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Thread: Service Plays Sunday 8/24/08

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  1. #1 Service Plays Sunday 8/24/08 
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  2. #2  
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    SCOTT FERRALL

    COLTS -4 to Bills in Indianapolis--I don't think the Bills can look as good as they did against the Steelers in Toronto in this game in Nap Town--Take the Colts--OVER 37

    MLB

    TB +155 with Sonnanstine over Buerhle and the W.Sox in Chicago

    Yankees and Rasner -125 over Cabrera and the Orioles at Camden

    Toronto +125 and AJ Burnett over Dice K and Boston at Rogers Center in T-Town--FEEL IT ! The Jays have been cookin

    Arizona -130 over the Marlins--Davis and the D'backs handle Nolasco

    SD +110 at San Fran--Banks over Correia

    Colorado -185 over Cincinnati--Jimenez outworks Cuetoat Coors because the Reds are such a shitty road team
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  3. #3  
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    GATOR / CAJUN

    e-Report 70% Super Situation:

    MLB Sunday: Play Over MLB teams with a batting average of .315 or better over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings, 33-10 Over the last 5 years (76.5%)

    PLAY: Atlanta / St. Louis OVER 9.5 (-105)



    e-Report Top Angle:

    MLB Sunday: Correia (SF) is 10-0 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997 (Team's Record)
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  4. #4  
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    LT Profits

    8:00PM ET NFX 2* Action Indianapolis Colts (-5.5 / -110) vs Buffalo Bills
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  5. #5  
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    DIAMOND XCHANGE SPORTS

    8/24

    comp play:
    BOSTON/JAYS UNDER THE POSTED TOTAL
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  6. #6  
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    Nick Parsons comp
    Game: Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts Aug 24 2008 Prediction: Indianapolis Colts
    Reason: Indianapolis Colts (-) vs Buffalo @ 8 PM ET on Sunday August 24th – As we noted in last week’s Edge write-up, the Colts suffered a loss in the Hall of Fame Game on Sunday, August 3rd. However, we expected that to give them an edge heading into the rest of the preseason and so far this has certainly been the case! We used the Colts right here in our Edge write-up in the “true” Week 1 of the Preseason and, although they lost in overtime to the Panthers, the Colts did get the cover in their “second” Week 1 game at Carolina on Saturday the 9th. Then, on Saturday the 16th we used Indianapolis for our Week 2 edge write-up and they once again got the job done for us as they won outright on the road at Atlanta where they knocked the Falcons off by a full touchdown. With the Colts having an extra week this preseason, by virtue of playing in the Hall of Fame Game, they did not play their personnel versus the Redskins the way we felt they would against the Panthers in Week 1 and as expected that opened things up last week against the Falcons for some additional playing time for key players. This will continue into Week 3 of the Preseason this week because Week 4 is basically a “catch all” game where all the starters sit out and it’s all the reserves get all the playing time. With this being Indy’s first preseason home game, and the only game at home where the starters are likely to see any action, we look for a superb effort from the Colts. They’ve only failed to cover one of their three preseason games so far. Also note that the single Indianapolis ATS loss was truly a “bad beat” for their backers in the Hall of Fame Game! They outgained Washington by 55 yards and they also had 24 first downs compared to just 20 for the Redskins. So, how did they lose by two touchdowns despite these solid numbers? It had a lot do with an interception run back for a touchdown late in the game. That was the key turnover in the game. However, it was also simply a case of “laying down” a bit too early. Up 16-9 in the third quarter and seemingly “in control” of at least the “spread victory” (Indianapolis was +4.5 in most shops), the Colts somehow saw things quickly become unraveled. Even though this was “just” a Preseason game it was still the type of effort that has given Coach Dungy’s troops extra motivation for the rest of the “meaningful” preseason. That is why the Colts have covered each of the last two weeks and with the last of the “meaningful” preseason games this week, when the starters will see action; we look for a huge effort from Indianapolis at home! We like the Colts QB rotation over that of the Bills and we also like the situational edge here with the Colts at home. Keep in mind that after letting each of their first two games get away from them they bounced back with the key win at Atlanta this week. They want to keep that winning feeling going at home this week and they will use the momentum to successfully do just that!
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    Jimmy The Moose

    Game: Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox Aug 24 Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays
    Reason: Tampa is 20-7 in their last 27 games overall. The Rays have won 7 of their last 8 road games. In their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record the Rays are 21-6. The Rays are 6-1 in Sonnanstine's lasy 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. In his last 22 starts Tampa is 16-6. Chicago is 3-11 in their last 14 games vs. AL East opponents. Chicago has lost 5 straight games vs. the Rays. Look for a well pitched game this afternoon with Tampa coming out on top. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays +.
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    Scott Spreitzer comp
    Game: Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Aug 24 Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
    Reason: I'm laying the price with the Angels on Sunday. Los Angeles has been very good to me this season, as the betting markets have consistently underpriced their win potential. I think that's happened again Sunday afternoon. Ervin Santana takes the mound today with a 3.39 ERA and a sterling 1.13 WHIP. He's really risen to the occasion in big games, holding Tampa Bay and the NY Yankees to just one earned run in 15 innings in recent outings. This potential playoff preview against Minnesota could definitely be classified as a "big game." Twins youngster Kevin Slowey has been inconsistent on the road this year. In fact, in his last three away starts he has an ERA of 6.75 with 21 hits allowed. The Halo's have been pounding lesser pitchers this year, and Slowey's road woes put him in that category today. After a shaky start to this marquee series on Friday, Los Angeles is looking to score a decisive victory in the finale. The Angels minus the price is the play.
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  9. #9  
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    MLB
    Big Al Mcmordie comp
    Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Aug 24 Prediction: Baltimore Orioles
    Reason: At 1:35pm our member selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the New York Yankees. A few years ago you wouldn't expect that the Baltimore Orioles would be happy to see the Yankees arrive in town, but the way the Red Sox have been treating the O's lately, they will certainly be glad when they leave Camden Yards and just about anyone else coming in would be good news for Baltimore. And if there was ever a year that the Orioles had a chance to take the season series with New York, it's 2008. The Bronx Bombers came into Camden Yards on Friday having only taken five of the twelve games between these two in 2008. The Baltimore offense has been rejuvenated lately, led by their quiet veteran third baseman Melvin Mora who has been En Fuego lately, so much so that he was just named AL Player of the week. You have to believe that the Baltimore starters are going to the hill with a lot more confidence knowing that the hitters have a chance to put up double-digit runs on just about any occasion, so even a guy like veteran righthander Daniel Cabrera, who quite frankly has looked very shaky lately should come into this home game feeling pretty good about his chances. And it's not just because he knows he's got some of the hottest hitters in the league behind him. Consider this unlikely stat for the 8-8 starter with a five run ERA: Cabrera is 3-0 with a 3.15 ERA in three starts against the Pinstripers this season. Take the O's.
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    Marc Lawrence comp
    Game: Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Aug 24 2008 Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
    Reason: Play On: Toronto w/Burnett vs Matsusaka
    Note: The Blue Jays and Red Sox close out their weekend series when A.J. Burnett goes up against Daisuke Matsusaka in Toronto this afternoon. Burnett loves hurling against Boston as evidenced by his 5-0 career team start mark. He's also 15-5 in his last 20 team starts in August and 15-5 at home in August as well. With Burnett in great KW form with 4 walks and 25 strikeouts in his last three starts and Matusaka in off an 'inside-out' win (more hits and walks than innings pitched) in his last start we'll stay at home with Burnett and the Blue Jays here today.
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  11. #11  
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    WILD BILL

    Over 39 1/2 Seattle-Chargers (5 units)
    Chargers -3 (5 units)
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  12. #12  
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    PlayByPlayInc. NFL

    8/24/2008 BUFFALO at
    INDIANAPOLIS Over 37.5
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  13. #13  
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    armvin Sports Mlb

    8/24/2008 Texas Rangers -133
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  14. #14  
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    JEFFERSONSPORTS --3-3 yest

    27-16 last 43 plays (63%)

    85-59 last 144 plays (60%)

    MLB +30.94 units (+3094.00$ playing 100.00 a game)


    3-0 in NFLX yest. (Hit last 5 in a row) 60% for NFLX

    MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR SUN
    CHIC WHITE SOX-170
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  15. #15 jefferson sports 
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    went from +4000 to +3000 dollars.....he kinda slumping dont you think chase
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  16. #16  
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    jeffersonsports Nflx Early Release
    Colts-5.5 (60% for season))
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  17. #17  
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    Quote Originally Posted by dboysaints View Post
    went from +4000 to +3000 dollars.....he kinda slumping dont you think chase
    yes dboy. He is 1-7 in last 8 mlb plays. In a mlb slump

    luckily he has hit 5 NFLX games in a row to offset the bad mlb run. I'm not worried. P
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  18. #18  
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    STEVE ZUKIEL

    70 UNIT TOTAL OF THE MONTH


    It might seen dangerous to look for a low scoring affair when the Red Sox are involved, but I am sure you would be surprised to know that more of their games have gone 'under' than 'over'. The pitching matchup also leads me to believe this is going to a very low scoring contest. Boston's Kaisuke Matsuzaka has been an 'under' machine this season. Close to 70% of his overall starts have gone 'under' the total and his last four and seven of his last eight overall have gone 'under' the total as well. I also like how he has looked on the road. He is a perfect 7-0 and his ERA is at a very minute 2.17 and seven of his nine road starts have also gone 'under' the total. He faced Toronto once already this season and went 7 scoreless innings, throwing two-hit baseball and his team won 2-1. On the flip side, AJ Burnett, Toronto's hurler, has been pitching very well also. Six of his last eight overall starts have gone 'under' the total and 17 of his 27 overall starts as well. He too pitched a gem when he faced this exact same team a few months back. He went 7 2/3 innings shutout innings, allowing just three hits and the Jays won that game 3-0. Toronto has been a low scoring team at home for much of the season as well as only 25 of their 60 home games have gone 'over' the total. I hope you see why I have to go the way I am going. Look for a very low scoring contest with only 6 total runs being scored.

    TORONTO BLUE JAYS/BOSTON RED SOX 'UNDER'
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  19. #19  
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    Thats why I track the units. He has losses of +190, +160, +125 in those last couple of losses so thats why units mean everything and records dont mean shizzat. Wish we had 1 unit records on everyone. Not 3 and 5 and 10 unit per game bs. 1 unit per game. Then we could tell who the best overall cappers are. Lot of work though.
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  20. #20  
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    Good morning guys. Here's Ness from yesterday.

    08/23/08 WIN MLB Los Angeles Angels 600
    08/23/08 WIN NFL over (WAS at CAR) 750
    08/23/08 Loss MLB over (OAK at SEA) -275
    08/23/08 Loss MLB Baltimore Orioles -1088

    Net Loss -13 Units

    Basically breaking even. Been a tough few days for the Nessman, but I hope he breaks out of it today. Be back with his plays shortly.
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  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by chase88 View Post
    Thats why I track the units. He has losses of +190, +160, +125 in those last couple of losses so thats why units mean everything and records dont mean shizzat. Wish we had 1 unit records on everyone. Not 3 and 5 and 10 unit per game bs. 1 unit per game. Then we could tell who the best overall cappers are. Lot of work though.
    I agree 100%, thanks for the plays, I will ride on with Jefferson! There are plenty of cappers out there to bad mouth dboy, but this is not one of them.

    GL today Chase, let's get some winners!
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  22. #22  
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    Chase - i just wanted to say thanks for posting Jefferson daily and keeping the record that way. Kudos to you for posting and bringing what seems like a good capper to the forum.
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  23. #23 wasn't badmouthign 
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    jefferson sports. I know they are a consistent capper. I just wanted to share that they weren't hot in baseball currently.
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  24. #24  
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    Vegas Runner Update (Saturday)

    Under 42 Saints/Bengals Win 4 units
    Carolina Panthers Win 2 units
    Jacksonville/Rams Teaser Win 2 units

    Cinci Reds Loss 2 units
    Oak A's Win 2 units

    net profit of 8 units!!!!!!!!!!!!!!..
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  25. #25  
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    NSA Update (Saturday)

    Giants 20* (Push)
    Redskins 10 (Loss)
    Cleveland 10 (Loss)

    Tampa Bay 10 (bases) (Won)
    Redsox 10 (Loss)
    Angels 10 (won)

    net loss -10 units
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