9 out of 10 favorites have won

TruthBTold · Aug 20, 2008

Around 9 out of 10 favorites have come in today. This is amazing. Time to jump on Florida?

SayHeyKid · Aug 20, 2008

Yep, great day for chalk backers.

I honestly don't think the previous lines of the games will be have any bearing on fla/sf. That said, GL with whatever you play man.

woodypaige · Aug 20, 2008

Chalk have been killing all year!!!!
Better teams will beat rubbish teams 3 out of 4 games at home.

TruthBTold · Aug 20, 2008

Sayheykid, decided to battle another day, thanks anyway. Woody this is amazing, the rate that the favorites have been coming in. I havnt jumped on this wagon at all. This is what happens when you have been playing for so long, your balls shrink on them heavy juices.
:think2:

homedawg · Aug 20, 2008

oddsmakers need to step their game up.

TruthBTold · Aug 20, 2008

Homedawg love that avatar. The golden egg representing wealth and prosperity.

wallybell · Aug 20, 2008

looking at the lines for tomorrow I think they are. There are some monster favorites out there.

homedawg said:
oddsmakers need to step their game up.

artiesliver · Aug 20, 2008

Season to Date
Straight Up (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 844-1046 44.66%
Home Teams 1046-844 55.34%
Favorites 1062-795 57.19%
Dogs 795-1062 42.81%
Away Favorites 281-249 53.02%
Away Dogs 546-781 41.15%
Home Favorites 781-546 58.85%
Home Dogs 249-281 46.98%

Last 7 Days
Straight Up (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 45-42 51.72%
Home Teams 42-45 48.28%
Favorites 58-26 69.05%
Dogs 26-58 30.95%
Away Favorites 27-9 75.00%
Away Dogs 17-31 35.42%
Home Favorites 31-17 64.58%
Home Dogs 9-27 25.00%

BaldEagle · Aug 20, 2008

homedawg said:
oddsmakers need to step their game up.

How do the oddsmaker's factor in here? Will the teams stop winning if they are -400 favs instead of -300? They already set 7 games at -200 or more today how much more do they need to do?

homedawg · Aug 20, 2008

BaldEagle said:
How do the oddsmaker's factor in here? Will the teams stop winning if they are -400 favs instead of -300? They already set 7 games at -200 or more today how much more do they need to do?

no, but they will discourage people from taking favorites without hesitation, and make the consequences greater. simple as that. should have done that weeks ago

homedawg · Aug 20, 2008

TruthBTold said:
Homedawg love that avatar. The golden egg representing wealth and prosperity.

to be honest i am good friends with a fellow poster here on the rx and it was a joke we have about one our good buddies. last football season he would always focus in on 1 team and wrap it in teasers, parlays, etc. we used to tell him he was searching for that golden egg.

i kinda like your view better tho, so i'm going with that for now on :103631605

homedawg · Aug 20, 2008

wallybell said:
looking at the lines for tomorrow I think they are. There are some monster favorites out there.

i don't know to me looks like favorites will once again be bet heavy and come out victorious. Lowe -180? Lackey -150? come onnn. Lee only -190. Pedro only -190. Shit even Webb -300 is too low if you ask me. Looks like another beating in store for tomm. Great

TruthBTold · Aug 20, 2008

artiesliver said:
Season to Date
Straight Up (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 844-1046 44.66%
Home Teams 1046-844 55.34%
Favorites 1062-795 57.19%
Dogs 795-1062 42.81%
Away Favorites 281-249 53.02%
Away Dogs 546-781 41.15%
Home Favorites 781-546 58.85%
Home Dogs 249-281 46.98%

Last 7 Days
Straight Up (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 45-42 51.72%
Home Teams 42-45 48.28%
Favorites 58-26 69.05%
Dogs 26-58 30.95%
Away Favorites 27-9 75.00%
Away Dogs 17-31 35.42%
Home Favorites 31-17 64.58%
Home Dogs 9-27 25.00%

Great stats Artiesilver. Thanks.

wallybell · Aug 20, 2008

I can see Lackey losing tomorrow. Twins on fire and Angels not so much. Lackey hasn't been great lately at all. I think the Angels are getting a little fat and happy with their great record and 16 game lead in their division.

homedawg said:
i don't know to me looks like favorites will once again be bet heavy and come out victorious. Lowe -180? Lackey -150? come onnn. Lee only -190. Pedro only -190. Shit even Webb -300 is too low if you ask me. Looks like another beating in store for tomm. Great

homedawg · Aug 20, 2008

wallybell said:
I can see Lackey losing tomorrow. Twins on fire and Angels not so much. Lackey hasn't been great lately at all. I think the Angels are getting a little fat and happy with their great record and 16 game lead in their division.

i agree. but i still see the angles being bet hard, and IMO the line should be a little higher then it is now. maybe -180 -200

9 out of 10 favorites have won

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