Service Plays Saturday 7/26/08

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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays post, but some do. If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 yesterday (ariz w)


EARLY RELEASE FOR SAT
MLB
SEATTLE+144
DICKEY (note pitch change)

There will be more in the afternoon but I will be on a plane to the bahamas and won't get them. Good luck everyone and thanks for all the work you put in. I will try to post on Sun. :toast:

Please refrain from touting Jefferson Sport's plays (emotions, streaks, etc). I've edited because it looks suspiciously schill-like. There is no problem in you promoting the service...but you will have to do so and remain in Website Promos section.

Thanks
 
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HONDO

Who's your Padre? Hondo stayed red hot last night as San Diego hung on in Pittsburgh to increase the runaway earnings to a season-high 890 ortas.

Today, he'll mess with Texas by giving the ball to Duchsherer (or Chsch, for short). Ten units on the A's.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Yankees last night.

Today it's the Yankees. The surplus is 225 sirignanos. <!-- ARTICLE CONTENT END -->
 

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Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

NY Yanks/ Boston Under 9

The Under is 14-2 in Yankees last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 17-5 in Pettittes last 22 starts vs. American League East, while the Under is 40-19-7 in Wakefields last 66 starts vs. American League East and 17-6-4 in Wakefields last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Andy Pettite has been an Under machine thie year as 17 of his 21 starts have all gone under the total, including 9 out of 10 of his road starts. Andy has a 3.86 ERA overall, with his starts averaging just 8.3, plus he has a 3.69 ERA on the road, with those starts averaging 7.3 rpg. Andy also come in with a 2.05 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging just 4.3 rpg, while each of his last 8 starts have scored 8 runs or less, with those games averaging just 5.4 rpg. Tim Wakefield has had a nice year with a 3.69 ERA overall including a 3.05 ERA at home. His home games have scored over 10 rpg, but that is due to the fact that the Sox give him 7 rpg at home. They won't do that vs Pettite today. The Boston offense has been sputtering of late, as they come in averaging just 3 rpg in their last 8 games and they score 4.8 rpg within their division. The NY offense has been better, but they really struggle in day games, scoring 4.2 rpg and they only score 4.3 rpg on the road, plus 3.9 rpg in division games. The Under is 25-8 in Yankee day games and 27-12 in their division games and with a solid pitching matchup on the mound, i see both trends continuing here.


1 UNIT PLAY

CHICAGO RL over Florida

The Marlins stole one from the Cubs today, but they will get their payback today. The Cubs are awesome at home this year, going 38-12 and outscoring opponents by 2.2 rpg. In the Cubs 38 home wins they have won 30 of them by 2 runs or more and have out scored their opponents by 3.9 rpg in the 38 wins. The Cubs are also 6-1 at home vs the NL East and have outscored those opponents by 3.3 rpg. On the year the Cubs score 6.3 rpg at home, plus they score 5.3 rpg in day games. Chris Volstad has had a nice start to his career, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 2 starts, but facing the Cubs offense in their ball park is alot different than facing Atlanta's or the Dodgers offenses. The Florida offense has scored just 1.5 rpg for Chris in his 2 starts, plus they limp in with a 3.2 rpg scoring average in their last 9 games. Rich Harden comes in with an 0-1 mark and a 0.73 ERA in his 2 starts with the Cubs, while he is 5-2 with a 2.12 ERA overall. In his overall home starts this year he is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA. Last time out for Rich at home he left the game in the 6th with a 7-0 lead, but the Cubs bullpen wasn't able to hold the lead as they allowed SF to tie the game at 7, before getting the final run in the 8th. Rich will have another strong home outing, while the offense will turn it up and give him another good lead. This time the pen won't blow it for him. Cubs win easily.
 

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Scott Ferrall


PETTITTE and the YANKEES +105 over Red Sox--Andy's been on fire of late and has been pitching brilliantly. I say NY gets another one and beats Wakefield in the process

Seattle +135 over Toronto--RA Dickey throws knucklers all day in T-Town and stuns the Jays

Derek Lowe -200 and Dodgers over Nationals--I just think the Nats blow ass and Lowe will make it look easy !

Lincecum and Giants (even odds) over Webb and the Diamondbacks--this is the game of the night and I'm going with the kid at home

Milwaukee -170 over Houston--The Brewers aren't slowing down any time soon ! Bush over Backe here

San Diego (even odds) over Pittsburgh--Banks isn't that bad and has a decent ERA of 3.51--Padres steal one at PNC
 

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Hondo

Who's your Padre? Hondo stayed red hot last night as San Diego hung on in Pittsburgh to increase the runaway earnings to a season-high 890 ortas.

Today, he'll mess with Texas by giving the ball to Duchsherer (or Chsch, for short). Ten units on the A's.
 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (57-48) at N.Y. Mets (56-47)

The first-place Mets try to stay red hot when they send rookie Brandon Michael Knight (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the hill for his first big-league start against the Cardinals and veteran Joel Pineiro (3-4, 4.52) at Shea Stadium in New York.

New York has won three straight and 15 of its last 18 to open a two-game lead over the Phillies in the A.L. East race. The Mets scored a 7-2 win Friday in the series opener against the Cardinals and have won eight of the last 12 against St. Louis dating back to last season. They’ve won 10 of their last 11 games at Shea and 10 of their last 13 against right-handed starters.

Since winning four straight after the All-Star break, the Cardinals have now lost five in a row and their last seven against teams with a winning record.

Knight is coming up from Triple-A New Orleans where he was 5-1 in 11 games with a 1.60 ERA. He did have an impressive strikeout-to-walks ratio, fanning 49 while allowing just 10 walks in 39 1/3 innings.

Pineiro has allowed nine runs on 20 hits in his last 11 2/3 innings, including three runs on 10 hits in a 6-3 loss to the Brewers on Monday. The Cardinals have lost seven of his last 10 outings and back on July 2 he gave up four runs on 11 hits in five innings but his offense bailed him out for an 8-7 victory over the Mets.

The under is 19-7-4 in the Cardinals last 30 games against teams with a winning record and 7-0-1 when they are an underdog. The under is also on runs of 11-3-3 in New York’s last 17 games as a favorite and 9-2-2 in its last 13 at home.

The under is 9-4-2 in the last 15 series meetings and 6-0-1 in the last seven matchups at Shea Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (54-45) at Boston

The Yankees try to make it eight in a row since the All Star break when they send veteran southpaw Andy Pettitte (11-7, 3.86) to the mound at Fenway Park to face Red Sox knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (6-7, 3.69).

New York won its seventh in a row Friday behind the pitching of young Joba Chamberlain who blanked Boston 1-0. The Yankees have climbed to within two games of the Red Sox in the A.L. East standings and trail first-place Tampa Bay by three games. New York is 21-8 in its last 29 games against teams with a winning record and 21-8 in its last 29 Saturday games.

DeSpite Friday’s setback, Boston has been dominant at home, going 40-12 dating back to last season and 10-2 in its last 12 against southpaws at Fenway. These two rivals have split 10 meetings this season with the Yankees winning three straight and their last two in Boston.

Pettitte is 2-1 in his last three games with a 2.05 ERA and 6-3 with a 3.69 ERA on the road. He pitched eight strong innings on Sunday, limiting the A’s to one run on four hits of a 2-1 victory, the Yankees’ seventh in his last nine starts. Last time he saw the Red Sox, Pettitte gave up six runs (five earned) on nine hits in 4 2/3 innings of a 7-0 loss. For his career, the lefty is 15-7 with a 3.61 ERA in 30 appearances against Boston.

Wakefield lost to the Angels on Sunday, allowing four runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-3 loss. It was the first time in 10 outings he allowed more than three earned runs in a start. Back on July 6 he allowed three runs on four hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 5-4 loss to the Yankees and he is just 9-16 with a 5.01 ERA in 46 career outings against New York.

The Yankees are 45-21 when Pettitte pitches against A.L. East rivals and 42-20 when he gets five days of rest, but they are just 3-7 when the veteran is a road ‘dog. On the opposite side, Boston is 41-19 when Wakefield is a favorite and 37-17 when he pitches at Fenway, but just 1-11 in his last 12 against teams with a winning record and 1-8 when he faces A.L. East foes.

With Pettitte on the hill, the under is on runs of 35-16-2 overall, 19-7 when he pitches on the road and 17-5 against the A.L. East. When Wakefield pitches, the over is 13-3-1 in his last 17 as a home favorite and 22-7-1 in his last 30 Saturday starts.

Overall for the Yankees, the under is on streaks of 21-7-2 overall, 7-1 on the highway and 28-11-1 against the A.L. East. For Boston, the under is 8-3-2 in its last 13 home games against teams with a winning record and 5-1 overall.

In this rivalry, the over is on runs of 22-7 at Fenway Park, 4-0 when Pettitte starts in Boston and 6-2 when he faces them anywhere. However the teams have stayed under the total in 11 of 18 Wakefield starts.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES


Chicago White Sox (58-43) at Detroit (52-50)

The White Sox snapped Detroit’s four-game winning streak on Friday and now try to make it two in a row in Detroit when they send lefty John Danks (7-4, 3.03) to the mound at U.S. Cellular Field in Detroit to take on the Tigers’ Justin Verlander (8-9, 3.95).

Chicago got a homer from Jermaine Dye in the ninth inning to come back and beat the Tigers 6-5 Friday and snap a three-game losing streak to Detroit. The White Sox have now won three straight but they are just 4-3 since the All-Star break, 5-11 as an underdog and 2-8 in their last 10 against teams with a winning record.

Even with the loss, Detroit is 20-9 in its last 29 at home and 36-18 as a favorite. The Tigers are 5-3 since the break, 36-18 when they are favored and 46-20 when they face left-handed pitching.

Danks is 2-0 in his last three starts and the lefty is 4-1 on the road with a 1.92 ERA. He got drilled by the Royals on Sunday, allowing six runs on nine hits in four innings of an 8-7 loss, snapping a streak of four straight wins by the White Sox with Danks on the hill. He faced the Tigers three times last season, allowing 11 runs in 17 1/3 innings as Chicago went 2-1.

Verlander seems to have found his form lately, going 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last three starts. He held the Orioles to one run on three hits in 8 2/3 innings of Sunday’s 5-1 victory, the Tigers’ sixth straight with him on the mound. He’s already seen the White Sox three times this season and pitched a gem back on June 11, throwing a complete-game four-hitter as the Tigers won 5-1. But for his career, Verlander is just 2-6 with a 5.45 ERA in 11 starts against Chicago.

Chicago is just 4-9 when Danks gets five days of rest but it is 4-1 when he faces A.L. Central competition. The Tigers are 7-0 with Verlander favored but just 4-12 when he faces A.L. Central rivals.

The under is on runs of 8-2 with Danks on the road, 7-2 when he’s an underdog and 13-5 in his last 18 overall. For the Tigers, the over is 19-9-1 with Verlander as a home favorite but the under is 6-1 in his last seven against A.L. Central teams. Detroit has topped the total in 16 of 26 home games against southpaws and the over is 18-5 when the White Sox face A.L. Central teams, however the under is 46-22 with Chicago as a ‘dog and 36-16 when they are a road ‘dog.

In this rivalry, the under is 40-18-3 in the last 61 meetings in Detroit and 8-2 when Verlander goes against the White Sox.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (923) LA Angels and (924) BAL Orioles. Take "Under". The first place Angels send Jon Garland to the mound on Saturday and he's had a fine year for the halos. Garland is 8-6 overall with a 4.12 era. Moreover, on the road, Garland is 5-2 with a 4.17 era. Garland is coming off a fine winning performance over the Red Sox, where he went 6 2/3 innings and allowed just two earned runs. Radhames Liz has a nice 4-2 mark on the year and if he can keep the ball in the strike zone, he should be able to keep this game close. We'll take the under here on Saturday and look for Garland and Liz to take a close game to their fine respective pens and keep the game UNDER



Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (911) STL Cardinals and (912) NYM Mets. Take "(911) STL Cardinals".
This is the stuff movies are made from. Brandon Knight is making an emergency start for the Mets, and that in itself is almost incomprehensible. Knight had a couple of cups of coffee with the Yankees back in '01-02. He was out of organized ball from '03-06 except for a very brief and unsuccessful stint in Japan. He pitched for the Somerset Patriots in Indy ball last season. Suddenly, from out of nowhere, he resurfaced at AAA with New Orleans, where he's been lights out of late for the Zephyrs. Knight actually had been named to to the Olympic team, but he'll instead now be getting his chance with the Mets in the heat of a pennant race. Unbelievable story! The sentimentalist in me wants Knight to do a great job here. But the reality is he's never shown anything resembling big league stuff, and I have to think the value play is to take the price with the Cardinals.
 

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Lvsa Full Saturday Card 7/26/08

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

SATURDAY 7-26-08

5*)Tampa Bay -145

5*)Los Angeles-D -1.5 (-105) Runline) List LOWE

5*)Philadelphia -190

5*)Arizona -105


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anyone have frank jordans picks from vegastopdogs. he has a 4 pack and has been winning everyday
 
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BIG AL's BASEBALL DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR WINNER
At 7:05pm our selection is on the Detroit Tigers over the Chicago White Sox.

AL Central Game of the Year on the Tigers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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COBRA 1500

Tampa Bay (-155)
Los Angeles-N (-200)
Milwaukee (-165)
Colorado (+1.5) (-185)
St Louis (+1.5) (-175)
Chicago-N (-240)
Philadelphia (-225)
New York-A (+1.5) (-200)
 
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JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Jul 26 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

Reason: The Angels has won 8 of their last 9 games. The Angels are 14-6 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing record. LAA is 13-5 in their last 18 games as a road favorite. The Angels are 16-7 in their last 23 road games. The Angels are 4-0 in Garland's last 4 starts vs. AL East opponents. The Orioles have lost 5 of their last 6 games. In their last 9 as a home dog they are 1-8. Baltimore is 4-13 in the last 17 meetings between the clubs. Play on the Los Angeles Angels -.
 

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