Is this a tough season for value bettors?

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Dec 4, 2006
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It seems like players who actually try to handicap this season are getting their teeth kicked in while the brainless chalk players who think nothing of laying -160+ on eight games a day are raking in the cash.

There are so many bad teams (SD, SEA, WAS, KC, now Cincy and OAK) who only win perhaps 1 of 3 in as series against any team mediocre or better. My man has some moron killing him who calls up and says give me the lines on the favorites and after listening to them he says I'll take them all.

Unlike football or baskets where there is a pointspread and things get evened out, sports where moneylines are the common way to play are dangerous when teams start tanking.

You can say there are bad teams every year and that is very true, I just never remember in the last 15 years a season so bad for underdogs and especially road underdogs.
 

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Aug 26, 2006
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Moneylines are the great equalizer just like point spreads....these lines are just too small thats all......get ready for some bigger lines at which point you need less dogs to cash to break even or turn a profit.....the books arent stupid. If players will bite a -140 fav at the same clip they will bite -160 or -170 on the same team then that will be the line you will start to see. Books will set the properly after all these roster changes settle in......lines are moving 30-40 cents off the overnights and thats because the lines arent high enough....it will get fixed very soon when you start seeing pitchers like Glenn Perkins and Scott Baker commanding 2 dollars you know the lines are getting adjusted.....maybe not enough so because players are still hammering the Twins even at these high prices.

PEACE
 

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Mariners should be +200 or higher every game they play that king felix is not starting,
 

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Don't worry, the stiffs will lose what little they have won during football and basketball season. Actually, they're already losing big at pre-season nfl.
 

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