Service Plays Tuesday 8/12/08

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FYI - RELAX NO DAY GAMES TODAY!

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty was waiting on the Yankees and Red Sox last night.

Today it's the Indians. The surplus is 185 sirignanos.

kerbysbaseball. MLB
8/12/2008
Best Bet! PITTSBURGH PIRATES 111

Tokay Sports Picks MLB
8/12/2008 NEW YORK YANKEES -107

Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (969) TOR Blue Jays and (970) DET Tigers. Take "(970) DET Tigers". Toronto has one of the weakest offenses in the AL, 11th in runs scored, even scoring 4 total runs in 3 games at Cleveland. Starter A.J. Burnett has an ERA of 5.40 this season against the powerful Detroit offense, plus a career 8.68 ERA in 18 innings against them. The Tigers are second in the AL in runs scored and average 5.7 runs per game at home. Starter Zach Miner has been strong all year (3.57 ERA) and is 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA his last three starts. A great spot for the home dog, Play the Tigers.
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Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (909) PHI Phillies and (910) LA Dodgers. Take "(909) PHI Phillies". I'm wrapping up the football week with a guaranteed side and total sweep on tonight's Bengals-Packers game. Go 2-0 or the rest of my Pre-Season package is FREE. Just $25 for the guaranteed sweep at my Solid Gold Club!

The Dodgers are back home following a couple of walk-off losses to the Giants. Derek Lowe is off his shortest and least effective stint all season. The Phillies have been mired in an offensive slump, but showed signs of life in winning the last two against the Pirates. Kyle Kendrick usually brings out the best in the Phils offense for some reason, and I'm going to back the road underdogs in this contest.
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JEFFERSONSPORTS --no plays yest

Hit 5 in a row

65-43-1 last 109 plays (60%)

MLB RECORD
+31.99 units (+3199 playing 100 per game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUESDAY
PITTSBURGH-105

more tomorrow

Big Al McMordie

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins
Prediction: New York Yankees

At 8:10 pm, our member selection is on the New York Yankees with Mike Mussina over Minnesota and Nick Blackburn. After battling injuries the last few years, the Moose is having a resurgent season, as he's gone 15-7 thus far for the Pinstripes, including a spectacular 6-1 away from home, with a 2.94 ERA. In his last game, Mussina threw seven shutout innings at Texas, and the Rangers are the best offensive club in baseball. His strikeout numbers in that victory reflected his dominance, as he whiffed six batters against just one walk. Blackburn has had a strong year as well, but struggled a bit in his last start (vs. light-hitting Seattle). Blackburn lasted just six innings, and put 10 Mariners on base, and gave up 3 runs. Look for the Yankees to win the second game of this series after dropping Monday night's game. Take New York.

Gator Report

MLB 70% Super Situations

MLB Tuesday: Play Against MLB (NL) road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher with a team that averages <=4.1 runs per game against a starting pitcher who has an E RA=4.20 to 5.20, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season,35-6 SU since 1997 (85.4%).

PLAY: Houston Astros -120


MLB Top Angles

MLB Tuesday: Pittsburgh is 8-23 SU against the money line in home games versus a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's per start over the last 2 seasons

MLB Tuesday: Oswalt (Hou) is 14-3 SU against the money line versus an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Tuesday: Boston is 26-7 SU as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.

MLB Tuesday: Minnesota is 23-8 SU against the money line versus a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.

MLB Tuesday: Seattle is 0-12 SU against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season.

MLB
Write-up


Tuesday, August 12

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Hot Pitchers
-- Karstens is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts for Pirates (15 IP).
-- Harden has a 2.40 RA in five starts for the Cubs.
-- Volstad is 2-2, 3.34 in his first five big league starts.
-- Santana is 1-0, 1.78 in his last four starts, but Mets lost five of his last six starts on foreign soil. Perez is 2-0, 2.03 in last couple of starts for Washington.
-- Astros are 7-3 in Oswalt's last ten home starts. Lincecum has a 2.05 RA in his last three starts.
-- Johnson is 5-1, 1.82 in his last six starts. Jimenez is 4-1, 2.65 in his last five starts.
-- Brewers won Suppan's last four road starts.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.

-- Miner is 3-1, 3.09 in four starts this season. Burnett is 5-1 in his last six starts, with a 3.00 RA.
-- Mussina is 5-1, 2.20 in his last seven starts. Twins are 8-1 in Blackburn's last nine Metrodome starts.
-- Rays are 13-4 in last 17 Kazmir starts, but he hasn't gotten an out past fifth inning in any of his last three outings (5.79 RA).

Cold Pitchers
-- Volquez is 1-2, 8.41 in his last four starts.
-- Braves are 1-5 when Morton starts at home.
-- Lohse is 1-2, 6.04 in his last four starts.
-- Padres are 1-5 at home when Baek starts.
-- Hamels is 0-2, 9.56 in his last three starts.

-- Zink makes Boston debut; he was 13-4, 2.89 in 25 starts at the AAA level. Feldman has a 7.71 RA in his last four starts.
-- Indians lost last three Sowers starts (0-1, 4.35).
-- Olsen is 2-3, 8.59 in his last five starts.
-- Vazquez is 1-5, 6.06 in his last eight starts. Bannister is 0-4 in his last seven starts, with an 8.55 RA.
-- Gonzalez lost his big league debut 5-1 in Toronto (gave up 4 runs in six IP).
-- Washburn is 1-4, 4.70 in his last six starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs are 11-3 in their last fourteen games.
-- Cardinals are 8-6 in their last fourteen games.
-- Brewers won last six games, allowing nine runs.
-- Astros won last five games, and twelve of last fourteen.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven road games. Dodgers are 9-3 in last dozen home games.

-- Orioles are 8-6 in their last fourteen games. Indians won their last four games, scoring 26 runs.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten games.
-- White Sox are 6-3 in their last nine home games.
-- Twins are 13-3 in their last sixteen games at the Metrodome.
-- Rays won five of last six games, but have injury issues, with Longoria-Crawford out, and Bartlett questionable.
-- Angels are 14-3 in their last seventeen home games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost six of their last nine games. Reds lost their last six games, allowing 46 runs.
-- Braves lost seven of last nine home games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six road games. Nationals lost last three games, outscored 16-4.
-- Giants are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of their last five games. Rockies also lost four of last five games, allowing 39 runs.
-- Padres lost four of their last five home games.

-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays lost three of their last four games. Tigers are 3-8 in their last eleven games.
-- Bronx lost last four games, is 6-11 in its last seventeen.
-- Oakland lost seven of its last eight home games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Three of last four Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Last four Florida home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Mets' last seven road games.
-- Over is 8-3 in Houston's last eleven games.
-- Over is 10-4 in Arizona's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Dodger home games.

-- Three of last four Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-2 in Baltimore's last ten road games.
-- Last four games at Metrodome stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-3 in Oakland's last thirteen games.
-- Five of last seven Angel home games went over the total.

HONDO

August 12, 2008
Hondo, who stopped the bleeding Sunday with the White Sox, started hemorrhaging anew last night when he lost the Pale Hose repeater and saw the earnings drop back to 390 cicottes.

Tonight, he'll put his financial fate in the hands of Lincecum, a former stable stalwart who fell out of favor a while back for conduct detrimental to Hondo Nation. Ten units on the Giants over Roy Harvey Oswalt.

Armvin Sports Mlb

8/12/2008 Milwaukee Brewers -120

chase88 said:

JEFFERSONSPORTS --no plays yest

Hit 5 in a row

65-43-1 last 109 plays (60%)

MLB RECORD
+31.99 units (+3199 playing 100 per game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUESDAY
PITTSBURGH-105

more tomorrow

Click to expand...

Thanks Chase

Mike Wynn


Heavy Hitter Lock Brewers

SCOTT FERRALL
Comp


Cleveland -120 over Baltimore--Sowers at home over Olson

Toronto -105 at Detroit--Burnett over Miner at Comerica--AJ has been tough as nails lately

Texas +145 on the road at Fenway against Boston--Feldman over Hansack--I've never even heard of him--thanks, I'll take the Rangers bats

Dodgers (even odds) over Hamels and the Phillies--Kershaw was lights out his last start, so I'm riding him until it ends

SD +110 with Baek on the upset special over Jeff Suppan and the Brewers

Arizona +125 at Colorado--Randy Johnson on the road at Coors over Jimenez

Jimmy The Moose
Comp
Game: Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Aug 12 2008 10:05PM

Prediction: over

Reason: Seattle has played the over in 6 of their last 8 games. The over is 7-3 in their last 10 games following an off day. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Angels have also played the over in 6 of their last 8 games. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Angels last 4 games following an off day. Both team's have played over the total in 2 of their starting pitcher's last 3 games. Look for both teams to score runs tonight. Play the over.

Vegas Steamline

Bonus Play Balt/ Cleve Over

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (66-55) at Florida (62-57)
Kyle Lohse (13-4, 3.80 ERA) goes for win No. 14 when he leads the Phillies against the Marlins and rookie right-hander Chris Volstad (3-2, 2.67) as this four-game series between playoff hopefuls continues at Dolphin Stadium
St. Louis took Monday?s game 4-2, dealing Florida its third loss in its last four games. Both teams have been very inconsistent of late, with the Cardinals just 5-6 in their last 11 and the Marlins going 10-11 in their last 21 contests. Also, St. Louis has lost 12 of its last 17 games against winning teams, while Florida has won 11 of its last 14 at home against clubs that sport a winning road record.
These teams are seeing each other for the first time in 2008. However, the Cardinals have owned this rivalry in recent years, winning 11 of the last 14 meetings overall and seven of the last eight in South Beach following Monday?s triumph.
Lohse has been off his game in his last three outings, going 1-2 with a bloated 7.27 ERA, failing to record a quality start in any of the three contests. In fact, the Cardinals are just 1-3 in his last four starts. On the road this year, Lohse is 6-2 despite a 5.16 ERA, and he?s a perfect 9-0 with a 2.52 ERA in 13 nighttime starts. Finally, he?s 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA in three career outings versus the Marlins.
Volstad has delivered a quality start in four of his first five big-league outings, with his best effort coming in Thursday?s 3-0 victory at Philadelphia, as he scattered three hits and four walks over six shutout innings. However, both of Volstad?s defeats have come at home, where he has a 5.73 ERA (seven earned runs allowed in 11 innings).
For St. Louis, the over is on streaks of 11-4-1 overall, 10-2-1 on the road and 7-2-1 versus the N.L. East. On the other hand, the under is 7-3 in Florida?s last 10 overall, 5-0 in Volstad?s first five big-league starts and 6-2 in the last eight Cardinals-Marlins clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS



Philadelphia (64-54) at L.A. Dodgers (59-59)
A battle of young, hard-throwing left-handers is on tap at Dodger Stadium, where the Phillies? Cole Hamels (9-8, 3.35) opposes 20-year-old Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 3.71) as these teams resume their four-game series.
Los Angeles built a 6-0 lead in Monday?s series opener, then held on for an 8-4 victory, ending a modest two-game slide while pulling within a game of first-place Arizona in the N.L. West race. The Dodgers are now on runs of 9-3 at home, 5-1 against southpaw starters and 5-0 versus the N.L. West.
The Phillies, who had a two-game winning streak snapped with last night?s defeat, have still won 10 of their last 15 overall, and they?re also on runs of 5-2 on the road and 23-10 when playing on Tuesdays.
Hamels was a tough-luck loser yet again in his last start, giving up three runs (two earned) on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings, but his offense hung him out to dry in a 3-0 setback. Philadelphia is just 2-4 in Hamels? last six outings, even though he?s given up two earned runs or fewer in four of those contests.
Kershaw has been lights out in his last three starts, giving up one run on 11 hits with 15 strikeouts in 19 innings (0.47 ERA). He?s 2-0 during this three-start stretch, including Thursday?s 4-1 win at St. Louis. Kershaw has surrendered two runs or fewer in eight of his first 12 major-league starts.
Hamels is 4-2 with a 3.75 ERA in six road starts, and he?s yet to face the Dodgers in his young career. Meanwhile, Kershaw is 1-2 despite a 2.81 ERA in six games at Dodger Stadium, and he?s making his first career start against Philadelphia in this one.
For Los Angeles, the under streaks include 12-6 overall, 27-12 at Dodger Stadium, 6-1 against lefty starters, 3-0 with Kershaw on the bump and 5-1 with Kershaw working at home. Also, the under is 5-1 in Philadelphia?s last six overall. However, with last night?s high-scoring affair, the over is now 8-2-1 in the last 11 series clashes between these clubs, including 7-0-1 at Dodger Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (63-56) at Minnesota (66-52)
The slumping Yankees send their best pitcher to the mound tonight in the Metrodome, as Mike Mussina (15-7, 3.27) battles the Twins and youngster Nick Blackburn (9-6, 3.60) in the middle game of a three-game set between teams fighting for a playoff spot.
Minnesota continued its recent dominance at home with Monday?s 4-0 shutout win over New York. The Twins are on a 21-5 roll inside the dome, going 6-2 in the last eight and 5-0 in Blackburn?s last five home starts. Additionally, Minnesota has won four of its last five and 11 of its last 16 overall. On the downside, despite last night?s win, Ron Gardenhire?s club has struggled with the Yankees in recent years, losing 39 of the last 54 meetings overall, including five of eight this season, but the team is 5-2 the last seven times its has faced Mussina.
Since coming out of the All-Star break with an eight-game winning streak, New York has lost 11 of its last 16, including six of the past eight (all on the road) and the last four in a row. However, the Yankees are 4-1 in Mussina?s last five trips to the hill overall and 6-1 in his last seven on the road.
Mussina was brilliant on Thursday at Texas, pitching seven scoreless innings en route to a 3-0 victory. Take out one bad hiccup at home against the Orioles on July 28, and the Moose has delivered seven consecutive starts in which he pitched at least six innings and allowed two runs or less in each contest, notching a 1.17 ERA in those seven outings.
Mussina is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA in eight road starts this season and 22-6 with a 3.06 ERA in 32 career starts against the Twins, including 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in two outings this year.
Like Mussina, Blackburn has been rock solid of late, allowing two earned runs or fewer in 11 of his last 15 starts, going 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in the last three. The right-hander is also 6-2 with a 2.54 ERA in 10 starts at home, eight of which Minnesota has won.
Blackburn?s only two career starts against the Yankees came earlier this year with opposite results: He gave up a run on five hits in 4 1/3 innings on June 1 at home, getting a no-decision in his team?s 5-1 victory, then went to Yankee Stadium on July 21 and got torched for six runs (three earned) in just 1 2/3 innings of a 12-4 defeat.
For Minnesota, the over is on runs of 5-2 overall, 4-2 against a right-handed starter and 4-0-1 on Tuesdays, while the Yankees have topped the total in 12 of their last 17 overall and seven of their last nine as a favorite. Also, the over is 13-7 in the last 20 series meetings between these teams in Minnesota.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA and OVER

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland A's
Tuesday, August 12th, 10:05 PM ET

What a season it's been for the Rays as they just set a new franchise record for wins with 71. Of course, bettors are more concerned with the team's incredible 25-2 mark as favorites of $1.50 or more. They have ace Scott Kazmir on the hill Tuesday and he's gone 4-0 with a 1.80 in his last five starts vs. the A's. Overall, Tampa Bay has won each of his last four outings.

Play on: Tampa Bay