Service Plays Tuesday 8/5/08

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FYI - 1 DAY GAME TODAY

National League

2:20 pm
Houston
Chi. Cubs

HOU: Rodriguez (6-4, 3.61)
CHC: Harden (6-2, 2.04)
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Yankees Monday night.
Tuesday it's the Brewers. The surplus is 140 sirignanos.
 
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HONDO

The Indians escorted Hondo to the winner's circle last night, giving him a much-needed payday that boosted the bulbous bankroll to 655 keltners.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will work the late shift with the Bucs and Giants: 10 units apiece on Duke and Sanchez.
 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 yest +1.20 units

54-37-1 last 92 plays 60%

MLB RECORD
+27.06 units (+27.06 playing 100 per game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUESDAY
TAMPA BAY-128 Jackson
MINNESOTA-126 Baker
NEW YORK METS-160 Pelphrey
ST. LOUIS-107 Carpenter
 

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Scott Ferrall

Ariz -280 and Brandon Webb over the Pirates in the desert--Zach Duke will get jacked up

SF -125 over Atlanta--Dirty Sanchez over Mike Hampton in the Bay

Oakland +115 at Toronto--Greg Smith with a mini stunner on the road in T-Town

CLEVELAND +110 at Tampa--Carmona at the Trop over Edwin Jackson

TEXAS +150 over NY Yanks--I think Harrison and the homey's get it done over the Bombers and Pettitte in 105 temps in Dallas. Yanks wilt this week on the road
 

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<table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Dwayne Bryant


</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">9:05 PM EST
MLB
Washington Nationals (Lannan) at Colorado Rockies (De La Rosa)
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Colorado Rockies (vs. Lannan) -167
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb">
col.gif
I like the Rockies coming off last night's series-opening loss, 9-4, especially facing a lefty tonight. Colorado is batting .324 and scoring 7.2 runs per game at home vs. lefty starters this season. Washington's win last night snapped a seven-game losing streak for the Nats at Coors Field. Washington owns the worst offense in the league and I can't see them keeping up with Colorado's bats tonight after they plated nine runs last night.

Take Colorado over Washington/Lannan.
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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Las Vegas Sports Advisors Card For Tueasday 8/05

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS


1.Philadelphia/Jamie Moyer -155 5*

2.Boston/Josh Beckett -170
Play of the Day 5*

3.Minnesota/Scott Baker -130
FREE PICK 5*
 

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Scott Ferrall

Ariz -280 and Brandon Webb over the Pirates in the desert--Zach Duke will get jacked up

SF -125 over Atlanta--Dirty Sanchez over Mike Hampton in the Bay

Oakland +115 at Toronto--Greg Smith with a mini stunner on the road in T-Town

CLEVELAND +110 at Tampa--Carmona at the Trop over Edwin Jackson

TEXAS +150 over NY Yanks--I think Harrison and the homey's get it done over the Bombers and Pettitte in 105 temps in Dallas. Yanks wilt this week on the road


Scott Ferrall

BASEBALL LOCKS FOR TUESDAY

ChiCubs -245 over Astors at Wrigley--Wandy Rodriguez can't beat Harden on the North Side. You got to lay it to get it

Florida +140 at Philly--Johnson with the upset special in Citizens against Moyer

Twins -125 at Seattle--I still have to take Baker and Minney over RA Dickey in the Emerald City

ChiSox -145 over Detroit--Gavin Floyd is the man and he'll take out Robertson on the South Side

Cincy -110 and Volquez over Milwaukee in the Queen City--Bush isn't beating him on the road

METS -165 and Pelfrey over Chris Young and Padres at Shea

BECKETT -165 and Red Sox at Kansas City over Bannister

St.Louis -110 over LA Dodgers--I'm on Chris Carpenter in his second start since Tommy John surgery. I don't like Billingsley on the road

Washington +155 over Colorado--Taking a risk here with Lannan on the road in the Rockies den


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR TUESDAY

SEA-MINN OVER 8.5 RUNS

DET-CHISOX UNDER 10.5 RUNS

BOST-KC OVER 8.5 RUNS

NY-TEX OVER 11 RUNS

CLEVE-TB UNDER 8.5 RUNS

OAK-TOR UNDER 8.5 RUNS

SF-ATL UNDER 8.5 RUNS

PITT-ARIZ OVER 8.5 RUNS

WASH-COLO UNDER 10 RUNS

CARDS-DODGERS OVER 8 RUNS

SD-NY METS UNDER 8 RUNS

MILW-CINCY UNDER 9 RUNS

FLA-PHILLY OVER 9.5 RUNS
 

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EZWINNERS

2 STAR: (910) ST. LOUIS (-$107) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Carpenter only) (Risking $214 to win $200)

2 STAR: (929) MINNESOTA (-$124) over Seattle
(Listing Baker only) (Risking $248 to win $200)

1 STAR: (901) HOUSTON (+$205) over Chicago
(Listing Rodriguez only) (Risking $100 to win $205)

1 STAR: (917) OAKLAND (+$117) over Toronto
(Listing Smith only) (Risking $100 to win $117)

1 STAR: (913) PITTSBURGH (+$230) over Arizona
(Action) (Risking $100 to win $230)
 

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Oakland/ Toronto Under 8.5

The Under is 21-5-1 in Athletics last 27 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 11-2 in Athletics last 13 road games, while the Under is 40-16 in Blue Jays last 56 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 18-7-1 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. American League West. Greg Smith's ERA hasn't been the greatest this year at 4.04 overall and 4.61 on the road, but his games have been low scoring as his overall starts have averaged just 6.9 rpg and his home starts have also averaged 6.9 rpg. Greg has struggled in his last 3 starts, wityh an 8.10 ERA, but those games have still averaged just 7.3 rpg. Greg has faced the Jays twice in his career (both this year) and he has a 1.42 ERA in those starts this year. Here are a couple of Totals Trends for Greg: The Under is 12-0-1 in Smiths last 13 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 15-1-1 in his last 17 starts overall. Greg will be taking on a Jays squad that hits just .246 and scores only 3.4 rpg vs lefty starters. Toronto comes in scoring just 4.4 rpg at home, with their home games averaging 8.1 rpg and the Jays have averaged just 3.8 rpg in their last 8 games overall. The Oakland offense has really been struggling of late as they have averaged 1.9 rpg in their last 7 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in any of those 7 games. Oakland scores just 4.2 rpg on the road and 3.8 rpg at night, with their night games averaging 7.7 rpg. Scott Richmond is making his second career start and he allowed 3 ER in 5.1 innings of work in his first start, with just 5 total runs being scored in that start. Both teams are struggling to score right now and with Greg Smith being an UNDER machine it should easily be another low scoring affair north of the border.
 

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Doc's Sports
GAME: Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners Aug 5, 2008 10:10PM
EXPERT: Lee Kostroski
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Minnesota Twins
Offered at: -125 Belmont
REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON Minnesota (Baker) minus on the money line vs. Seattle (Dickey), 10:10 PM EST

The Twins crushed Tim Wakefield earlier this season, posting seven runs in less than three innings. Facing another knuckleball pitcher should be a welcome sight in Seattle. The Mariners are just 4-15 in games that R. A. Dickey has pitched in and just 3-7 when he starts. Dickey has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts and at home he is 0-4 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. Seattle is also just 15-20 in games decided in the bullpen and facing one of the top hitting teams in baseball will be a difficult situation for Dickey and the Mariners.

The Twins are 11-6 in games that Scott Baker has started this season and 6-2 in his last eight outings. The Twins have won three of his last four road starts and he has strong overall numbers with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Minnesota also owns one of the strongest bullpens in the American League. Seattle is hitting just .251 against right-handed pitching at home and facing Baker will be a difficult challenge.

The Twins are 23-7 in the last 30 games as a favorite and this is still a cheap price for a team that quietly has one of the best records in the AL against a team with the worst record in AL. Seattle is just 21-34 at home this season and the Twins have won four of the last six road series. The road team actually won seven of nine meetings between these teams last season so the Twins should be able to deliver the victory despite long travel.
 

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PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick

Tuesday August 5, 2008 MLB Daily Selections:

Detroit(Robertson) vs Chicago White Sox(Floyd)

Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runline (+132) Moneyline Line (-139)
 

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JB's Computer Plays

Tuesday, August 5, 2008
Time Game Selections

7:10 p.m. San Diego Padres at New York Mets
(R) Chris Young (4-4) vs. (R) Mike Pelfrey (9-7) New York Mets -170
8:11 p.m. Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
(L) Nate Robertson (6-8) vs. (R) Gavin Floyd (11-6) Chicago White Sox -145
10:05 p.m. Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels
(L) Chris Waters (0-0) vs. (R) Jon Garland (10-6) Los Angeles Angels -210
 

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Feist & Cokin

This is Jim Feist. My free pick of the day is the game between (907) SD Padres and (908) NYM Mets. Take "Under". Light hitting San Diego continues to be an under machine, at 5-2 under the last 7 games. Their offense won't score much in Shea stadium, a huge pitcher-friendly park. Southpaw Chris Young has excellent stuff, fanning 59 in 59 innings, and his last start went under the total (3 total runs), and the team is 7-3 under the total in his starts. Mets starter Mike Pelfrey knows how to throw strikes (44 walks in 126 innings) and has a 2.25 ERA at home. Don't look for many runs, play the Padres/Mets under the total!

Buy my premium sports picks at

PicksOnline.com
VegasOnlineSports.com


This is Dave Cokin. My free pick of the day is the game between (929) MIN Twins and (930) SEA Mariners. Take "(929) MIN Twins".
 

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="80%" align=center><TBODY><TR class=templatebg2><TD class=heading align=middle>ANTHONY CAPONE: FLORIDA MARLINS vs PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (Bonus Play) </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Play: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (Bonus Play)</TD></TR><TR><TD>Comments: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (Bonus Play) ^^^ Jamie Moyer takes to the mound on Tuesday to face the Marlins and Josh Johnson.Johnson won his only start for the Fish and he has an ERA in the low 4's .For the Phillies the ageless one Jamie Moyer looks for his 11th Win on the season .The Phils have certainly been playing well of late going (7-3) in their last 10 games .They are (7-0) on games played on Grass , and when Moyer takes the ball , not too bad either at (10-0) .I think the Marlins who are a dead fastball hitting team will be completely off balance as Moyer mixes up his pitches well and throws alot of off speed stuff .Lets lay the wood and go to the bank with the Phillies .</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Hot Pitchers
-- Harden has 1.11 RA in four starts for the Cubs. Rodriguez is 3-1, 4.76 in his last four starts.
-- Marlins won all four Johnson starts (1-0, 4.18). Moyer is 3-0, 3.00 against the Marlins this season.
-- Padres are 3-0 with Young if they score 4+ runs (11 starts). Mets are 9-1 in last 10 Pelfrey starts (5-0 last five at home).
-- Billingsley is 3-1, 1.84 in his last four starts. Carpenter gave up one run in 4.1 IP (67 PT) in his first 2008 start.
-- Rockies won five of last six de la Rosa home starts. Lannan has a 2.78 RA in his last seven road starts.
-- Webb is 3-0, 175 in his last five starts.

--
-- Pettitte is 3-3, 5.45 in his last six starts.
-- White Sox are 9-2 at home when Floyd starts.
-- Baker is 5-1, 3.35 in his last eight starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Volquez has 6.87 RA in his last seven starts. Milwaukee lost six of Bush's seven road starts.
-- Duke is 0-4, 11.47 in his last five starts.
-- Hampton is 0-0, 10.00 in two starts for the Braves. Giants lost last five Sanchez starts (0-3, 8.57).

-- Smith is 0-4, 6.18 in his last five starts. Richmond lost 3-2 at Tampa in his first 2008 start (three runs in 5.1 IP).
-- Carmona is 1-2, 16.03 in his last three starts. Jackson has 6.28 RA in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 0-3, 5.76 in his last three starts. Bannister is 0-3, 8.80 in his last six starts.
-- Harrison i -2, 11.43 in his last four starts.
-- Robertson is 0-1, 11.29 in his last four starts.
-- Waters is 3-6, 5.70 in 16 AAA starts this season. Garland has 7.84 RA in his last four starts, but Angels won his last three, as they scored 28 runs in those three games.
-- Mariners lost four of Dickey's five home starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last nine games. Astros won seven of their last eight games.
-- Florida is 6-1 in game following its last seven losses. Phillies won seven of their last eight games.
-- Dodgers are 8-4 in their last dozen road games. Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Nationals won last four games, scoring 28 runs. Colorado is 11-3 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Diamondbacks are 10-4 in their last fourteen games.

-- Toronto is 11-4 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Rays are 39-10 in last 49 home games.
-- Rangers are 9-5 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games. Royals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Angels are 15-4 in their last nineteen games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine games. Reds lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Mets lost five of six games last week. Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Pirates are 3-7 since the Nady/Marte trade.
-- Braves lost eight of their last ten games. Giants lost seven of last eleven home games.

-- Oakland is 2-16 in its last eighteen games.
-- Indians are 0-5 in game after their last five wins.
-- Bronx lost six of its last nine games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games. Tigers lost four games in row, allowing 29 runs.
-- Orioles are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.
-- Mariners lost eleven of their last sixteen games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 13-5-2 in Florida's last twenty road games.
-- Last seven Milwaukee road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in Mets' last twelve games.
-- Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 4-1 in Arizona's last five home games.
-- Under is 8-2 in Giants' last ten games.

-- Under is 12-1-1 in Oakland's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 6-1 in Cleveland's last seven road games.
-- Over is 9-1 in last ten Bronx games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Boston's last six road games.
-- Over is 5-1 in White Sox' last six home games.
-- Over is 21-6-1 in Orioles' last 28 road games.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota road games went over the total.

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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Tuesday’s streaking and slumping pitchers

Streaking

Rich Harden, Chicago Cubs (1-1, 1.11)


It hasn’t taken Harden long to settle in with his new club. He is 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA since being traded from the Oakland Athletics to the Cubs.

Harden has relinquished just nine hits and three earned runs in his last 24.1 IP as a member of the Cubs. He has also struck out 39 batters in that period and ranks 12th in the majors with 131 Ks.

The Cubs are 40-12 in their last 52 home games and are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with the Houston Astros at Wrigley Field.


Chad Billingsley, Los Angeles Dodgers (11-9, 3.05)

Billingsley has been lights out for the Dodgers lately. In fact, he has been one of their most consistent pitchers since cracking the rotation 2006.

Billingsley had 12 wins last season and is on pace to surpass that mark. He is 2-1 in his last three starts with a 2.05 ERA and is 4-5 on the road with a solid 2.84 ERA. Billingsley ranks second in the NL with 145 strikeouts.

The Dodgers are 7-2 in Billingsley’s last nine starts and are 6-1 in their last seven against the NL Central.


Slumping

Zach Duke, Pittsburgh Pirates (4-9, 5.27)

Duke is winless in his last three starts and has a lofty 11.25 ERA in that span. He has also relinquished 30 earned runs and eight HRs in his last 24.1 IP.

Duke is 0-3 on the road with a 6.24 ERA. In his last road start, an 11-3 setback to the Colorado Rockies, he surrendered nine earned runs in just five IP. He is 1-1 with a 5.29 career ERA against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Pirates are 7-26 in Duke’s last 33 road starts and are 1-5 in their last six visits to Chase Field.


Jonathan Sanchez, San Francisco Giants (8-7, 4.61)

Sanchez has just two triumphs in his last eight and is 0-2 in his past three with a 10.50 ERA in that period. He has also relinquished 14 earned runs in his past 11.2 IP.

Sanchez is 2-3 with a 4.16 ERA at home this season and is 0-1 with a soaring 10.13 career ERA against the Atlanta Braves. The left-hander has also relinquished 16 earned runs and three home runs in his last four at AT&T Park.

The Giants are 0-4 in Sanchez’ last four home starts and are 9-24 in their last 33 overall in San Fran.
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