New MLB system (winning and losing streaks)

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 15, 2008

New MLB system:

If a team with a losing record wins 4 in a row (and still has a losing record), bet against them the next two games to win one unit. If a team with a winning record loses 4 in a row (and still has a winning record), bet on them the next two games to win one unit. Similiar to the home chase, if they win/lose the first one, the chase is over.

Sounds simple enough and it is. Since the All-Star Break the record is 16-1 with the first loss coming this past Tuesday when Houston beat SF. It may have went 17-0 if Lincecum had not taken a line drive off his knee, but that's how it goes sometimes.

I've been playing chase systems for years and losing. However, since this is only two games at a time, and the winning percentage has been great thus far, it is going well. Another good thing is that the majority of the plays are underdogs or small to medium favorites.

For record keeping purposes, we will attempt to win one unit on every chase. We do have a play tonight:

Phillies (-120) at Padres (Moyer vs Maddux)

$120/$100

The Phillies were just swept by the Dodgers in a 4 game series and will look to bounce back tonight.

Good luck! Will update record later tonight and if there is a possible play tomorrow.

eppy224 · Aug 15, 2008

Joe_Hallenbeck said:
New MLB system:

If a team with a losing record wins 4 in a row (and still has a losing record), bet against them the next two games to win one unit. If a team with a winning record loses 4 in a row (and still has a winning record), bet on them the next two games to win one unit. Similiar to the home chase, if they win/lose the first one, the chase is over.

Sounds simple enough and it is. Since the All-Star Break the record is 16-1 with the first loss coming this past Tuesday when Houston beat SF. It may have went 17-0 if Lincecum had not taken a line drive off his knee, but that's how it goes sometimes.

I've been playing chase systems for years and losing. However, since this is only two games at a time, and the winning percentage has been great thus far, it is going well. Another good thing is that the majority of the plays are underdogs or small to medium favorites.

For record keeping purposes, we will attempt to win one unit on every chase. We do have a play tonight:

Phillies (-120) at Padres (Moyer vs Maddux)

$120/$100

The Phillies were just swept by the Dodgers in a 4 game series and will look to bounce back tonight.

Good luck! Will update record later tonight and if there is a possible play tomorrow.

Good luck Joe!

nikeairx · Aug 15, 2008

prob taking SD tonight.. but goodluck

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 16, 2008

The Phillies came through for us (barely) and we didn't have to chase a second game. That now brings the system record to 17-1 since the All Star Break. I know only one play has been documented thus far. I will attempt to document all of the other plays in this system since the All Star Break, so you know I'm not lying.

Unit record and plays will be updated later.

There are no plays today. There are currently no losing teams with 4 game winning streaks and no winning teams with 4 game losing streaks today. There may be a few plays tomorrow depending on how the day transpires.

Shaker11 · Aug 16, 2008

have you ever tried teams on a winning streak of 4 games betting on them the next 2 games,we need someone to run this and see what the % are also,could give a new betting angle also

boombaby · Aug 16, 2008

Are there any plays today?

PatPatriot · Aug 16, 2008

Noticed your thread under Mr MJ's.
Good lookin out.

You like the Rangers here even though they dipped below .500?

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 16, 2008

Shaker11 said:
have you ever tried teams on a winning streak of 4 games betting on them the next 2 games,we need someone to run this and see what the % are also,could give a new betting angle also

No, I haven't looked at that angle. Are you referring to winning teams on a winning streak of 4 games?

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 16, 2008

Pat Patriot said:
Noticed your thread under Mr MJ's.
Good lookin out.

You like the Rangers here even though they dipped below .500?

I don't necessarily think it would have been a bad play, but I did not take the Rangers tonight.

I recall recently that a few weeks ago there was a similar situation with the Tigers being 1 game below .500 and losing 4 games. Well, they ended up losing the next two against the White Sox. Luckily, I did not put $$$ on the Tigers, although I was tempted. After that result, I decided I'm just going to stick with teams above .500.

Shaker11 · Aug 16, 2008

i was told by an old better to do this bet on any team playing at home after they had won 4 straight,but i dont have any statistical proof

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 17, 2008

Unfortunately, no plays today (8/17).

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 20, 2008

Finally, a play (8/20)

The Rockies who have a record of 58-69 are currently on a 4-game win streak. Playing against them:

Dodgers (-200) to win one unit.

Unfortunately, this is a high price to pay but that is not typical with this system. Good luck!

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 21, 2008

Rockies won again last night so we will go against them one more time.

Dodgers (-190) combined with yesterdays loss to win one unit.

Good luck.

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 22, 2008

The Dodgers held off the Rockies yesterday, so:

2-0 posted
18-1 overall since the all-star break

Tonight's play:

Play against the Indians (59-67) and their 4-game win streak.

Rangers (-123) - Carmona vs Harrison

Goodluck

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 23, 2008

For the 2nd series in a row, we have to do it the hard way. One more time (combine with yesterdays loss to win one unit):

8/23
Rangers (-135) - Sowers vs McCarthy

Good Luck!

Mistermj · Aug 23, 2008

Nice work here Joe...I hope the success continues.

TruthBTold · Aug 24, 2008

Joe run it back and on Texas again with Padilla? Or no longer a play?

Pepi · Aug 24, 2008

I played last night as a A bet... So I think I am gonna chase this game today for the B amount! Whats the call anyway bud?

TruthBTold · Aug 24, 2008

Giants and Padres qualify today. Can either run it back with Tx or take Pads.

Joe_Hallenbeck · Aug 24, 2008

Well, the Rangers blew a 6 run lead.

Unfortunately, the Rangers series is a loss, so we are moving on. Cleveland has been a thorn in the side of this system before. Remember their 4 game sweep of the Rays back in July dropping the Rays to a 7-game losing streak?

System is now 18-2 since the All-Star Break. If we're playing for a unit for each series, it would be +11.05 units.

I will be sticking with a two game chase, so today's game in Texas will not be a play for me.

Todays play (8/24) The sucky Giants at 57-72 are currently on a 4 game win streak. Luckily, we get to play on an underdog for the 1st (and hopefully only) play of the series.

Padres (+112) - Banks vs Correia

Goodluck!