...interesting 5-1 since the break

wallybell · Jul 24, 2008

since the all star break.

Go to wagerline and look at the consensus and the largest consensus under for the MLB games has lost everyday since the All Star break except for the last Thursday. Meaning that if you fade all those on the largest under play of the day and bet the over you would be 5-1. Tonight the largest under was Chicago/Arizona and they have scored 16 runs so far. I almost bet it but bet the Cubs instead. Most haven't been close. The other night it was the NY Minnesota game under 9 and they scored 8 in the first two innings. I will keep track of it and see how it goes.

knucklecup · Jul 24, 2008

This is interesting. Keep an eye on it for us..

wallybell · Jul 24, 2008

Looks like SD/Pitt under 10.5 is the largest under bet tomorrow on there. It's at around 57%. Seems like if they are 60% or higher is when the fade works the best. I think this trend is good because most bettors prefer overs and for so many to be on an under usually is not good. Personally with the two pitchers going in that game tomorrow and those bullpens they will be hard pressed to not go over. I will post the percentage tomorrow.

Mr.C · Jul 24, 2008

details as of right now....

Totals (Over/Under)

<TABLE class=data id=tblConOU cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="11%">Time (ET)</TD><TD width="22%">Away</TD><TD width="8%">Total</TD><TD width="24%">Home</TD><TD width="6%">Over</TD><TD width="8%">Pct</TD><TD width="7%">Under</TD><TD width="8%">Pct</TD><TD width="6%">View</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12:10 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Philadelphia</TD><TD class=datacell>9.5</TD><TD class=datacell>NY Mets</TD><TD class=datacell>136</TD><TD class=datacell>41.46%</TD><TD class=datacell>192</TD><TD class=datacell>58.54%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>7:05 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>San Diego</TD><TD class=datacell>10.5</TD><TD class=datacell>Pittsburgh</TD><TD class=datacell>124</TD><TD class=datacell>43.06%</TD><TD class=datacell>164</TD><TD class=datacell>56.94%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>3:45 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Washington</TD><TD class=datacell>8</TD><TD class=datacell>San Francisco</TD><TD class=datacell>147</TD><TD class=datacell>49%</TD><TD class=datacell>153</TD><TD class=datacell>51%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12:35 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Toronto</TD><TD class=datacell>8</TD><TD class=datacell>Baltimore</TD><TD class=datacell>158</TD><TD class=datacell>51.47%</TD><TD class=datacell>149</TD><TD class=datacell>48.53%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>8:10 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Tampa Bay</TD><TD class=datacell>8.5</TD><TD class=datacell>Kansas City</TD><TD class=datacell>154</TD><TD class=datacell>55.2%</TD><TD class=datacell>125</TD><TD class=datacell>44.8%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>8:15 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Milwaukee</TD><TD class=datacell>8</TD><TD class=datacell>St. Louis</TD><TD class=datacell>167</TD><TD class=datapicks>59.86%</TD><TD class=datacell>112</TD><TD class=datacell>40.14%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>