Service Plays Wednesday 8/6/08

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FYI - Lots of day games today!

- American League -

12:40PM
Cleveland (49-63, 20-37 away)
Tampa Bay (67-45, 44-17 home)

CLE: Sowers (1-6, 5.82 ERA)
TAM: Kazmir (8-5, 2.89 ERA)

3:35 PM ET
Baltimore (53-58, 24-35 away)
LA Angels (70-42, 32-21 home)

BAL: Olson (8-5, 5.67 ERA)
LAA: Santana (12-5, 3.38 ERA)

4:40 PM ET
Minnesota (62-50, 23-29 away)
Seattle (43-69, 22-34 home)

MIN: Blackburn (8-6, 3.56 ERA)
SEA: Washburn (5-10, 4.77 ERA)

- National League -

12:35 PM ET
Milwaukee (63-51, 31-28 away)
Cincinnati (52-62, 31-26 home)

MIL: Suppan (6-7, 4.75 ERA)
CIN: Bailey (0-5, 7.55 ERA)

2:20 PM ET
Houston (54-58, 25-32 away)
Cubs (68-46, 42-16 home)

HOU: Backe (6-10, 4.72 ERA)
CHC: Marquis (6-7, 4.68 ERA)

3:40 PM ET
Pittsburgh (51-61, 19-35 away)
Arizona (58-54, 31-22 home)

PIT: Karstens (1-0, 0.00 ERA)
ARI: Johnson (9-7, 4.35 ERA)

3:45 PM ET
Atlanta (51-61, 18-36 away)
San Francisco (47-64, 21-34 home)

ATL: James (2-4, 9.47 ERA)
SFO: Lincecum (11-3, 2.71 ERA)
 

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Las Vegas Sports Advisors Card For Wednesday 8/06

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

Tampa Bay/Scott Kazmir -240
Play of the Day

Philadelphia/Kyle Kendrick -150

NY Mets/Pedro Martinez -1.5 -120

Boston/Tim Wakefield -145
 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 3-1 yest +1.74 units

57-38-1 last 96 plays (all sports) 60%

MLB RECORD
+28.80 units (+2880 playing 100 per game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR WEDNESDAY
MILWAUKEE-118 (Suppan)
FLORIDA +142 (Sanchez)
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Brewers Tuesday night. Wednesday it's the Tigers.
The surplus is 190 sirignanos.
 
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HONDO

Hondo was a victim of the dreaded double-flusher last night as he swirled downward with the Pirates and Giants to slash the earnings to 540 schofields.

Today, he'd like to wish everyone in HondoNation a happy Big 'Dog Day. And what better way to celebrate than with 10-unit investments on the Indians, Orioles, Astros, Pirates, Padres, Marlins and Nationals. Go get 'em, boys!
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">SAPKOWSKI for 06/08

Best Bet:
SF Giants to win in 1st 5IN

Premium:
Atlanta vs. San Francisco over 3 in 1st 5IN

Free:
Minnesota
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Lang continued his mastery.

0-3 Monday
1-4 Tuesday

He is awesome to fade!
 

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Hot Pitchers
-- Brewers are 4-1 in Suppan's last five road starts.
-- Johnson is 5-0, 1.67 in his last five starts.
-- Lincecum has 2.89 RA in his last four starts.
-- Sanchez won his first '08 start 12-2 (two runs/5.2 IP). Kendrick has 2.13 RA in his last two starts.
-- Lowe is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four starts.
-- Karstens shut Cubs out for six innings, winning his first start for Pirates, 3-0 at Wrigley.

-- Raysa re 8-1 at home when Kazmir starts.
-- Olsen is 2-0, 3.14 in his last couple starts. Santana has a 3.00 RA in his last four starts.
-- Blackburn is 2-2, 3.22 in his last six starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Reds are 0-7 when Bailey starts (0-5, 8.71).
-- Marquis is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts. Astros are 3-10 on the road when Backe starts.
-- James is 0-3, 11.37 in his last three starts.
-- Martinez has 6.75 RA in his last six starts. Baek is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts.
-- Pineiro is 0-1, 8.31 in his last four starts.
-- Rockies are 1-4 in last five Francis starts (1-2, 6.67). Perez has 6.81 RA in his last seven road starts.

-- Indians lost six of Sowers' seven road starts.
-- Mariners are 2-7 at home when Washburn starts.
-- Gio Gonzalez finally makes his Oakland debut; he was 8-7, 4.24 in 22 starts at AAA Sacramento. Marcum is 0-2, 9.15 in his last four starts.
-- Ponson allowed seven runs in 5+ IP vs Texas July 2; he made nine starts for Rangers this spring before they dumped him due to off-field concerns. Hunter allowed six runs in five IP in his first 2008 start, a game Rangers later won, 9-8.
-- Hochevar is 1-4, 7.36 in his last six starts. Red Sox lost seven of last eight Wakefield road starts.
-- Danks has 7.23 RA in his last four starts. Verlander is 1-3, 7.48 against the White Sox this season.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won eight of their last ten games. Astros won seven of their last nine games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last nine games. Florida is 9-4 in its last thirteen road games.
-- Dodgers are 8-5 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Nationals won four of last five games. Colorado is 12-3 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Diamondbacks are 11-4 in their last fifteen games.

-- Toronto is 12-4 in its last sixteen home games.
-- Rays are 40-10 in last 50 home games.
-- Rangers are 10-5 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games. Royals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Mariners won last three games, scoring 27 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last ten games. Reds lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Mets lost five of seven games last week. Padres lost five of their last six games.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Pirates are 3-8 since the Nady/Marte trade.
-- Braves lost eight of their last eleven games. Giants lost eight of last twelve home games.

-- Indians lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Oakland is 2-17 in its last nineteen games.
-- Bronx lost seven of its last ten games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last nine games. Tigers lost five games in row, allowing 39 runs.
-- Orioles are 6-9 in their last fifteen games. Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 14-5-2 in Florida's last twenty-one road games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Milwaukee road games.
-- Over is 10-3 in Mets' last thirteen games.
-- Five of last seven Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 4-2 in Arizona's last six home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in Giants' last eleven games.

-- Under is 13-1-1 in Oakland's last fifteen road games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Cleveland's last eight road games.
-- Over is 10-1 in last eleven Bronx games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Boston's last seven road games.
-- Over is 6-1 in White Sox' last seven home games.
-- Over is 21-7-1 in Orioles' last 29 road games.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota road games went over the total.

Umpires
-- Mil-Cin-- Six of last eight Layne games went over the total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Underdog is 5-1 in last six Foster games; the under is 11-4 in his last fifteen games behind dish.
-- Pitt-Az-- Over is 9-3 in last dozen Timmons games.
-- Atl-SF-- Home side is 15-6 in last 21 Cousins games.
-- Fla-Phil-- Last five Iassogna games all went over the total.
-- SD-NY-- Six of last nine Dreckman games stayed under total.
-- LA-StL-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Guccione games.
-- Wsh-Col-- Over is 13-5 in last 18 McClelland games.

-- Cle-TB-- Under is 7-3 in West's last ten games.
-- Blt-LA-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Runge games.
-- Min-Sea-- Three of last four Marsh games stayed under.
-- A's-Tor-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Holbrook games.
-- NY-Tex-- Under is 14-3-1 in last eighteen Davidson games.
-- Bos-KC-- Underdog won eight of last ten Demuth games.
-- Det-Chi-- Four of last five Hallion games stayed under total.
 

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bigboardsports

Wednesday August 6, 2008

** Premium Total**

Tampa Bay Under
 

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Dave Cokin.

My free pick of the day is the game between (971) MIN Twins and (972) SEA Mariners. Take "(971) MIN Twins". I'm giving away one full week of football and baseball at no cost whatsoever. That's a load of winners on the house, and a great opportunity to set yourself up for some serious profits. It's all FREE, so make that call to 1-888-389-7223!

Rookie Nick Blackburn has had the occasional rough spot, but most of those bad outings have been against the big time offenses. He's done really well against the softer lineups and he gets one here against the Mariners. I can't say there's much hesitation in trying to beat Seattle's Jared Washburn, and it's a big game for the road team. The Twins are the choice.
 

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Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (979) DET Tigers and (980) CHW White Sox. Take "(980) CHW White Sox". Chicago is happy to be home after a 10-game trip. That will help their pitching staff, which is 6th overall in the AL. Starter John Danks has been strong, at 8-4 with a 3.31 ERA, walking few while allowing less hits than innings pitched. Third baseman Joe Crede probably won't be activated from the 15-day disabled list because the tightness in his lower back has not subsided. Manager Ozzie Guillen will stick with Juan Uribe over Josh Fields at third because of Uribe's superior fielding. "I believe in defense," Guillen said. Detroit fireballer Justin Verlander has a 6.87 ERA his last three starts and lifetime is just 1-3 against Chicago with a 6.15 ERA. Play the White Sox!
 

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Paul Bovi.

My free pick of the day is the game between (251) NO Saints and (252) ARI Cardinals. Take "Under". It will be Tyler Palko, Mark Brunell and Travis Lulay getting most of the snaps for the Saints while coach Whisenhunt looks for his inaugural preseason win after last years.5? 0-4, though several were close. The Saints are sitting the bulk of the offensive talent inclding Deuce, Devery and Marques and will pay more close attention to the defensive side here as that has been their Achilles heel. Zona in the desert gets it 16-13 Under
 

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Nsa

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width="99%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD class=body>MLB
</TD><TD class=body>Minnesota @ Seattle 4:40 EST</TD><TD class=body>20* Minnesota -120</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD class=body>MLB</TD><TD class=body>Detroit @ Chicago 8:10 PM EST</TD><TD class=body>10* White Sox +100</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD class=body>MLB</TD><TD class=body>Dodgers @ St Louis 8:15 PM EST</TD><TD class=body>10* Dodgers -115</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD class=body>MLB</TD><TD class=body>Yankees @ Texas 8:05 PM EST</TD><TD class=body>10* Yankees -130</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD class=body>MLB</TD><TD class=body>Milwaukee @ Cincinnati 12:35 PM EST</TD><TD class=body>10* Milwaukee -130</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD class=body>MLB</TD><TD class=body>Boston @ Kansas City 8:10 PM EST</TD><TD class=body>10* Boston -140</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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JB's Computer Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks -240

San Francisco Giants -175

Chicago White Sox -110
 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Florida (60-53) at Philadelphia (61-51)

The Phillies will trot out Kyle Kendrick (9-5, 4.59 ERA) for the middle game of a three-game set against the N.L. East rival Marlins, who will counter with fellow right-hander Anibal Sanchez (1-0, 3.18) at Citizens Bank Park. In Tuesday night’s opener, Florida pounded out an 8-2 victory. Philadelphia has still won seven of its last nine games and is on further runs of 5-1 in division play, 6-3 at home and 14-5 in Kendrick’s last 19 starts.

Florida, which is now just 1½ games behind the first-place Phillies in the N.L. East race, is on a 7-3 roll in its last 10 games against right-handers. The Marlins also hold a 6-4 edge in the season series against the Phillies, but Philadelphia has still won four of the last six home contests against Florida.

Kendrick snapped a two-game skid in his last start, allowing two runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings Thursday in an 8-4 win at Washington. On July 19 at Florida, though, he got roughed up for seven runs on 10 hits in just 4 1/3 innings in a 9-5 loss.

Sanchez, who is coming back from shoulder surgery, made his first appearance in 15 months Thursday against Colorado and seemed to find his form quickly. The 24-year-old allowed two runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings as Florida rolled to a 12-2 home win.

Kendrick is 3-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 10 home starts this year, and the 23-year-old is 0-1 with an inflated 14.54 ERA in his lone career start against Florida – the aforementioned loss last month. Sanchez, who made only six starts in 2007 before being shelved with the shoulder injury, is 0-1 with a bloated 10.61 ERA in two career starts against Philadelphia.

The over for Philadelphia is on runs of 7-2-1 overall, 7-0 at Citizens Bank, 22-8 overall behind Kendrick and 10-4 when Kendrick stats at home. The over is also 40-18-6 in Florida’s last 64 roadies, and in this rivalry, the over has cashed in five straight meetings at Philadelphia.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


L.A. Dodgers (56-56) at St. Louis (63-52)

The Dodgers give the ball to veteran Derek Lowe (8-9, 3.70 ERA) for the second game of a three-game series at Busch Stadium against the Cardinals, who are set to go with Joel Pineiro (3-5, 5.04) on the hill. On Tuesday night, St. Louis won 6-4 in 11 innings on Ryan Ludwick’s two-run walk-off homer. Despite the setback, Los Angeles still is in the midst of streaks of 11-6 on the highway and 6-2 against the N.L. Central.

St. Louis remains on a 6-9 slide in its last 15 games and is in additional ruts of 2-6 at home and 2-5 in Pineiro’s last seven starts at Busch. However, in this rivalry, St. Louis is on a 15-4 spree in the last 19 clashes dating to July 2005, and the Cards are also 23-7 in their last 30 home contests against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers had won four straight backing Lowe until Thursday, when they were a dealt a 2-1 home loss to Arizona. In that outing, Lowe gave up both runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings. Prior to that, Lowe threw eight shutout innings of one-hit ball in a 6-0 home rout of Washington.

The Cardinals are 4-2 in Pineiro’s last six starts, but he got rocked in his last outing, allowing six runs on 10 hits in six innings of a 9-4 loss at Atlanta. In fact, in his last four starts, Pineiro has allowed 20 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings (8.31 ERA).

Lowe is 2-4 with a 5.02 ERA in 11 road starts this year, and he’s 1-5 with a 5.24 ERA in six career starts against St. Louis. Pineiro, meanwhile, is 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA in six home starts, with St. Louis losing in three of his four no-decisions. He’s also 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA in his lone career start against Los Angeles.

The under is 11-6 in the last 17 series meetings, cashing in five of the last seven contests (3-1 this year). The under is also on streaks of 5-2 overall for the Dodgers, 15-5 for L.A. against the N.L. Central, 7-2 in Lowe’s last nine outings overall and 5-2-1 for St. Louis at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE:L.A. DODGERS and UNDER
 

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