Service Plays Friday 8/8/08

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LT Profits

comps

Seattle Seahawks +3.0 (-110)
Fri Aug 8 '08 8:00p

The Seattle Seahawks fits nicely into what we like to call a GAP system on Friday night, and they get the call as road underdogs when they visit the Minnesota Vikings.

The first step in this system to group each team into either the Good, Average or Poor category (ergo, GAP) based solely on their win totals of last season. Well, the Seahawks grade out as Good while the Vikings grade out as Average, This is significant because higher classed road underdogs are 77-51, 60.2 percent against the spread the last seven preseasons.

Looking at the specific teams, the Seahawks are a nice 6-2 straight up and ATS on the road during the preseason over the last four years. They also like to get off on the right foot in these exhibition games, going 4-1 both SU and ATS in the last five openers. Conversely, the Vikings have lost their last two August openers and since they are a popular pick to win the NFC Central, they will in all likelihood be more concerned with staying healthy than posting wins during this preseason.

Finally, the Vikings have been distracted lately by all of the talk concerning the acquisition of Brett Favre, which may result in their corps of young quarterbacks pressing a bit in an attempt to impress.

Seahawks +3 (-110)


San Francisco 49ers +3.0 (-110)
Fri Aug 8 '08 10:00p

The San Francisco 49ers and the Oakland Raiders have had a couple of joint practices this summer, so they are both somewhat familiar with what to expect this week, which automatically gives value to the underdog.

Besides the 49ers are a very young team that may seemingly get as many wins this preseason as they do the entire regular season, so they probably have the greater motivation to win early between these two teams. Then again, that would be nothing new considering that the Niners are 3-2 straight up and 3-1-1 against the spread vs. their Bay Area rivals the last five years in preseason.

Now the Raiders are expected to improve this season, thanks to their first round draft pick Darren McFadden, but you just know that they will handle Run DMC with kid gloves during the exhibition season, not wanting to risk a serious injury. Thus, we will see the same last place team as last year for the most part, at least in the early weeks.

Look for the underdog Niners to pull a confidence-building upset here.

49ers +3 (-110)
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Wild Bill

Fri:
Pittsburgh -3 (5 units)
Eagles-Pittsburgh Under 33 1/2 (5 units)
Seattle +2 1/2 (5 units)

Sat:
St L-Tenn Under 33 (5 units)
Dallas +3 (5 units)

Mon:
Bengals +3 1/2 (5 units)

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NFL SHORT SHEET


Friday, August 8th

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 7:30 ET
Philadelphia: 1-9 ATS Away 1st 2 weeks of preseason
Pittsburgh: 8-1 Under L9 preseason games

Seattle at Minnesota, 8:00 ET
Seattle: 4-0 Over as road underdog
Minnesota: 6-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or less

San Francisco at Oakland, 10:00 ET
San Francisco: 13-7 Under as road underdog
Oakland: 4-0 ATS as home favorite
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Dodgers yesterday. Today it's the Cubs.
The surplus is 195 sirignanos.
 
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HONDO

Justin Duchscherer once again failed to provide a "W" for Hondo, leaving Mr. Aitch no choice but to ban the man they call "Chsch," for short, from the stable. And stay out!

Tonight, the loss with the A's having shrunk the wad to 490 blefarys, he's going fishing in Flushing - 10 units on Nolasco and the Marlins out at the Lame Duck Dump.
 

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Las Vegas Sports Advisors 8/8/8

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

Milwaukee/CC Sabathia -1.5 120
FREE PICK

San Diego/Jake Peavy -125

Tampa Bay/James Shields -170
Play of the Day

LA Dodgers/Brad Penny -115


-----------------------------------------------------------------------

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Not bad EH !

If so am i seeing correct at the 4:00 Minute mark of the first Girl in the movie section their is FULL NUDITY!:nohead:
if i remember correctly last year their wasn't Any!!
I'm not complaining but at had it on when my son was in the room. opps.:sadbb:

oh well as i found thru this years dvd their is more nudity in the extra and group events parts.
i guess betus has gone porno on us
Good Job Guys :toast:

check it out for yourself guys.

www.betus.com/ats/12444/miss-betus
:niceass:

www.betus.com/ats/12444/girls

ps; Does anybody have this 4pack dvd set that you can get with pts? if so how is it?:dancefool
 

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Dwayne Bryant

<table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">7:10 PM ET
Major League Baseball
Houston Astros (Wolf) at Cincinnati Reds (Cueto)
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Bonus Play On: Houston Astros (Listed Pitchers) +121
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb">
hou.gif
Houston took the series opener last night, making them 5-1 against the Reds this season and 6-0 in the last six played at Great American Ball Park. Houston's Randy Wolf is 7-2 with a 3.20 ERA in his career against the Reds, including a win this season in which he went 7 innings and allowed 2 runs on just 4 hits while striking out 9. The Reds are batting just .204 and scoring 4.02 runs per game against lefties over their last ten games.

Cincy's Johnny Cueto has struggled lately. Cueto owns a 5.50 ERA over his last three starts. Don't expect that to improve tonight, as Cueto is 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA in two career starts against the Astros (both this season). The batters on Houston's current roster are a combined 13-for-42 (.310 BA) with four doubles and two homers (.548 slugging %). Houston is batting .288 and scoring 6.55 runs per game against righties over their last ten games. The Reds are 2-9 in Cueto's last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Reds are also 2-11 in their last 13 overall.
Take Houston/Wolf over Cincinnati/Cueto.
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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Wild Bill

Fri:
Pittsburgh -3 (5 units)
Eagles-Pittsburgh Under 33 1/2 (5 units)
Seattle +2 1/2 (5 units)

Sat:
St L-Tenn Under 33 (5 units)
Dallas +3 (5 units)

Mon:
Bengals +3 1/2 (5 units)

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St Louis +155 (5 units)
Pirates +160 (5 units)
Astros +125 (5 units)
Mets -135 (5 units)
Rockies +110 (5 units)
Braves-Dbacks Under 9 (5 units)
Dodgers -110 (5 units)
Orioles -170 (5 units)
A's-Tigers Under 9 1/2 (5 units)
Cleveland +120 (5 units)
Twins -125 (5 units)
Boston +100 (5 units)
Angels -145 (5 units)
Seattle +150 (5 units)
 

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Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NFL Power Play for Friday is:

10* Take Pittsburgh (-1) over Philadelphia (NFL Power Play)
7:30 PM EST

Philadelphia
? 1-9 ATS in road games the first two weeks of the pre-season
? 9-20 ATS in pre-season when the line posted is between +3 and -3
? 6-21 SU in pre-season as a road underdog since 1993
 

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Touthouse

Seattle Seahawks +3.0

The Seattle Seahawks fits nicely into what we like to call a GAP system on Friday night, and they get the call as road underdogs when they visit the Minnesota Vikings. The first step in this system to group each team into either the Good, Average or Poor category (ergo, GAP) based solely on their win totals of last season. Well, the Seahawks grade out as Good while the Vikings grade out as Average, This is significant because higher classed road underdogs are 77-51, 60.2 percent against the spread the last seven preseasons. Looking at the specific teams, the Seahawks are a nice 6-2 straight up and ATS on the road during the preseason over the last four years. They also like to get off on the right foot in these exhibition games, going 4-1 both SU and ATS in the last five openers. Conversely, the Vikings have lost their last two August openers and since they are a popular pick to win the NFC Central, they will in all likelihood be more concerned with staying healthy than posting wins during this preseason. Finally, the Vikings have been distracted lately by all of the talk concerning the acquisition of Brett Favre, which may result in their corps of young quarterbacks pressing a bit in an attempt to impress. Pick: Seahawks +3


San Francisco 49ers +3.0

The San Francisco 49ers and the Oakland Raiders have had a couple of joint practices this summer, so they are both somewhat familiar with what to expect this week, which automatically gives value to the underdog. Besides the 49ers are a very young team that may seemingly get as many wins this preseason as they do the entire regular season, so they probably have the greater motivation to win early between these two teams. Then again, that would be nothing new considering that the Niners are 3-2 straight up and 3-1-1 against the spread vs. their Bay Area rivals the last five years in preseason. Now the Raiders are expected to improve this season, thanks to their first round draft pick Darren McFadden, but you just know that they will handle Run DMC with kid gloves during the exhibition season, not wanting to risk a serious injury. Thus, we will see the same last place team as last year for the most part, at least in the early weeks. Look for the underdog Niners to pull a confidence-building upset here. Pick: 49ers +3
 

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EZ WINNERS

MLB

1 STAR: (951) ST. LOUIS (+$145) over Chicago
(Listing Looper only)
(Risking $100 to win $145)
1:20PM Central Time

1 STAR: (962) COLORADO (+$116) over San Diego
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $116)
8:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (977) NY YANKEES (+$123) over LA Angels
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $100)
9:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (965) LA DODGERS (-$118) over San Francisco
(Action)
(Risking $118 to win 4100)
9:15PM Central Time


*** EZ WINNERS CFL ***

1 STAR: (287) EDMONTON (+4.5) over British Columbia
(Risking $110 to win $100)
9:30PM Central Time
 

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NFL PRESEASON

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
The in-state rivalry between the Eagles and Steelers opens the preseason for both teams at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh.
Philadelphia was 0-2 SU and ATS on the highway last preseason and they are just 1-7 SU (3-5 ATS) on the road the last three summers. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh finished last August 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS and has gone 5-5 SU and ATS at home the last five preseasons.
The home team is 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three preseason meetings between these two, including last year when the Steelers scored a 27-13 win as three-point favorites in Pittsburgh.
Steelers? fans won?t see much of starting QB Ben Roethlisberger, who will play just the opening series for coach Mike Tomlin. Veteran backup Charlie Batch will follow Roethlisberger for about three series and then rookies Dennis Dixon and Mike Potts will split the rest of the action under center. The Steelers will be without several key players, including safety Troy Polamalu.
Philadelphia?s QB rotation is set with starter Donovan McNabb playing the first quarter, followed by A.J. Feeley, who will play the middle two quarters with Kevin Kolb mopping up the fourth quarter. The Eagles are thin on the defensive side of the ball due to injuries, and among the key players sitting out will be newly acquired cornerback Asante Samuel.
The over is 4-1 in the Eagles? last five preseason games while the under is 8-1 in the Steelers? last two preseasons and 10-3 the last three.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH



Seattle at Minnesota
Mike Holmgren takes his Seahawks east to Minneapolis for their preseason opener against third-year coach Brad Childress and the Vikings inside the Metrodome.
The Seahawks went 3-1 SU and ATS last summer, and they are 12-8 SU and 11-9 ATS over the last five preseasons. The straight-up winner is 12-0 ATS in their last three preseasons and 19-1 ATS in their last five Augusts.
Minnesota is 4-3-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in Childress? first two preseasons, and the Vikings are 2-2 SU and ATS at home during this span.
These two squared off in Week 3 of the preseason last August with Seattle scoring a 30-13 victory at home as a seven-point favorite.
Seahawks starting QB Matt Hasselbeck will likely only play two series, giving way to tested backup Seneca Wallace for the rest of the half. QB Charlie Frye, acquired from the Browns early last season, is slated to play most of the second half with Dalton Bell possibly getting some mop-up action.
Minnesota starts QB Tavaris Jackson, who will play the first quarter, followed by veteran Gus Frerotte, who was held out of practice early in the week but still should see some playing time. Rookie John David Booty will play most of the second half, with Brooks Bollinger possibly getting some fourth-quarter action.
For Seattle, the over is 8-4 the last three Augusts, while the Vikings have topped the total in seven of 12 games the last three preseasons, including last year?s head-to-head matchup between these two topping the 38-point total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



San Francisco at Oakland
The Raiders and 49ers kick off their preseasons with their annual August clash for Bay Area bragging rights, with this one taking place at McAfee Coliseum in Oakland.
The Raiders went 2-2 SU and ATS in coach Lane Kiffin?s first preseason in 2007, going 2-0 SU and ATS at home. They are 4-0 SU and ATS in front of the home fans the last two Augusts and 7-3 (6-4 ATS) in Oakland the last five summers.
Meanwhile, San Francisco has been a disaster on the road in the preseason lately, going 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS dating to 2003, including 0-6 (3-3 ATS) on the road under third-year coach Mike Nolan. Over the last five seasons, the 49ers are 5-7 overall in August, but 8-4 ATS.
The 49ers won last season?s preseason battle 26-21 at home, covering as a three-point chalk. In 2006 in Oakland, the Raiders dominated San Francisco, winning 23-7 as three-point home favorites.
San Francisco?s J.T. O?Sullivan gets the start at QB and will lead the starters through the first quarter. Former starter Alex Smith will play the second quarter and into the third with Shaun Hill finishing the game.
Former No. 1 overall pick JaMarcuss Russell, who missed the entire 2007 preseason in a contract holdout, will start his first under center for Oakland and lead the first-string in the first quarter. Russell will give way to Andrew Walter in the second quarter, with Marques Tuiasosopo and Sam Keller splitting time in second half.
The Raiders have stayed under the total in 10 of their last 13 preseason contests, and the last time these two met in Oakland, the game stayed under the posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OAKLAND and UNDER




NATIONAL LEAGUE

Florida (61-54) at N.Y. Mets (60-54)
The two teams trying to run down the Phillies in the N.L. East race kick off a three-game series at Shea Stadium in New York, where the Marlins send Ricky Nolasco (11-6, 3.91 ERA) to the hill to meet Mets? southpaw Oliver Perez (7-7, 4.12).
Florida trails Philadelphia by 1? games and sits just a half-game ahead of the Mets after both squads scored wins Thursday. New York got a two-run, walk-off homer from David Wright to beat the Padres 5-3, while the Marlins were blanking the Phillies 3-0 in Philadelphia. The Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10 games, while the Mets have stumbled of late, losing six of their last nine overall.
Nolasco has struggled recently, posting a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts, but he is still 6-2 on the road this season with a 3.91 ERA. The Marlins have won nine of his last 11 starts but they are just 2-2 in his last four and he?s allowed three runs or more in three of the four outings. He?s seen the Mets twice this season and beaten them both starts, allowing a combined five runs on 16 hits in 11 innings. For his career he is 2-3 with a 8.13 ERA in eight appearances against New York.
Perez has had an up-and-down season, but lately he?s been on, posting a 2.75 ERA in his last three outings, including a six-inning stint in Florida on July 20 when he gave up one run in six innings of a 4-1 victory. The Mets have won seven of his last 10 starts, and they?ve won all three of his outings against the Marlins this season as he?s given them six innings in each effort. New York is 8-2 in his last 10 versus Florida.
The Marlins are 6-0 in Nolasco?s last six starts as an underdog and 12-5 in their last 17 games as a ?dog overall, while New York is 6-1 in Perez?s last seven home starts and 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
The over is 8-1 in Nolasco?s last nine road outings and 40-20-6 in the Marlins last 66 on the highway. For the Mets, the under is on a 7-0 run when Perez takes the mound, but the over is 8-3 in their last 11 overall. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on streaks of 36-17-3 overall, 6-0-2 in games at Shea, 4-1 with Perez on the hill at Shea and 5-1 when Nolasco toes the rubber against the Mets.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (66-49) at Chicago White Sox (63-49)
The Red Sox shoot for their eighth straight victory over the White Sox when they send lefty Jon Lester (10-3, 3.14) to the mound opposite southpaw Mark Buehrle (8-10, 4.07) to open a three-game weekend set at U.S. Cellular Field.
Boston lost the first matchup with Chicago last season and then proceeded to win seven straight, including a four-game sweep in the Windy City in late August, pounding White Sox pitching for 46 runs in the four games. Most recently, the Red Sox come into this one having won five of six overall, including back-to-back 8-2 wins in Kansas City on Tuesday and Wednesday before taking Thursday off.
Chicago is just 4-4 in its last eight after losing 8-3 at home against Detroit last night.
Lester has been locked in lately, going 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last three starts, and the Red Sox have gone 27-9 the last 36 times he?s taken the ball. On Saturday, he gave up two runs in seven innings of a 12-2 win over the A?s, and he?s allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 outings. In his lone start against the White Sox Lester gave up two runs in six innings of a 7-2 win in July 2006.
Buehrle has a whopping 7.02 ERA in his last three games and gave up eight runs on 14 hits in just 4 1/3 innings of action of a 9-7 loss in Kansas City six days ago. The White Sox have dropped four of his last six starts overall and five of his last six against the Red Sox, against whom Buehrle is 4-4 with a 4.46 ERA in 68 2/3 innings.
Boston is on runs of 21-8 against southpaws and 43-21 against teams from the A.L. Central. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 41-18 in their last 59 home games and 13-3 in their past 16 at home against left-handed starters, but just 1-7 in their last eight against A.L. East squads.
The over is 8-2-3 in Boston?s last 13 games following an off day. Meanwhile the over is 7-2 in the Chicago?s last nine at home and 16-4-1 in its last 21 overall. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on streaks of 7-0 overall, 6-0 in Chicago and 4-1-1 the last six times Buehrle has faced the Red Sox.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and OVER
 

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Scott Ferrall

BASEBALL LOCKS FOR FRIDAY

Looper and Cards +140 at Wrigley--get some of that shit slick ! Remember I hit the Bucs there and the Astros--so don't be a hater

Pirates +150 in Ferralladelphia--that's what I'm talking about--that new Bucs lineup toasting the Phillies at Citizens--Maholm over Blanton

Astros +115 in Cincinnati--Hoston's been hot and the Reds have not--go for it--Wolf over Cueto

Mets -135 over Marlins at Shea--Oly Perez is too tough at home for Nolasco

Atlanta +110 at Arizona as Campillo burns another team that doubts him--even though the Braves have been swallowing lately

Barry Zito (even odds) over Brad Penny and the Dodgers--Penny is making his first start in forever and I say he gets jacked in the Bay

TB -165 and Shields at Seattle over shitty Silva and the M's

Weaver -165 and Angels over Ian Shaky Legs Kennedy in Anaheim

Boston -110 at ChiSox--Jon Lester has been on fire winning his last five starts and Buehrle has dropped two straight--he gave up eight earnedruns in 4 innings in his last shit performance


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR THURSDAY

TB-SEATT UNDER 8 RUNS

DET-CHISOX UNDER 10.5 RUNS

NY-TEX UNDER 12 RUNS

OAK-TOR OVER 7 RUNS

ATL-ARIZ OVER 10 RUNS

HOUS-CINCY OVER 9.5 RUNS

WASH-COLO OVER 9.5 RUNS

LA-CARDS UNDER 8.5 RUNS

FLA-PHILLY UNDER 9 RUNS

SD-NY OVER 7.5 RUNS




BASEBALL FREE B's FOR FRIDAY

TEXAS +155 at Baltimore--Rangers bats kick it in at Camden--I like the price for the risk

Kenny Rogers -155 at Comerica vs the slumpin A's

CLEVELAND +110 and Paul Byrd at Toronto--you love when these bets hit, don't you ?

KC +120 at Kaufmann over the Twinkies--take that to the window bitches

SD at Colorado--Take Peavy at -120 in Coors--I say he beats Rusch with that low ERA under 3


PAIN DAY GAMES ON FRIDAY

Eagles +3 over Pittsburgh--and on the road no less ! Pittsburgh has lost a lot and it will show, especially up front

Vikings -3 to Seattle--Minney gets this one and everyone will start talking about how good they are going to be--NOT !

RAIDERS -3 to the 49ers--Because San Fran takes it in the ass regularly--how you like them apples ?
 

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Gator Report

NFLX Top Angles

NFLX Friday:philadelphia is 1-9 ATS on the road during the first two weeks of the preseason.


MLB 70% Super Situation

MLB Friday:play Under MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher with a team that is averaging 0.35 or less SB's per game on the season, after a combined score of 3 runs or less, 39-9 Under last five seasons (81.2%) PLAY: Pittsburgh / Philadelphia UNDER 10 (-125)


MLB Top Angles:

MLB Friday:Cubs are 13-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who has allowed less than 1.75 BB's per start this season.

MLB Friday: Nolasco (Fla) is 6-0 against the money line versus teams that are averaging 0.85 or more SB's per game this season (Team's Record).

MLB Friday:Nolasco (Fla) is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season (Team's Record).

MLB Friday:penny (LAD) is 10-1 against the money line in road games versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season over the last 3 seasons (Team's Record)

MLB Friday:Zito (SF) is 0-9 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Friday:Minnesota is 12-0 against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games this season
 

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Wunderdog

St Louis at Chicago
Pick: Chicago -160

Like any good team the Cubs are prone to having a "hiccup" during the course of a 162-game season and they have experienced theirs. The Cubs went 15-18 for a stretch, but the before and after mark is an impressive 54-28. The home record during the little hiccup was just 7-6, and sandwiched around that is an impressive 36-10 mark. So when we see around 1.5-1 odds for them at home. The Cubbies have won nine of their last 11 and are back on track, so this game is chock full of value in our eyes. The Cubs bring Ted Lilly to the mound who got off to a horrendous start, but the Cubs have now been 13-5 in his last 18 starts including 8-1 in his last nine at home, and things look even better. Brandon Looper has made only two starts on the road against a team with a winning record and the Cards have dropped both games. We like the Cubs in this one at home.
 

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