*** IMO, wouldn't take Philly rl here. Looking at team totals SD is 3 but game total is 7, just a 4-3, 1 run margin. I follow this comparing team totals to game totals margins for runline plays and must have atleast a 2 to be a play. For example today KC total was 3.5 but game total was 11, that is a 6.5-3.5 spread, never seen it in months of following this. Odds makers had a clue that Bannister would be shelled and was. I believe they are looking for a close game tonight. A 2.5 is a solid play on rls' and a 1.5 is a solid play on ml's if game is -150 or less..
*** Good luck whatever you do..
*** Good luck whatever you do..
I'll breakdown my reasoning on this one...really simple.
Padres blew their load last night. I really doubt they put up back to back good offensive nights.
and
the ESPN fantasy guy said Baek was a good play on the road but not at home.
thats really it.
I know, stupid, crazy, etc. However, when I try to break down games by reading everyone else and breaking down stats or player matchups....i bomb.
I started off this year about 25 games over 500 and then totally bombed. I went to this new approach of picking out a couple winners and playing the best ones and I went 21-6 in the Monthly capping contest. So, we'll see how long it lasts.
FWIW, i took Philly at -195 in the monthly contest but I dont like laying that much juice with my money so I took the RL.
Padres blew their load last night. I really doubt they put up back to back good offensive nights.
and
the ESPN fantasy guy said Baek was a good play on the road but not at home.
thats really it.
I know, stupid, crazy, etc. However, when I try to break down games by reading everyone else and breaking down stats or player matchups....i bomb.
I started off this year about 25 games over 500 and then totally bombed. I went to this new approach of picking out a couple winners and playing the best ones and I went 21-6 in the Monthly capping contest. So, we'll see how long it lasts.
FWIW, i took Philly at -195 in the monthly contest but I dont like laying that much juice with my money so I took the RL.
uke1:
