Goy Saturday

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

Minnesota -124 15 Units...making or breaking my week

Liriano can and will completely shut this anemic offense down. Minnesota hits righties second to Texas in all of MLB. Royals are around the middle of the pack vs Lefties. I don't know why but I got erect when I saw this line...I've never had a feeling like this before about a baseball game. I really, really like it and will be doubling down everything I am up on the week on this one play. If I lose I'll be even (thanks to fading a certain somebody) and if I win I will be in the midst of shoveling dirt onto my bookies grave. It's all or nothing for me tomorrow on this one litttttle game

raiderguy · Aug 9, 2008

Good luck bro. I'll be taking a closer look at this one.

Mr.Cover123 · Aug 9, 2008

Royals rocked Liriano earlier this year, but last start he looked like his old self.

Good luck, but Greinke is good too.

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

Not scared of Greinke only because of what Minny does to righties...they are hovering around .290 ...that is simply unheard of

Mr.Cover123 · Aug 9, 2008

Greinke pitched well earlier this year vs. the Twins and didn't get the win because Soria wasn't unavailable. To be honest I actually like the Royals in this spot, but I hope the Twins win since your putting alot on them.

Might want to look at the Royals stats vs. lefties their actually pretty good.

PokertoSportsbettor · Aug 9, 2008

be careful man - i was leaning royals but will take a closer look at it.

Here are Liriano's numbers:

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=s-period></TD><TH class=s-wl scope=col>W-L</TH><TH class=s-era scope=col>ERA</TH><TH class=s-ip scope=col>IP</TH><TH class=s-bb scope=col>BB</TH><TH class=s-so scope=col>SO</TH><TH class=s-avg scope=col>AVG</TH></TR><TR class=zebra jQuery1218257281736="3"><TH class=s-period scope=row>Career</TH><TD class=s-wl>14-8</TD><TD class=s-era>3.19</TD><TD class=s-ip>161.0</TD><TD class=s-bb>55</TD><TD class=s-so>189</TD><TD class=s-avg>.217</TD></TR><TR><TH class=s-period scope=row>Season</TH><TD class=s-wl>1-3</TD><TD class=s-era>7.16</TD><TD class=s-ip>16.1</TD><TD class=s-bb>16</TD><TD class=s-so>12</TD><TD class=s-avg>.295</TD></TR><TR class=zebra jQuery1218257281736="4"><TH class=s-period scope=row>Away</TH><TD class=s-wl>0-2</TD><TD class=s-era>16.88</TD><TD class=s-ip>5.1</TD><TD class=s-bb>8</TD><TD class=s-so>4</TD><TD class=s-avg>.458</TD></TR><TR><TH class=s-period scope=row>Vs. Kansas City</TH><TD class=s-wl>0-1</TD><TD class=s-era>7.71</TD><TD class=s-ip>4.2</TD><TD class=s-bb>5</TD><TD class=s-so>4</TD><TD class=s-avg>.333</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

KC beat him 5-1 last time they met. I wouldn't put all my profits on this one but BOL

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

I looked into the lefties / Royals...they rank around 12th in MLB...like I said about the middle of the pack...sometimes you cant explain everything guys...talk me out of it all you want...God shined a light on this line as I was looking over plays

homedawg · Aug 9, 2008

PokertoSportsbettor said:
be careful man - i was leaning royals but will take a closer look at it.

Here are Liriano's numbers:

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=s-period></TD><TH class=s-wl scope=col>W-L</TH><TH class=s-era scope=col>ERA</TH><TH class=s-ip scope=col>IP</TH><TH class=s-bb scope=col>BB</TH><TH class=s-so scope=col>SO</TH><TH class=s-avg scope=col>AVG</TH></TR><TR class=zebra jQuery1218257281736="3"><TH class=s-period scope=row>Career</TH><TD class=s-wl>14-8</TD><TD class=s-era>3.19</TD><TD class=s-ip>161.0</TD><TD class=s-bb>55</TD><TD class=s-so>189</TD><TD class=s-avg>.217</TD></TR><TR><TH class=s-period scope=row>Season</TH><TD class=s-wl>1-3</TD><TD class=s-era>7.16</TD><TD class=s-ip>16.1</TD><TD class=s-bb>16</TD><TD class=s-so>12</TD><TD class=s-avg>.295</TD></TR><TR class=zebra jQuery1218257281736="4"><TH class=s-period scope=row>Away</TH><TD class=s-wl>0-2</TD><TD class=s-era>16.88</TD><TD class=s-ip>5.1</TD><TD class=s-bb>8</TD><TD class=s-so>4</TD><TD class=s-avg>.458</TD></TR><TR><TH class=s-period scope=row>Vs. Kansas City</TH><TD class=s-wl>0-1</TD><TD class=s-era>7.71</TD><TD class=s-ip>4.2</TD><TD class=s-bb>5</TD><TD class=s-so>4</TD><TD class=s-avg>.333</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

KC beat him 5-1 last time they met. I wouldn't put all my profits on this one but BOL

Liriano was nowhere near to ready at the beginning of the season. he is a totally different pitcher now. those stats should be disregarded. i think we are going to see him pitch his team into the playoffs the next month and half of the season. he isn't throwing as hard as he was before his injury, but his slider is still as nasty as anyone and he has been downright dominant the past few months. the way KC struggles offensivly at times leads me to believe they will have a tough time. i will be on Minnesota rather large myself. the only thing that bothers me is i was expecting slightly higher of a number

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

I know Lirianos stats too...Im going off his recent play...hes ready to roll...all a good pitcher needs is a little bit of confidence and a little bit of offense to back him...ill take 290 vs righties as a little bit of offense

PokertoSportsbettor · Aug 9, 2008

Have not seen liriano pitch as of late but your confidence in him makes me wonder about my lean. All i can say is BOL to the both of you :toast:- not sure if I am going to play this one yet.

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

PS...the dogs are going to bark 2moro...Im liking wayyyy too many dogs...making me nervous a little bit...its either gonna be a very large day for me or a very long walk to the garage at the end of the night extension cord in hand

Mr.Cover123 · Aug 9, 2008

Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right handed starter. While the Royals are 4-0 their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter and 8-2 in Greinke's last 10 home starts.

One good stat in your favor is Royals are 0-5 in Greinke's last 5 starts vs. Twins, but Greinke is a better pitcher this year too.

Also Mauer is 3-19 and Morneau 4-21 in their career vs. Greinke with only 3 RBI combined.

I hope the Twins win, but I don't see this as an easy win.

Low Rollin' 'Noles Fan · Aug 9, 2008

Don't like a side in this one, but do like the under. Both pitchers been doing well lately.

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

I just hope the team physician forgets to feed Grienke his meds...I hope hes twitching out there yelling into his glove by the 3rd inning

wallybell · Aug 9, 2008

Grienke has been great his last two starts and has been good at home all year. I wouldn't go against Grienke in this spot but that's just me.

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

Mr.Cover123 said:
Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right handed starter. While the Royals are 4-0 their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter and 8-2 in Greinke's last 10 home starts.

One good stat in your favor is Royals are 0-5 in Greinke's last 5 starts vs. Twins, but Greinke is a better pitcher this year too.

Also Mauer is 3-19 and Morneau 4-21 in their career vs. Greinke with only 3 RBI combined.

I hope the Twins win, but I don't see this as an easy win.

ya know mr.cover...u are one of the very few knowledgeable baseball posters in all of the rx...there are only a few and you are definitely one of them...I honestly appreciate your constructive opposite feelings when you post...points are always taken seriously

gl whatever you take tomorrow but I will 100% be riding the twinks

Mamon · Aug 9, 2008

take Phillies too...

ELMO75 · Aug 9, 2008

Is this play more a gut feeling? or just number crunching and odds making?
I tend not to describe my picks as game of the "so and so" as not to attract negative feedback or the I "told you so" replies. Definite lean to the Twins more because of lineups rather than pitching matchup. The points Cover brings up w/ Grienke implies the under may come in on this one also.

wallybell · Aug 9, 2008

Royals are 8-2 in Greinkes last 10 home starts.

seriousaddiction · Aug 9, 2008

Its odds and gut...Also I thought the line would be higher...Liriano is a number one starter in the making...time to gather scooch my dog and go to bed and talk to him about my plays for tomorrow...see what he thinks---I mean he is named after gambling