If I have a silly local - baseball ?

sean1 · Aug 29, 2008

That will allow me to parlay +1.5 and U, can I blindly parlay +1.5 and U with home teams?

How about -1.5 and O with away teams?

And come out ahead?

I have no baseball database...

$tinky · Aug 29, 2008

Doug · Aug 29, 2008

No, it does not even work with NHL, anymore. Sean, you turned me onto the hockey parlays, key thing (IMO) was hockey could tie ( then).

I'd like the option for sure, but not blind. I could see road fav -1.5 to over, when you cap that result.

steaktartar · Aug 29, 2008

- 1 1/2 to + juice to over 8 1/2 will get you the money at the end of the year ...obviously on the road team...might be a couple a week or more

Doug · Aug 29, 2008

steak tartar said:
- 1 1/2 to + juice to over 8 1/2 will get you the money at the end of the year ...obviously on the road team...might be a couple a week or more

sample size ?

Where would you even bet it ? :grandmais

steaktartar · Aug 29, 2008

Doug said:
sample size ?

Where would you even bet it ? :grandmais

hard local only......cris wont even take them.......between 2001-2004 counting foots co's and RL co's i beat them maybe out of 80k at a nickel a par.......and i guessed on some and didnt do it blind(which i should've)....lol

sean1 · Aug 30, 2008

Doug, I do not have the data which is why I ask, but the difference in hockey and bases is with bases, home to under and away to over is already correlated so I have to imagine when you add the +1.5 or -1.5 it becomes more so. Now whether it is "correlated enough" I do not know, but I will find out...

Iceman · Aug 30, 2008

sean1 said:
Doug, I do not have the data which is why I ask, but the difference in hockey and bases is with bases, home to under and away to over is already correlated so I have to imagine when you add the +1.5 or -1.5 it becomes more so. Now whether it is "correlated enough" I do not know, but I will find out...

Sean,
Try asking Cutter, I am sure he has an opinon of this.

Doug · Aug 30, 2008

I believe Cutter has said that books should allow these parlays, as they are not (blindly) profitable. I would play some road -1.5 to overs, if possible, but only select games where I strongly like the away team to destroy an awful pitcher.

D2bets · Aug 30, 2008

Are they middle-market 20 cent RL and Totals?

Doug · Aug 30, 2008

I think they would have to be 20 cent lines, that's the problem.

sean1 · Aug 30, 2008

I think Cutter has said Home and U is not blindly profitable. I am not sure about Home +1.5 and U...

I will email him...

Doug · Aug 30, 2008

I know he tends to like a big road dog ML with over 9.5 or 7.5

sean1 · Aug 31, 2008

Thats cause road dogs are long term winners, so if you can get some correlation with an over and a book uses fair parlay odds you might as well...

If I have a silly local - baseball ?

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