Friday - MLB Hot/Cold/Totals Report

MLB
Write-up


Friday, August 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hot Pitchers
-- Davis allowed two runs in six IP in his first '08 start, at Philly.
-- Reds are 7-2 in Arroyo's last nine home starts. Thompson has 2.87 RA in three starts, but his last start was June 19.
-- Cain is 2-1, 2.12 in his last four starts.
-- Zambrano has a 1.77 RA in his last three road starts. Marlins are 6-0 when Josh Johnson starts for them.
-- Nationals are 7-2 in last nine Redding home starts.
-- Webb is 4-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Moyer is 4-1, 2.92 in his last six starts. Maddux is 3-0, 3.94 in his last three starts.
-- Billingsley is 2-0, 1.95 in his last four starts.

-- Tigers won five of last seven Robertson home starts.
-- Toronto is 6-2 in last eight Halladay road starts. Byrd is 4-0, 1.24 in his last four starts.
-- Lee is 5-0, 2.51 in his last six starts.
-- Meche is 4-0, 2.48 in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 2-0, 2.38 since coming back from minors.

Cold Pitchers
-- Pelfrey is 1-2, 7.63 in his last three starts.
-- Braves lost Jurrjens' last three home starts (0-3, 5.31).
-- de la Rosa has a 9.10 RA in his seven road starts.
-- Rodriguez is 1-1, 7.72 in his last three starts.
-- Parra is 0-3, 5.55 in his last four starts.

-- Waters is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts for Baltimore.
-- Weaver has 7.32 RA in his last four starts.
-- Pettitte is 0-2, 8.83 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 1-2, 5.84 in his last four road starts. Millwood is 0-2, 8.78 in his last three starts, last of which was July 23.
-- Silva is 0-4, 6.81 in his last seven starts. He pitched for Twins up until this season.
-- Floyd has 6.82 RA in his last six starts, but White Sox won his last four outings, scoring 30 runs. Braden is 1-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs are 14-3 in their last seventeen games.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Mets won their last three games, outscoring Nationals 25-6.
-- Brewers won eight of their last nine games.
-- Astros won last eight games, and fifteen of last seventeen.
-- Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
-- Dodgers are 11-3 in last fourteen home games.

-- Orioles are 11-7 in last 18 road series openers.
-- Angels are 9-3 in their last twelve road games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last ten road games. Red Sox won last four games, scoring 42 runs.
-- Rays won seven of their last nine games.
-- Twins won five of their last seven games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Reds lost seven of last nine games.
-- Marlins lost four of their last five home games.
-- Braves lost ten of last twelve home games. Giants are 4-12 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Nationals lost last six games, outscored 41-10. Rockies lost six of last eight games, allowing 54 runs.
-- Padres lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Phillies lost last four games, outscored 22-15.

-- Bronx lost five of its last six games. Royals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Indians are 4-6 in their last ten home games.
-- Tigers are 4-10 in their last fourteen games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last eight games, giving up 63 runs in their last six contests.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.
-- Oakland lost nine of its last eleven home games.

Totals
-- Over is 7-3 in Mets' last ten road games.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Florida home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine San Francisco road games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.
-- Over is 10-4 in Houston's last fourteen games.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in last twelve Philadelphia games.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Dodger home games.

-- Over is 10-3 in Baltimore's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Toronto games.
-- Six of Indians' last seven home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Royal road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Tampa Bay road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Minnesota's last six home games.
-- Under is 12-4 in Oakland's last sixteen games.

MLB

Friday, August 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Cubs at Florida Marlins [7:10 PM ET]

Cubs (-135, O/U 8): Carlos Zambrano lost his last time out against the Cardinals thanks in large part to four home runs allowed but that could actually be a good thing for the Cubs heading into tonight's game. In his four previous losses, Big Z has rebounded with a win and a strong performance three times. Zambrano is 6-4 on the road this season with a solid 3.38 ERA. Zambrano faced the Marlins on July 24, getting the win after allowing just two runs in seven innings.

The Cubs are 8-0 in their last 8 road games.
The OVER is 9-0 in Chicago's last 9 road games.

Key Injuries - 3B Aramis Ramirez (.285; hip) is doubtful.



Marlins: When Josh Johnson is on the mound, the Marlins win. It's that simple. Florida is a perfect 6-0 when Johnson takes the rubber this season. Johnson received a no-decision in each of his first three outings but has won his last three starts, allowing just six runs in 19.2 innings of work. Despite his strong performances, the OVER is 3-0 in Johnson's last three starts.

Marlins are 12-2 in the last 14 meetings.
Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE





Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]

Rays (-110, O/U 10.5): Matt Garza was hammered in his last two starts against hitting lightweights Cleveland and Seattle, allowing 17 hits and nine runs in just 10.2 innings. Garza has been up and down all year but he's mostly been down on the road, going 3-5 with a lofty 5.37 ERA. Following a complete game, one-hitter at Florida, Garza has allowed 16 runs in his last four starts away from home.

Rays are 12-3 in their last 15 games overall.
Rays are 13-3 in their last 16 Friday games.

Key Injuries - 3B Evan Longoria (.278; wrist) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Carl Crawford (.273; hand) is OUT for the season.



Rangers: Kevin Millwood is making his first start since coming off the DL with a strained groin. The Rangers are hoping Millwood will be much more effective than he was before being sidelined with the injury. In his last 18.1 innings pitched, Millwood has allowed 32 hits and 16 runs. He has been much better at home than on the road, however. In eight home starts this season, Millwood is 4-1 with a 5.31 ERA. The OVER is 3-1 in Millwood's last four starts.

Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 11-4-2 in Millwood's last 17 starts overall.

Key Injuries - OF Josh Hamilton (.302; birth of child) is NOT expected to play.
DH Milton Bradley (.321; illness) has returned.





Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics [WGN | 10:05 PM ET]

White Sox (-115, O/U 8.5): Gavin Floyd hasn't lost a game since July 19, although his last four starts are nothing to brag about. Over that span, Floyd has allowed 15 runs in 23 innings of work. Luckily for the White Sox, their offense has provided Floyd with plenty of run support, helping the Pale Hose to emerge victorious in all four of those contests. Not surprisingly, each of those games went OVER the total as well. Overall, the OVER is 8-2 in Floyd's last 10 starts.

White Sox are 6-27 in the last 33 meetings at Oakland.
White Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.

Key Injuries - 3B Joe Crede (.255; back) is on the 15-day DL.


A's: Dallas Braden makes his fifth start of the season for the A's tonight. In his previous four outings, Braden has allowed 11 runs over 22 innings, going 2-2 during that stretch. Braden's lone home start this season was a loss to the Royals in a game where he gave up four runs in 6.2 innings of work. The UNDER has been money with Braden on the mound, going 3-0-1 in his four starts.

A's are 4-23 in their last 27 games overall.
The UNDER is 26-10-2 in the last 38 meetings.

Key Injuries - OF Ryan Sweeney (.283; thumb) is on the 15-day DL.



<!-- controls -->

MLB

Friday, August 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Streaking Starting Pitchers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday’s streaking and slumping pitchers

Streaking

Josh Johnson, Florida Marlins (3-0, 3.19)

Johnson has been solid since coming off the IR. He is 3-0 and has a 3.19 ERA in his past three starts and is 1-0 at Dolphin Stadium.

Johnson is undefeated in his last six and has led the Fish to a 6-0 mark in that span. He has also relinquished just three HRs in that period.

Florida is 12-2 in its last 14 against the Chicago Cubs and is 6-0 in its last six versus the Cubs in Florida.


Slumping

Tim Redding, Washington Nationals (8-7, 4.61)

Redding has two wins in his last 10 and is 1-2 in his last three with a lofty 10.29 ERA. He has also relinquished 16 earned runs and four HRs in his last 14 IP.

Redding is 1-1 in his last four at Nationals park and is 4-4 overall at home. He has also tossed more than 100 pitches in each of his last two starts and has a 7.20 ERA in one start this season against the lowly Colorado Rockies.

The Nationals are 20-45 in their last 65 overall and are 3-7 in their last 10 at Nationals Park.

Mike Pelfrey, New York Mets (10-8, 4.11)

Pelfrey has finally hit a rough patch. He has just two wins in his last five and is 1-2 in his last three with a shaky 7.63 ERA and 1.83 WHIP.

In his last three starts, Pelfrey has conceded 13 earned runs in 14 2/3 IP and has relinquished two HRs in that stretch. He is also just 4-3 on the road with a lofty 6.09 ERA and 1.83 WHIP.

The Mets are 0-4 in their last four against the NL Central and are 3-8 in their last 11 meetings in Pittsburgh.

MLB


Friday, August 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM BALTIMORE vs. DETROIT
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore


7:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 6-16 SU in their last 22 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 21-3 SU in their last 24 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 15 games when playing at home against Kansas City


7:05 PM LA ANGELS vs. CLEVELAND
LA Angels are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels


7:05 PM NY METS vs. PITTSBURGH
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets are 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against NY Mets


7:05 PM TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


7:10 PM CHI CUBS vs. FLORIDA
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games when playing Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


7:10 PM ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing St. Louis


7:35 PM COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
Colorado is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado


7:35 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
San Francisco is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


8:05 PM ARIZONA vs. HOUSTON
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Arizona


8:05 PM TAMPA BAY vs. TEXAS
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
Texas is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


8:10 PM SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games


10:05 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. OAKLAND
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox


10:05 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia


10:40 PM MILWAUKEE vs. LA DODGERS
Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->__________________