of why you NEVER lay -275+ on a baseball game. Anything can happen. Only takes one bad pitch to change a game. Some of the lines are getting out of hand now. A loss on a line like this takes 3 wins to get your money back. Just doesn't make sense. Rays at +165 tonight is very very tempting.
hno: Seems to never fail, I bet a fav BIG n Lose bet a DOG small and win :missingte
Nats still suck, but when the wind blows out at Wrigley, the Dog, ALT runline and the OVER are must plays. Strange things happen at Wrigley on these humid days. Tomorrow should be more of the same weather-wise.
Since the ball is carrying, look hard at the Rays-ChiSox over tonight. Stadium is only 8 miles away. Wind doesn't affect the ball like Wrigley, but the humidity will make the ball carry.
Since the ball is carrying, look hard at the Rays-ChiSox over tonight. Stadium is only 8 miles away. Wind doesn't affect the ball like Wrigley, but the humidity will make the ball carry.
The fact that people were betting huge on Jason Marquis tells me people are even dumber than I believed. I don't care who Chicago is playing, Jason Marquis should NEVER lay anywhere near this juice and never lay 200. He had a home ERA of 5.58 coming into today. And before someone jumps me saying it is easy to say now, I posted last night that you would have to be out of your mind to bet Jason Marquis at this price. Lannan was/is clearly the better pitcher. The books are going to make these lines extremely high and force the public's hand. But people can't stop betting favorites. This will make it where the books will only need to win a couple of these huge dogs to make their day. In fact, making these lines bigger likely makes people bet the favorites more. The perception out there among bettors is that the bigger the line the less likely they are to lose. So if someone sees the Cubs at -250 vs. the Nationals they think "wow they can't lose as that big of a favorite". Books aren't stupid and they have adjusted.
