MM Sunday Massacre to end the WEEK

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

Record This Week: 12-4 +27 units
Locks YTD: 6-0 +50 units

:howdy: Trying to HAMMER the books like a GEEK? Stick with me.

1st Play: Boston RL to win 3 units (Beckett vs. Marcum)
2nd Play: Cubs ML to win 2 units (Dempster vs. Volstad)
3rd Play: Tampa Bay ML to win 2 units (Kazmir vs. Padilla)
4th Play: Colorado ML to win 2 units (Cook vs. Perez)
5th Play: St. Louis ML to win 2 units (Lohse vs. Volquez)

5-0? :103631605

Alexgurv87 · Aug 17, 2008

yo dude what happened to you at the other site? just curious

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

Alexgurv87 said:
yo dude what happened to you at the other site? just curious

LOL it's funny, they banned me, for what reason I have NO IDEA. It's ok I like it here just as much. You still interested in what we discussed, I'm sorry I wanted to get back to you but after they banned me all info in my PM box I was inable to access. My email: thegambler126@gmail.com

winitall · Aug 17, 2008

Good luck MM, looks like you're expecting a chalky sunday, hope you keep it going!
I guess you don't believe in the rule not to take home teams on the RL.. or do you expect boston bats to explode after today?

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

winitall said:
Good luck MM, looks like you're expecting a chalky sunday, hope you keep it going!
I guess you don't believe in the rule not to take home teams on the RL.. or do you expect boston bats to explode after today?

Thanks WIA, yeah I usually chalk it out everyday, when I play dogs it's when I see value or a trick line. I'm new to the no RL rule at home, just think the Boston lineup will touch-up Marcum/the bullpen and don't expect Beckett to surrender more than 3 runs and go deep into the game. My prediction: Boston 8 Jays 3

Hope you do well winitall....BOL!

wallybell · Aug 17, 2008

Marcum is 3-0 with a sub three era against boston. This is a bad line. Beckett has never done that great against Toronto either. Marcum is a quality pitcher and Boston should not be a 2-1 favorite. Boston might win and might win by 10 runs but it's a bad line.

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

wallybell said:
Marcum is 3-0 with a sub three era against boston. This is a bad line. Beckett has never done that great against Toronto either. Marcum is a quality pitcher and Boston should not be a 2-1 favorite. Boston might win and might win by 10 runs but it's a bad line.

True excellent point, I've done my homework as well, but on certain games I tend to bet on situation rather then with stats and history. The fact of the matter is Boston is amazing in Boston, Beckett is there ace, Marcum is average, and the Boston lineup is light years in front of Toronto's. I have an unorthodox way of picking games and history aside I just think Boston spanks Toronto tommorrow.

raiderguy · Aug 17, 2008

Padilla won't be pitching tomorrow for Texas, pitching change.

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

raiderguy said:
Padilla won't be pitching tomorrow for Texas, pitching change.

That's great I get the Rays at -135 with Kazmir vs. Nippert, thanks for the heads up

wallybell · Aug 17, 2008

Marcum is hardly average. His ERA this year is a half run lower than Beckett's. He's pitched well all year except for a few starts after coming off the DL. He was good last year, especially later in the year. Beckett has been rather average this year with an ERA approaching 4 and has not been ace like this year. Both Matsuzaka and Lester have been better this year. Toronto's pitching staff is one of the best in baseball. Sure Boston has a better lineup but good pitching can neutralize that and Toronto has good pitching.

Moneyline_Monster said:
True excellent point, I've done my homework as well, but on certain games I tend to bet on situation rather then with stats and history. The fact of the matter is Boston is amazing in Boston, Beckett is there ace, Marcum is average, and the Boston lineup is light years in front of Toronto's. I have an unorthodox way of picking games and history aside I just think Boston spanks Toronto tommorrow.

wallybell · Aug 17, 2008

If the line is adjusted so will your play. Even if you select action,the line is adjusted to reflect the new line. Your risk amount stays the same but your win amount will change.

Moneyline_Monster said:
That's great I get the Rays at -135 with Kazmir vs. Nippert, thanks for the heads up

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

wallybell said:
Marcum is hardly average. His ERA this year is a half run lower than Beckett's. He's pitched well all year except for a few starts after coming off the DL. He was good last year, especially later in the year. Beckett has been rather average this year with an ERA approaching 4 and has not been ace like this year. Both Matsuzaka and Lester have been better this year. Toronto's pitching staff is one of the best in baseball. Sure Boston has a better lineup but good pitching can neutralize that and Toronto has good pitching.

Again good points.

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

wallybell said:
If the line is adjusted so will your play. Even if you select action,the line is adjusted to reflect the new line. Your risk amount stays the same but your win amount will change.

That's the beauty of betting with a real bookie, shit like this happens and either the bookie or player benefits. Now I'm sure it will change with my online account.

ToothedTeddy · Aug 17, 2008

Colorado - is Cook starting or Jimenez? I'm seeing the latter at Covers

wallybell · Aug 17, 2008

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

ToothedTeddy said:
Colorado - is Cook starting or Jimenez? I'm seeing the latter at Covers

I got Cook, might have to look into that.

wallybell · Aug 17, 2008

Cook hasn't pitched well since the all star break and Perez has been pitching well. Nats on a 9 game skid. I don't bet teams on long streaks but Washington could get this one. Last time Perez went against Colorado the nationals won easily.

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

wallybell said:
Cook hasn't pitched well since the all star break and Perez has been pitching well. Nats on a 9 game skid. I don't bet teams on long streaks but Washington could get this one. Last time Perez went against Colorado the nationals won easily.

My reasoning on taking Colorado is simple to me at least, Cook is better than Perez, Colorado's lineup is better than Washington's and Colorado's bullpen is slightly better.

wallybell · Aug 17, 2008

Well when you're laying 150 on the road you might need a little more than that. Personally, I don't think a team like Colorado is worthy of that kind of line and Perez has been pitching well and Cook hasn't. It's not like Colorado is a great team or even has a .500 record.

Moneyline_Monster · Aug 17, 2008

wallybell said:
Well when you're laying 150 on the road you might need a little more than that. Personally, I don't think a team like Colorado is worthy of that kind of line and Perez has been pitching well and Cook hasn't. It's not like Colorado is a great team or even has a .500 record.

Betting on the team that is superior in each facet of the game isn't good enough reasoning to lay -150? Although Cook has been struggling he's an allstar pitcher with devastating bats in his lineup. Washington's lineup is atrocious, not to mention although Odalis hasn't been bad he's still a scrub, back of the rotation starter for one of the worst teams in the league.