Good question. Part of it would depend on skill level. If you're assuming house-way the whole time, I would have to imagine that the number is very, very low. I mean, you push something like 30% of the time, so avoiding BOTH wins & pushes for 11 hands has to be an incredibly low number.
Are you trying a Martingale for Pai Gow or something?:missingte
Are you trying a Martingale for Pai Gow or something?:missingte
No was fucking around online a few minutes ago and lost 11 straight hands in a row playing the house way. Cleaned me out of $33 bastards. I figured that i would have a better chance of hitting a 10 team parlay than lose 11 striaght hands in Pai Gow. This is why I play in person
You got me curious about this so I looked it up. From WOO:
Possible Outcomes in Pai Gow Poker
Outcome
Probability
Player wins both
28.61%
Tie
41.48%
Banker wins both
29.91%
That means that you will lose about 29.91% of the time. So, if my probability memory serves, that means that to figure out the odds for 11 hands, its basically 29.9^11 or:
29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9
=
0.00017139%
It's a REALLY low number. It basically means that you could play 583,465 "sets" of 11-hands of Pai Gow and this would most likely only happen once
Possible Outcomes in Pai Gow Poker
Outcome
Probability
Player wins both
28.61%
Tie
41.48%
Banker wins both
29.91%
That means that you will lose about 29.91% of the time. So, if my probability memory serves, that means that to figure out the odds for 11 hands, its basically 29.9^11 or:
29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9 x 29.9
=
0.00017139%
It's a REALLY low number. It basically means that you could play 583,465 "sets" of 11-hands of Pai Gow and this would most likely only happen once
Did a little more on this: just to put the odds of losing 11 hands in a row in perspective, its basically the equivalent odds of taking a randomly shuffled deck, taking off the first five cards and finding a royal flush (or the same odds for a pat royal in 5-draw).
So, rare? Yes
Astronomically rare? No.
So, rare? Yes
Astronomically rare? No.
Ive lost 14 before beat that buddy. I was having a bad night at the blackjack table a buddy tells me to play on the pia gow table with him and his girlfriend. Told me that you can play for hours and leave even or up a few or maybe even down a little I play 16 hands win the 1st hand push the second and lose the next 14. Wonderful game!!! Atleast win I lose at blackjack I have fun.
I know the feeling
I was at the bash last year and shdw02 went to urinate near a roulette table....i figure I cash in $100 and start playing $10/spin on black/red; odd/even; 1-18/19-36. (stupid, but I was doing a semi-martingale and tripled my bet to $30 if I lost like 2 or 3 in a row)
anyways, he got back I was up to $280 or $290....figure I get to $300 and quit.
I think the board had 3 or 4 blacks, so I went red something like.....
-$10
-$10
-$10
-$30
-$50
-$70
-$100
-$100 (I had to cash in another $100)
-$200 (another $200)
-$0 (forced shdw02 to cash in $100 and play red...he lost)
-$200 (now I'm $600 into this)
ALL of them BLACK or GREEN....I was tilting pretty hard at that point.....was first day about 2 hours after checking in.
