Harden is great. One of my favorites to bet on when he was in Oakland but his lines are just too high right now. He was never this huge of a favorite in Oakland. Chicago has a great chance to win and even win by 2 or more but laying juice and laying a run and a half to an offense like Philadelphia in that park just doesn't seem like a good decision. You asked and I gave my opinion.
The only reason the line for Toronto isnt higher is because Baltimore let Pavano off the hook so everyone doesnt really know how big of a gascan he is. The ump in this game will be critical because Pavano's fast ball only gets up to around 87. So he likes to nibble at the outside/inside part of the plate. So if its an over type of ump their will be blood in Yankee stadium. But the only other thing is the Yanks are hitting a "little" bit better and its hard to beat a 4 times in a season. AJ might be "due" for a loss agianst the Yanks or at least a bad outing.
They aren't going to make New York a big home underdog no matter what. You're right. Pavano was bad against Baltimore but the box score only showed him allowing 3 runs (Baltimore had runners all over the place). The fact that the oddsmaker has made Toronto a favorite at New York tells me a lot. Burnett is clearly the better pitcher. With Halladay going Sunday they will be favored in that game as well.
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Just some info here... Wood has pitched 4 days in a row. There is no way they will let him pitch again today. So Marmol will most likely be the closer today. He's looked great lately, but I wouldn't make this bet unless I was sold on Harden going 7. That being said, I'll probably be on them. Homer. This is just a special team this year that finds ways to win and score runs. I think they should cover unless Marmol gives up one of his patented meaningless home runs that makes them only win by one. That has happened at least 4-5 times this year.
