Lost on Monday 15-6-1 last 22 4-1 last 5 one for Tuesday

junkman773 · Aug 19, 2008

8-19-08

POD:………………………….87-61 + $ 1959

POD Write-Up:

917:. Philly/over 9.………………117 to win 100(POD)

Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 vs. National League East. Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games following a loss. Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.Over is 6-1 in Bergmanns last 7 starts with 5 days of restOver is 4-1 in Bergmanns last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over is 7-3 in Bergmanns last 10 starts vs. National League East. Over is 9-4-1 in Bergmanns last 14 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-2-1 in Phillies last 9 games following a win. Over is 14-5 in Phillies last 19 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Over is 5-2-2 in Phillies last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

In the last 10 games the Nats have given up an AVG of 6.7 runs per game with a bullpen ERA of over 4. Bergman hase an ERA of 6.75 last 3 starts. And for the phillies Blanton 0-1 with an ERA of 6.00. Philly back home after along road trip. Look for the runs to come early and often.

Philly/over 9 is my POD

Good Luck

Junkope:

LouHoltz · Aug 19, 2008

The so called "front runners" are gonna boo the shit out of Jimmy Rollins. The Phillies kinda go as Rollins goes. Their record when he scores is like 30-11 its nuts. Regardless i definetly see some runs being scored in this game. BOL

jbragg10 · Aug 19, 2008

good luck

LouHoltz · Aug 19, 2008

Junk do you believe there will be any movement in this number at all. .5 point either way? I have o9 -115

LouHoltz · Aug 19, 2008

It bumped to -125 locked it in BOL. The weather is perfect today here. If the wind is blowing out tonight i could see 13 or 14 being scored in this game.

Richierich+ · Aug 19, 2008

Junk, curious how the computer
plays have been doing? I see you don't post them on your site anymore?

junkman773 · Aug 19, 2008

LouHoltz said:
It bumped to -125 locked it in BOL. The weather is perfect today here. If the wind is blowing out tonight i could see 13 or 14 being scored in this game.

I am seeing the total hold tight but price is going up

BaldEagle · Aug 19, 2008

it jumped to 9.5 and even on the over at creditwagering.com

I went ahead and took it but not happy about the move.

junkman773 · Aug 19, 2008

Richierich said:
Junk, curious how the computer
plays have been doing? I see you don't post them on your site anymore?

They went on a small losing streak at Mid July then went 50/50 for a week so I pulled the plug on them and have been posting the projected lines and totals and dogs on that are starting to cash good. They are the ones with and * on it. On these the computer projects the dog to win.

Here is what the computer picks did for the year

7-30-08(last Day)
YTD: 69-47
Top Plays: 18-7

95 % or better ( 9-2 YTD)

Will post them for football after about the first 2 weeks of reg season so I can get some could data from this year. Any program that puts out picks in pre-season or early Football is just using last years info and will not be as profitable as it could be had they waited. IMO

junkman773 · Aug 20, 2008

BaldEagle said:
it jumped to 9.5 and even on the over at creditwagering.com

I went ahead and took it but not happy about the move.

Sorry to hear that. that place has the worse lines around IMO hook got you here. Most came out with a push. The more outs the better.

Good luck with the rest of you card

Junk

BaldEagle · Aug 20, 2008

Yeah I hate the lines there, going to put it into BetJam soon and get off that site.

The hook cost me the difference between a winning and a losing night but not much so it is all good. Still won 7 of 12, just the juice took most of the profits.