Service Plays Tuesday 7/29/08

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-3 yesterday -3.29 units

19-11-1 last 31 plays 63%

49-29-1 last 79 plays 63%

MLB RECORD
+28.71 units (+2871 playing 100 per game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE
METS-120
TORONTO-155

More at 2 pac tomorrow

Oh cpaw,

Maybe the way its worded when I say playing a 100 a game for jeffersonsports is confusing. I mean that on a -150 favorite u are laying 150.00 to win 100.00. Also, if I play a dog of +150, you risk 100.00 to win 150.00. I don't mean just betting 100 on each game. That may have been confusing.

chase88 said:

Oh cpaw,

Maybe the way its worded when I say playing a 100 a game for jeffersonsports is confusing. I mean that on a -150 favorite u are laying 150.00 to win 100.00. Also, if I play a dog of +150, you risk 100.00 to win 150.00. I don't mean just betting 100 on each game. That may have been confusing.

Click to expand...

Got it, thanks.:toast:

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Mets last night. Today it's the Mets again. The surplus is 265 sirignanos. <!-- ARTICLE CONTENT END -->

HONDO

Formerly hot Hondo continued to chill for the third straight game as he was repelled from the winner's cir cle by the Chisox' dismal failure last night in Minnesota.

Tonight, with the earnings down to 680 rozemas, Mr. Aitch will try to re-route with Galarraga over the Native Americans - 10 units on the Tigers.

Armvin Sports

7/29/2008 Chicago Cubs 106

7/29/2008 Texas Rangers -135

James Patrick

Tigers vs. Indians

Ginter has answered the bell for Cleveland since his call up. The trouble with Cleveland is their inept line-up. Tigers are Under the Total in 8 of 10 Gallaraga starts and 6 of 7 of his road starts. Runs at a premium in this game puts our Tuesday selection in American League action on Cleveland-Detroit Under the Total.

Marc Lawrence

Play On: Milwaukee w/Sheets

The Brewers host the Cubs in Game Two of this pivotal four-game series when Ben Sheets takes the hill in Milwaukee. As steady as ever, Sheets has issue 11 walks against 46 strikeouts in his last seven home starts. He loves hurling in July, too, as evidenced by a 9-3 mark when at home. In those twelve starts he compiled a powerful 12 walk/84 strikeout ratio as well. His counterpart, Carlos Zambrano, is winless in his last three starts against Milwaukee and sports a not so impressive 24/35 walk-to-strikeout ratio in his last nine starts. With Big Ben 4-0 in his last four team starts against Chicago we'll back the Brewers here tonight. Key Stat: Milwaukee is 18-1 at home on Tuesdays.

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Scott Ferrall

BOSTON and Buchholz +105 over Lackey and the Angels--it won't be easy though. Lackey is a freak and he brings it hard every time out

Cleveland +105 over Detroit--It's Ginter over Galarraga at the Jake. Hey, the Tribe are bound to win a few times, right ?

SF +110 over LA Dodgers--Matt Cain has been getting tough to beat of late and Johnson hasn't pitched, so I like the odds here on the Giants

SD -125 over Arizona--Chris Young returns and tops Davis and the D'Backs

Milwaukee -120 over ChiCubs--Ben Sheets over Zambrano in the game of the week at Miller Park. This series is going to be sick

Houston -110 over Cincy--Moehler over Arroyo at Minute Maid
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext id=modified_94769 vAlign=bottom></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Matt Fargo

LAA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox

I mentioned in this week’s diamond preview how this series is a possible preview of a second consecutive postseason meeting. The Angels have the best record in baseball but do they really need to be the favorites here in this spot? Not against the Red Sox who still possess the best home record in baseball. Boston was able to salvage the final game of its series against the Yankees and getting swept could have taken its toll on this team. The Red Sox are hitting .295 at home, 4th best in baseball. Boston is 30-10 on the season after a win in Game Two, Three and Four.

As mentioned, the Angels have the best record is baseball but that doesn’t mean they need to be favored on the road against a team that is arguably just as good. Especially a team that has owned them over the past few years. They have been doing it with solid pitching as the offense has been strangely absent on the road, hitting just .249 which is 5th worst in the American League. Even the overall hitting of .261 is lower than expected. Los Angeles is 8-21 in the last 29 meetings in Boston.

One of the reasons for this price is the pitching of John Lackey. He is having a solid season as he is 8-2 with a 3.02 ERA in his 13 starts. He has had some trouble of late as two of his last three starts were forgettable as he allowed six runs in those. What is not being taken into consideration are the struggles he has had in this venue. In seven starts at Fenway Park, he is 1-4 with a 7.46 ERA and 2.03 WHIP. Only two of those were quality outings. The Angels are 2-11 in Lackey’s last 13 starts against the Red Sox.

The other reason for this price has been the pitching of Clay Buchholz which has been inconsistent. This will be his fourth start since getting called back up from the Minors and while his ERA is 6.60 over the those three outings, he showed much better signs last time out. He allowed three runs in 5.1 innings while striking out seven. Two home runs were the issue. He was roughed up for four earned runs in 4.2 innings against the Angels two starts back but tossed a quality start against them last season in a win over Lackey. Play Boston Red Sox 1.5 Units

Carlo Campanella comp

Prediction: St Louis Cardinals

Reason: Atlanta is a large home Favorite on Tuesday as they start Hudson on the mound. Hudson's won back-to-back starts, including his last start which he allowed 0 Earned Runs in 6 Innings Pitched at Florida during a 9-4 victory. The Braves won't get that third straight win behind Hudson, as we find him at 1-7 after giving up 1 Earned Run or less in his previous start this season! St. Louis becomes LIVE DOG in here.

7* Play On St. Louis +150

John Fina

MARINERS / RANGERS OVER 11½

Today we see a high-scoring game as the Seattle Mariners do battle with the Texas Rangers. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will send to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... The Seattle Mariners Starting Pitcher (Carlos Silva) has a 5.62 ERA on the season, while Texas Rangers Starting Pitcher (Luis Mendoza) has a 7.16 ERA on the season. As you can see, both these starting pitchers have been struggling as of late. To say the least, we should see many runs scored tonight! Take the Seattle Mariners/Texas Rangers Over 11½!

I hope you guys don't mind but I'd like to talk about a capper called
"Let It Ride" just once more. He is on the usasportsmonitor.net website. He came out with his prices for the football season. He wants $1100 for the season for college and pro football. It's a little expensive for me to pay so I hope I could get some people to join in with me. I'm going to buy his seasonal package for college and pro football on Saturday because preseason football starts on Sunday. If we follow this guy, I think we will win.
This is his records for the last three seasons.

college football
2005 58-41 58.59%
2006 74-44 62.71%
2007 88-44 66.66%

pro football
2005 60-30 66.67%
2006 77-39 66.37% (11-2 preseason)
2007 83-43 65.87% (11-3 preseason)

If anyone would like to join in with me, please e-mail me.

nkff63@yahoo.com

SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (62-44) at Milwaukee (60-46)

A pair of aces square off tonight at Miller Park, where the Brewers’ Ben Sheets (10-3, 2.87 ERA) is scheduled to oppose the Cubs’ Carlos Zambrano (11-4, 2.96) as the top two teams in the N.L. Central continue a key four-game series.

Chicago gutted out a 6-4 victory on Monday, moving to 4-2 in its last six games and boosting its divisional lead to two games over the Brewers. Still, Lou Piniella’s club is just 7-13 in its last 20 on the highway and 2-9 in its last 11 as an underdog.

The Brewers have come back to earth after a seven-game winning streak, losing three of their last four, all at home. On the bright side, Milwaukee is still on runs of 12-6 as a home favorite and 19-9 against the N.L. Central.

These teams have alternated wins and losses against one another over the last six meetings.

Zambrano is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA in four starts since returning from a stint on the disabled list. Also, he’s dominated the Brewers twice this year, giving up just one run on 10 hits in 13 innings (0.69 ERA), but the Cubs lost both games at home by identical 4-3 scores. In fact, Chicago is just 3-7 in Zambrano’s last 10 starts against Milwaukee, but 3-1 during this stretch at Miller Park.

The Brewers are 14-6 with Sheets toeing the rubber this year, including 6-2 in his last eight. However, they’re only 4-3 when the right-hander pitches at home, where Sheets sports a solid 2.96 ERA. Finally, going back to last season, the Brewers have won four straight games against the Cubs with Sheets on the bump, though all four wins came at Wrigley Field, including two this year by scores of 4-3 and 10-7.

The over is on runs of 8-2 for Milwaukee at home, 8-1-2 in this rivalry at Miller Park, 4-1 when Sheets pitches at home, 16-7-1 when Sheets battles a divisional foe, 4-0 for Sheets at home against Chicago, 4-1 when Zambrano pitches in Milwaukee and 8-3 when Zambrano goes off as an underdog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE and OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (65-40) at Boston (61-46)

John Lackey (8-2, 3.02) looks to defeat Clay Buchholz (2-5, 5.81) and the Red Sox for the second time this month when he takes the mound for the Angels in the middle game of this three-game series at Fenway Park.

Los Angeles, which owns baseball’s best record, improved to 10-2 in its last 12 games with Monday’s 7-5 win in Boston. The Halos are also on streaks of 5-1 on the road, 7-1 against the A.L. East and 6-0 against the Red Sox. Meanwhile, Boston has dropped six of 10 games since the All-Star break, but Terry Francona’s squad is still riding streaks of 41-14 at home and 21-9 against the Angels at Fenway Park.

Lackey held the Red Sox to three runs on five hits in seven innings on July 18 in Los Angeles en route to an 11-3 victory. Despite that result, Lackey is just 2-6 with a 6.01 ERA in 12 career regular-season starts versus Boston, and including the playoffs, the Angels are 2-11 all-time with Lackey facing the Sox, including 1-7 at Fenway Park.

Lackey has a 7.64 ERA in his last three outings, but L.A. won all three and is 10-3 in the right-hander’s 13 starts this year, including 5-1 on the road.

Buchholz is 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in three starts since being recalled from Triple-A, though Boston did earn a 6-3, 12-inning victory in Seattle in the right-hander’s most recent start on Wednesday. Still, the Red Sox are just 3-8 with Buchholz on the hill this season, including the 11-3 loss to Lackey and the Angels in Anaheim on July 18. Also, Buchholz has pitched through the sixth inning just three times in 11 starts.

The over is 4-0 in Lackey’s last four starts overall, 4-1 in his last five against the Red Sox, 5-0-1 in Buchholz’s last six outings and 2-0 in Buchholz’s two career starts against the Angels. Also, the over is 10-4-2 in the last 16 series meetings in Boston and 6-2-1 in Boston’s last nine at Fenway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and OVER


Chicago White Sox (59-45) at Minnesota (58-47)

Glen Perkins (7-3, 4.08) gets the nod for the Twins, who look to inch closer to the White Sox in the A.L. Central race as this four-game series continues at the Metrodome. Chicago is scheduled to hand the ball to Clayton Richard (0-0, 9.00 ERA) for his second career big-league start.

Minnesota rolled to a 7-0 victory Monday night for its third straight win. The Twins, who had lost five in a row to Chicago prior to Monday, are now on a 19-5 run at home. Meanwhile, the White Sox have followed a four-game winning streak with consecutive losses. They’re also 7-15 in their last 22 on the road and 1-10 in their last 11 on artificial turf.

The host is 10-2 in this rivalry in 2008.

Perkins saw a string of four straight quality starts end his last time out at Yankee Stadium, where he gave up five runs in six innings of a 5-1 loss. Still, the Twins are 9-4 in the lefty’s last 13 starts, including 5-2 at home. However, in his lone career start against the White Sox in Chicago on June 9, Perkins allowed three runs in 5 1/3 innings, getting a no-decision in Minnesota’s 7-5 loss.

Richard lasted just four innings in his major-league debut on Wednesday against the Rangers, giving up five runs (four earned) on seven hits. However, Chicago’s offense bailed out the southpaw in a 10-8 victory.

The under is 5-0 in Perkins’ last five starts and 16-5 in Chicago’s last 21 games on artificial turf.

ATS ADVANTAGE:MINNESOTA and UNDER

WILD BILL

Tuesday, July 29


Rockies -120 (5 units)
Over 9 Phils-Nationals (5 units)
St Louis +150 vs Campillo (5 units)
Cincinnati +105 vs Moehler (5 units)
Over 9 Angels-Red Sox (5 units)
Yankees -165 (5 units)
KC +105 (5 units)
Toronto -155 (5 units)
Over 7 1/2 Rays-Jays (5 units)

ARTHUR RALPH

TUES Florida Marlins

Insider Sports Report

Detroit/Cleveland (MLB) UNDER 10

ROCCO SPACAMURO

100* Blue Jays -153

CAPPERS ACCESS

Tue (MLB) Brewers
Tue (MLB) A's