Service Plays Sunday 8/3/08

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A Football thread was started but way too many baseball games and only 1 football game. When the football season gets rolling we will start the threads there. I wish we had a Service Plays section! Here is the thread I started earlier this week if anyone wants to read the posts:

Service Plays Sunday 8/3/08 Pre-season Begins

JAMES PATRICK Sports

Hall of Fame Game (Canton, Ohio)
Colts vs. Redskins 8:00 p.m. est. NBC

Our selection in NFL Pre-Season action is #242 Washington Redskins.
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Angels yesterday. Today it's the Rockies. The surplus is 165 sirignanos.

Armvin Sports

8/3/2008 New York Mets -127

8/3/2008 New York Yankees 108

Dwayne Bryant

<table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">2:10 PM ET
MLB
Cleveland Indians (Ginter) at Minnesota Twins (Liriano or Perkins)</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Pick: Minnesota Twins (Listed Pitchers) -174
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I love that Cleveland won last night's game, 5-1. For me, it doesn't matter if Liriano or Perkins pitches for the Twins. They're both lefties and that is what counts here. The Indians are batting just .213 and scoring 3.3 runs per game on the road against lefty starters. On the other side, Minnesota is batting .295 and scoring 5.98 runs per game at home against righty starters. The Twins are also batting .299 and scoring 6.03 runs per game against righty starters when coming off a loss.
Take Minnesota/Liriano or Perkins over Cleveland/Ginter.
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Brian Gabrielle

Last Week: We won our +700 straight-up bet when Jimmie Johnson won the bizarre, tire-marred race at the Brickyard, but unfortunately we lost our head-to-head bet when Brian Vickers's engine exploded early in the race, and he finished 42nd. For the week, then, we lost 0.17 units on 1.5 units wagered; for the season, we've profited 4.78 units on 29 units wagered, a return of 16.5%, and we've given you winning weeks in 15 of 20 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have won three units on four units wagered, a return of 75%; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 8.99 units on 79 units wagered, a return of 11.4%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)

Take Denny Hamlin (+600), 1/6th unit. This weekend it's back to Pocono, that crazy tri-cornered hat of a track in rural Pennsylvania. In five career starts at Pocono, Hamlin has two wins and has never finished worse than sixth. Back in June, in the first Car of Tomorrow race at this track, Hamlin was third. And he also finished third at Indy last weekend, another very fast, shallow-banked, brake-intensive track.

Take Jimmie Johnson (+600), 1/6th unit. I'll also go with last weekend's race winner. The No. 48 team has been the best on the circuit over the past month or so, and like Hamlin, he has two career wins at Pocono. He finished sixth here in the CoT back in June, and the fact that he had the day's dominant car at Indy means he's going to have something for the rest of the Smokeless Set on Sunday.

Take Dale Earnhardt Jr. (+1200), 1/6th unit. I was tempted to go with favorite Kasey Kahne (+500) in this spot, because Pocono is definitely a track that recently has lent itself to sweeps (Johnson swept here in '04, Hamlin did it in '06). But that's a pretty steep price to pay for a guy who didn't look all that strong at Indy last week, so instead I'm going to with Little-E, who's never won at this track but did finish second in this race last season and fourth in the CoT here back in June.

In this week's head-to-head match-up, take Hamlin over Kyle Busch (-135), 1 unit. I know, I know, the series point leader, the guy who's already won a whopping seven events in 2007, is a relatively major underdog? It's true, and there's a reason for it: Busch wasn't very good in the first Pocono race even before he wrecked out and finished 43rd, and despite the fact that he led 14 laps at Indy last weekend, he didn't have a great car and was easily passed nearly every time tire strategy put him out front. He finished 15th. Now, this could easily bite my butt, because Busch has won at just about every track type under the sun in '08. But I like Hamlin to be in the top five Sunday, and I'm not sure I can say that about Busch.

Lvsa Early Sunday Card 8/03/08

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS



1.LA Angels/John Lackey -130
FREE PICK 3 units

2.Milwaukee/Ben Sheets -155 4 units

3.Chi Cubs -260 3 units

4.St. Louis/Todd Wellemeyer -110
Play of the Day 5 units

Scott Ferrall
Comp

INDY +6.5 - Just because Peyton isn't playing doesn't mean the Colts aren't better than the Skins. Indy is always tough early--they don't mess around. I don't care who's playing for either side--take Dungy's boys

Pointwise phone selection

2* indy +6
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Larry Ness

NL Total of the Month

SF/SD Over.

SAPKOWSKI

Best Bet:
Cubs

Premium:
NYM
LAA

Free:
CHWS vs. KCR over 4.5 in 1st 5 IN

Ben Burn's Main Event is Indy

ANTHONY CAPONE

Play: 1 * WASHINGTON REDSKINS -6

After looking very closely at the Depth Charts for this Match up the Skins are Absolutely loaded .At some positions 3 Deep .The Only position that the Colts really go 2 Deep in with some talent is at their slot position with Jacob Tamme from Kentucky .He holds the Wildcat record for most receiving yards .He will also see some time at tight end . Other than that the Skins hold all the edges in this one with almost every pertinent position backed up by a player that has previous NFL experience .Even with Clinton Portis and Jason Taylor sitting this one out the Skins will still control this one on Defense as their secondary might be the best in the NFL .On the Offensive side I don't expect to see much of Jason Cambell at QB , but I'll take Colt Brennan over anyone the Colts have backing up Manning .I would say James Thrash and Devin Thomas are two pretty good backups at wideout and the Skins will have a field day passing against a weak 2nd and 3rd string secondary for the Colts .This line should be 10 + and I'll gladly lay the 6 and cash this ticket .
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Oddswiz

Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Redskins
Play: Under

While the NFL pre season will generally have it's spots with which we can find an edge and jump in for a play or two, this game isn't one of them. Certainly, it would be nice for the Redskins to come away with a big win on the day two of it's greats are honored, Darrell Green and Art Monk. It would seem to be a good spot for them as well, taking on a Colts team and Tony Dungy, who simply doesn't care about winning in the pre season. Particularly in the first week. While Jim Zorn starts his reign as the Skins top dog, and hey, what new coach doesn't want to start off with a win. But let's not forget, this is already reflected in the line as the Skins opened -5 and have been bet up to -6. Let's also not forget that the Skins aren't dressing many of their vets. Sure, the Vets wouldn't play more than a few series anyways, but now, they won't play at all. So we'll make a small play here on the under for the following reasons. One, scoring tends to be low in the NFL pre season to begin with. Lot's of new plays to run, lots of experimenting, and more of a focus on getting a good look at players rather than putting the ball in the end zone. The Skins have scored more than 17 points in a pre season game just once in 3 years. Lastly, so far, the public is betting this game over. So, why not buck the public here for the first time this year. Just a lean though, to get things started. There will be far better opportunities to come.
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Insider Sports Report

San Francisco/San Diego (MLB) OVER 8

ROCKETMAN Sports

LA Angels @ NY Yankees 1:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* LA Angels -125 (Lackey/Rasner) Listed

LA Angels are 69-40 in all games this year. LA Angels are 30-11 this year when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. LA Angels are 38-19 on the road this year. LA Angels are 16-3 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. LA Angels are 20-7 in day games this year. LA Angels are 64-35 on grass this year. LA Angels are 35-17 when playing against a team with a winning record. LA Angels are 65-39 last 3 years and 14-4 this year when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. NY Yankees are 1-6 last 3 years as a home underdog of +100 to +125. Angels are 9-1 last 10 games. LA Angels bullpen has a 3.28 ERA on the road this year. Lackey is 9-2 with a 2.93 ERA overall, 5-1 with a 2.36 ERA on the road and 3-0 his last 3 starts. LA Angels are 14-7 overall vs NY Yankees last 3 years. We'll play the LA Angels for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Sunday: Take COLORADO w/ Rusch +115 over Florida

ROCCO SPACAMURO

100* Florida

CAPPERS ACCESS

Sun (NFL) Redskins
Sun (MLB) Marlins