Service Plays Sunday 8/10/08

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cubs yesterday. Today it's the Cubs.
The surplus is 135 sirignanos.

Armvin Sports Mlb

8/10/2008 Chicago White Sox -114

Big Al Mcmordie

Game: Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

At 1:15 pm our member selection is on the the Cincinnati Reds over the Houston Astros. 30 year-old righthanded veteran and Reds' strikeout artist Aaron Harang will be activated from the disabled list today in order to make his comeback start in this game. It will be Harang's first start since July 8 when he went down with a forearm strain. But this game is much less about Harang's comeback than it is about another righthanded strikeout pitcher on this roster: Edinson Volquez. Volquez looked like an early season favorite for the NL Cy Young award, but lately he has been getting rocked and something is clearly wrong with either his mechanics or conditioning. So the Reds want to get skip Volquez this time around which will give him two days off and allow him to face the Pirates when that series begins on Tuesday in Pittsburgh. With the Reds in last place and out of the hunt for the postseason, Cincy management doesn't want to do anything to risk the health of what could be a very potent rotation in 2009, so it wants to be very careful with Volquez. The Reds likely will also be careful with Harang and monitor his pitch count closely, but this looks like a great comeback spot for him. Prior to his injury, Harang had been pretty effective at home (3.88 ERA) and although he hasn't faced the Astros yet in '08, he was dominant against them last season winning two of three starts with an ERA of 3.32. Lefty Wandy Rodriguez goes for the 'Stros, and he has really struggled lately and things may not get any better for him this afternoon as the Reds are hitting 25 points higher vs. lefties than righties (.264 vs. .239). Take Cincy.

Sports Gambling Hotline

Minnesota -115 at KANSAS CITY

Break out the brooms today in KC, as Minnesota just owns this Kansas City club.

With their win last night, Minnesota is 7-1 in games played at Kansas City, and 9-2 overall in the season series. You want more domination? The Twins are 18-9 at Kauffman Stadium since 2006, and 30-18 overall versus the Royals in that same span.

Baker will go against Meche, and while Baker has been hit hard of late, he has turned in some solid numbers against Kansas City, winning his last 4 starts against them, allowing just 7 runs in 30 innings of work.

Gil Meche will go for Kansas City, and Meche has certainly been rolling with wins in his last 4 starts, but the Twins have been able to beat Meche in both of his starts against them this year, scoring 11 runs in 12 frames of work.

Gotta stick with the Minnesota momentum today.

Play on the Twins to break out the broom.
4* Twins

Gator Report

MLB 70% Super Situations:

MLB Sunday: Play Against MLB home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, 73-23 SU since 1997 (76%)

PLAY: Cleveland Indians -135


MLB Top Angles

MLB Sunday: Milwaukee is 21-3 SU against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Sunday: Washington is 1-13 SU against the money line in road games versus an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Sunday: San Diego is 4-18 SU against the money line versus a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season.

MLB Sunday: Cain (SF) is 5-20 SU against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons (Team's Record).

MLB Sunday: Detroit is 7-24 SU against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.

MLB Sunday: Boston is 3-13 SU against the money line in road games versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season.

JEFFERSONSPORTS 3-0 yesterday
houst+120 w
detroit-190 w
colts nfl +4 w

63-43-1 last 107 plays (60%)

MLB RECORD
+29.99 units (+2999 playing 100 per game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR SUNDAY
CLEVELAND-133
LA ANGELS-125

HONDO

The beat goes on and on for Hondo, who saw his earnings tumble to 390 kittles last night when the Nats failed an important assignment in Milwaukee.

Today, he'll go with the Sox over the Sawx in Chitown- 10 units on Floyd.
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Carlo Campanella comp

Game: Cleveland Indians at Tampa Bay Rays Aug 10 2008 1:05PM

Prediction: Cleveland Indians

Reason:


Cleveland ends up a small road Favorites here as they start Lee on the mound in Toronto on Sunday. With Cleveland leading this series 4-1 yjis year, we'll back this road chalk knowing that Lee is an awesome 11-2 against fellow A.L. teams with a team batting average below .265% this season! Total pitching mismatch as he faces Scott Richmond, who's been shelled for a combined 6 Earned Runs in his last 11 Innings Pitched.

7* Play On Cleveland

Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Aug 10 2008 3:35PM

Prediction: over

Reason: These two team's love playing the over when they meet up. The over is 12-3 in the Yankees last 15 games. The over is 9-3 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 7-2 in Pettittes last 9 games as underdog. Over his last 3 starts his ERA is 8.27 and all 3 games played over the total. The Yankees played over the total in his last 3 starts vs. the Angels. LA has played the over in 6 of their last 7 games. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games. The over is 3-0 in Saunders last 3 starts. The over is 9-0 in the Yankees last 9 trips to LA and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings overall between the clubs. Play the over.

Insider Sports Report

Chiago White Sox -120 over Boston (Buchholz) (MLB)

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE
Florida (61-56) at N.Y. Mets (62-54)
Red-hot Mike Pelfrey (10-7, 3.85 ERA) leads the Mets against Josh Johnson (2-0, 3.34) and the Marlins as these two N.L. East rivals wrap up a three-game series at Shea Stadium. New York has taken the first two games by scores of 3-0 and 8-6, moving to 4-1 in its last five. The Mets are on further runs of 15-3 at home, 7-1 on Sunday and 10-1 with Pelfrey starting.
Florida has dropped four of its last six to drop into third pace in the N.L. East, a half-game behind New York. On the bright side, the Marlins are 5-0 in Johnson?s five starts this season and 7-2 in his last nine road starts.
New York has won eight of 11 meetings with Florida this season, but the Mets are 0-4 in Pelfrey?s last four starts against the Fish.
Pelfrey has been on a tear the last two months, going 8-1 with two no-decisions (both Mets wins), while posting a 3.15 ERA along the way. On Tuesday against San Diego, he yielded two runs on nine hits in 6 2/3 innings in a 6-5 victory, the Mets? sixth straight home win behind Pelfrey.
The 24-year-old Johnson, whose first outing of the season came a month ago after his comeback from elbow surgery, has earned two straight wins. On Tuesday at Philadelphia, he threw six shutout innings of five-hit ball in an 8-2 rout.
Pelfrey is 6-4 with a 2.29 ERA in 12 home starts this season, but he?s 1-3 with an inflated 6.39 ERA in five career starts against Florida. Johnson is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA in three road starts this year and 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in four career appearances against New York.
In this rivalry, the over is on runs of 15-3-2 overall, 7-1-2 at Shea Stadium and 4-1 with Pelfrey facing Florida. For New York, the over streaks include 11-2-2 against right-handers and 7-0-2 with Pelfrey facing winning teams. Finally, the over is 29-11-5 in Floriday?s last 45 road games and 9-3 in Johnson?s last 12 starts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS and OVER




St. Louis (65-54) at Chicago Cubs (70-47)
The streaking Cubs send Ryan Dempster (12-5, 2.93 ERA) to the hill at Wrigley Field to wrap up a three-game set against the N.L. Central rival Cardinals and Chris Carpenter (0-0, 1.00).
The teams split the first two games, with Chicago winning 3-2 in 10 innings Friday and St. Louis cruising 12-3 Saturday. Chicago remains on a 10-3 overall tear and is on additional runs of 6-1 against winning teams, 10-3 in division play and 12-3 behind Dempster at home.
Despite yesterday?s win, the Cardinals have still dropped four of their last seven and they?re in the midst of further funks of 1-5 inside the division and 4-11 against winning teams. In addition, the Cubs have owned this rivalry lately, winning 16 of the last 21 clashes, including four of the last six at Wrigley.
Dempster, who at one point was 10-0 at home this year, has gone 0-2 with a no-decision (also a Cubs loss) in his last three outings at Wrigley. On Monday against Houston, he yielded two runs on five hits in five innings but departed after a lengthy rain delay and got no offensive support in a 2-0 loss.
Carpenter, the 2005 N.L. Cy Young winner, missed all of last season after having elbow surgery and is making just his third start since coming back July 30. On Tuesday against the Dodgers, he threw five shutout innings, allowing three hits and no walks but got a no-decision in a 6-4 Cardinals win. Like Dempster, Carpenter was forced from his last outing after a long rain delay.
Dempster is 10-2 with a 2.77 ERA in 14 home starts this year, but 4-5 with a 5.09 ERA in 34 career appearances (eight starts) against St. Louis. Carpenter has just one road start this season, getting a no-decision in a 7-2 win over Atlanta, and he?s 7-2 with a 3.07 ERA in 13 career starts against Chicago.
The under is 8-1 in Dempster?s last nine home starts and has cashed in four of the last six in this rivalry, but the over for St. Louis is on streaks of 10-3-1 overall, 9-1-1 on the highway and 11-1-1 facing righties on the road.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS




AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (67-50) at Chicago White Sox (64-51)
The White Sox give the ball to Gavin Floyd (11-6, 3.66 ERA) for the third game of a four-game set at U.S. Cellular Field against the Red Sox, who will counter with Clay Buchholz (2-7, 5.94). The teams have split the first two games, with Boston winning 6-2 on Saturday. The White Sox are 38-18 at home this year, and they are on runs of 21-10 against right-handed starters and 10-3 in Floyd?s last 13 starts.
Boston has won six of its last eight games, but the Red Sox are still on slides of 17-37 on the road against winning teams, 1-8 when Buchholz works on the road and 1-6 overall behind Buchholz.
This is the first series of the year between these two teams, but Boston is 8-1 in the last nine contests going back to 2007, including 5-1 in Chicago.
The White Sox are 3-0 in Floyd?s last three starts, although the right-hander did get roughed up a bit Tuesday against Detroit, allowing five runs on eight hits in four innings and getting a no-decision as the Sox scored four runs in the 14th inning to rally for a 10-8 home win. Chicago is 7-1 in Floyd?s last eight starts at U.S. Cellular.
Buchholz hasn?t gotten a win since May 2, and he?s 0-4 with a no-decision since returning from a minor-league stint July 11. On Monday at Kansas City, he allowed four runs on seven hits in six innings of a 4-3 loss, Boston?s sixth setback in Buchholz?s last seven trips to the hill.
Floyd is 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 12 home starts this season, and this will be 25-year-old?s first start against Boston ? though he does have one relief appearance, giving up four runs on four hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-1 home loss last year. Buchholz, meanwhile, is 0-5 with a bloated 7.68 ERA in eight road starts this year, and this will be the 23-year-old?s first career appearance against Chicago.
The first two games in this series have stayed under the total, snapping ?over? streaks of 7-0 overall in this rivalry and 6-0 in six meetings in Chicago. Still, the over for the White Sox is on runs of 16-6-1 overall, 4-0 with Floyd starting and 6-1-1 in Floyd?s last eight outings at U.S. Cellular. Finally, the over has cashed in four of Buchholz?s last five road starts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO WHITE SOX and OVER

WILD BILL

Sun., Aug 10


Over 8 1/2 Washington-Brewers (5 units)
Under 7 SF-LA Dodgers (5 units)
Under 8 1/2 to 10 runs Cubs-ST L (5 units)
Cleveland -135 (5 units)
Angels -140 (5 units)
Tampa -125 (5 units)
Pirates +210 (5 units)

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Sunday: Take CLEVELAND w/ Lee -140 over Toronto

Iron Horse 10* Favorite GOM

LA Angels

JOHN RYAN

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies (MLB)
Aug 10, 2008 1:35 PM EDT

Play Total: 10/-112 Over
Ai Simulator 3* graded play OVER Philadelphia/Pittsburgh ? AiS shows a 71% probability that 10 or more run swill be scored in this game. Pirates in a strong OVER position noting they are 22-11 OVER (+11.1 Units) in road games versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 OVER (+8.7 Units) in road games versus NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. Philly bats will come alive today in the bright afternoon sunshine noting they are 13-4 OVER (+8.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team sporting a win percentage of 46% to 49% in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER

Mike Devine Sports MLB

8/10/2008
Best Bet! LOS ANGELES DODGERS -124

Larry Ness

NL Game of the week

LA Dodgers.

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK

25 DIME PLAY



LOS ANGELES ANGELS

Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider

Chicago White Sox